CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 11, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 21, 1966
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2.pdf830.94 KB
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Approved Forflease 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T0097UP08800110001-2 TOP SECRET 25X1 Copy No. C CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN CURRENT INTELLIGENCE RELATING TO NATIONAL SECURITY DEPT OF STATE review(s) completed. 25X1 GROUP 1 EXCLUDED FROM AUTOMATIC DOWNGRADING AND DECLASSIFICATION TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 Approved Fo Release 2003/04/11: CIA-RDP79T00975A00880 110001-2 25X1 rM!M 21 February 1966 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN CONTENTS Ell 3. Indonesia: Sukarno in bold countermove against army. (Page 4) 4. Dominican Republic: Further negotiations to re- place two military chiefs. (Page 5) 6. USSR: Five-year economic plan seems largely a projection of recent trends. (Page 8) 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 Next 5 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975A00880011 01-2 Indonesia-, .president Sukarno appears to be at- tempting his boldest countermove against the army thus farm on- 18 February Sukarno demanded the resignations of De- fense Minister Nasution and of the navy and police chiefs--who have supported the army in its anti-Com- munist campaign. Sukarno also plans to abolish Gen- eral Nasution8 s other post, that of chief of staff of the armed forces1 Nasution went to Bandung, West Java, this week- end to avoid possible arrest. Four army battalions from the West Java command are reported to be moving to the Djakarta area. that Sukarno will press changes in the three posts at FH H i r masts h~YTTATtIlw. r~v$.+....$ ~a~v.ra r.~.~r .err JL,r l- 9 X1" N f In view of army resistance, it seems unlikely MIN According to an Indonesian press release this morning, Sukarno plans to announce some cabinet changes later today. These could involve the removal of the three military officials. Officers whom Sukarno has considered for these positions are with him in Bogor political strength and resolved 4 will facilitate his continuing effort to erode the army's M Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2 25X 25X1 25X j Approved or Release 2003/04/11 .CIA-RDP79T00975A008800 10001-2 j Dominican Republica Intense negotiations are j under way to replace the last two military chiefs who j j took a major part in last spring's fighting. j j President Garcia Godoy has informed the Organiza- tion of American States Committee of a plan calling for generals Martinez Aran.a and de los Santos to step down as army and air force chiefs. The two generals would retain their present ranks and serve jointly with the service chiefs on an advisory general staff board to be established, Garcia Godoy claims this plan was unan- imously approved at a lengthy meeting which he held on 18 February with all the military leaders except Martinez and de los Santos, who sent their deputies. Should the two recalcitrant generals agree, Garcia Godoy has told Ambassador Bunker that he is prepared to announce that no further changes will be made in the armed forces' command structure. It is unlikely that. such an agreement would be well received by those leftist forces which led last week's general strike, The strike and disorders may resume when the proposal becomes public knowledge. The leftists, who have consistently demanded that the generals leave the country, would probably consider their appointment to positions in the National Palace as a betrayal. In, a speech on 16 February Garcia Godoy promised to demand immediate "compliance with the 6 January decrees" which ordered both gen- erals to overseas assignments: It now appears that there will be at least three presidential candidates in the elections scheduled for 1 June. Former president Rafael Bonnelly announced his candidacy in behalf of a "third force" on 19 Feb- ruary. Joaquin Balaguer publicly became the Reform- ist Party's candidate last summer, and Juan Bosch is expected to be the Dominican Revolutionary Party candidate. (continued) 21 Feb 66 5 25X ONEVIVIN, Approved For Release 2003/04/11 CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2 A o p r oved oved pr Bonnelly's "third force" will probably attempt to picture itself as filling the vacuum in a polarized po- litical setting, but it is expected that the conservative Bonnelly would run a poor third to Bosch and Bala uer and primarily take votes from Balaguer. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 M 66 21 Feb EMINNUM/mma Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 ai i i i i i i Approved F r Release 2003/04/11 :CIA-RDP79T00975A0088 0110001-2 25X1 j j USSR: The official TASS summary of the 1966- 70 Soviet economic plan approved by the party plenum on 19 February is generally a realistic projection of trends of the recent past, although it includes factors that make its complete accomplishment doubtful. The summary, which presumably puts the plan in its most favorable light, sheds little new light on whether the hard decisions have been made on how to split the USSR's limited resources during the coming five years among the principal claimants: industry, agriculture, defense, and the consumer. The plan is highlighted by an increase in the national income of about 40 percent. This is to be achieved largely by a rise of some 50 percent in industrial output and an ap- parent growth in agricultural production of 25 percent compared with 1961-65. Within industry, the gap between the production of capital and consumer goods is expected to narrow, but heavy industry is still favored for the rest of the 1960s. Although data on selected industrial items show planned increases of considerable magnitude, these in- creases appear attainable given the planned growth in investment and labor productivity. In all cases the targets are reduced from the 1970 goals included in the 20-year program approved on 1961. The apparent 25-percent rise planned for agri- culture goes far beyond the ten-percent rise claimed to have been achieved during 1961-65. This also holds for the planned 30-percent increase in grain production. Soviet statistics on grain production, which US intel- ligence considers to have been inflated since 1958, show only a nine-percent rise during 1961-65. The USSR apparently is counting heavily on the incentives contained in Brezhnev's agricultural program to reach its 1970 goals for farm products. Increased 21 Feb 66 (continued) 00 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 iiiiiii Approved Fo Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO0880 110001-2 yields are to be the major factor in this growth, along with a huge planned increase of 40 to 45 percent in agricultural labor productivity A monthly guaranteed wage for collective farm workers is to be a primary means for achieving this rise. Large increases are planned in the production of consumer durables, including a four-fold rise in the output of automobiles, but effective demand for many of these items probably will not be met during the plan period. Even if the automobile target is met, produc- tion in 1970 would still, total only about 800,000 units, about ten percent of US output last year. The major emphasis in consumer welfare will be to narrow the gap between the living standards of the rural and urban population. Emphasis on consumer durables suggests that de- fense expenditures will not grow rapidly. The sum- mary simply notes that "the five-year plan is to en- sure the further growth of the Soviet Union's defense capacity." However, as in all past plans, the 1966-70 plan as announced does not give any clear indication of trends in defense spending. 25X1 21 Feb 66 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO08800110001-2 Approved for Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975AP08800110001-2 THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Counsel to the President The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs The Scientific Adviser to the President The Director of the Budget The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council The Director of Intelligence and Research The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Under Secretary of the Treasury The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs) The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Chief of Staff, United States Army Commandant, United States Marine Corps U.S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific Commander in Chief, Atlantic The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency The Director, The Joint Staff The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force The Department of Justice The Attorney General The Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director National Aeronautics and Space Administration The Administrator The Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman The National Security Agency The Director The United States Information Agency The Director The National Indications Center The Director Approved For Release 2003/04/11 : CIA-RDP79T00975A008800110001-2 Approved Fo lease p/1 :Lft 7fT009^08800110001-2 TOP SECRET Approved For Release 2003/04