CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A008900230001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2002
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 22, 1966
• Content Type: REPORT

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TO~ SECRET 22 April 1966
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CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
RELATING TO NATIONAL SECURITY
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22 April 1966
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
CONTENTS
1. Vietnam. Current situation report. (Page 1)
2. USSR. Increase in armed forces reported.
(Page 4)
3. NATO - West Germany - France: Tough German
reply to French note is further indication accom-
modation on troop issue will be difficult. (Page 5)
4. UK-Rhodesia: Britain again faced with prospect
of drastic measures to bring down Smith regime.
(Page 6)
6. Iran. Shah increasingly restive in relations with
US. (Page 8)
7. Dominican Republic. Bosch keeps alive possibility
he may withdraw from elections. (Page 9)
8. Notes. India; Malaysia- Singapore -
Indonesia; Israel-Jordan. (Page 10)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
22,ApriII966
*Vietnam: (Information as of 4:30 AM EST)
Political Developments in South Vietnam: The
eruption of violence between government troops and stu-
dents in Da Lat yesterday may have serious repercus-
sions unless both the Ky government and its critics
exert major calming efforts.
Three students and one.soldier were killed during
a fracas in which security forces fired above and into
800 demonstrators in an attempt to disperse them. The
incident began with an exchange of insults and fistfighting
between student leaders and paramilitary troops. Mili-
tary reinforcements have been sent to the town, which
has quieted down under tight curfew.
There were no incidents yesterday in I Corps,
where the new commander, General Dinh, and Bud-
dhist leaders apparently continue to use persuasive tac-
tics to restore order. [Tri Quang told a US Embassy
officer, apparently before learning of the Da Lat events,
that he had found it "somewhat difficult" to "defuse" the
situation, but that Buddhist demonstrations would resume
only if the government betrayed its promises or tried
to remove either General Dinh or the Ist Division com-
mander, General Nhuan,
CcQuang linked former I Corps commander General
Thi, who he said was discovering that the "struggle
movement" benefitted the Buddhists and not himself
with current counteragitation by VNQDD (Nationalist
Party) followers. F_
I It is questionable,
nowever, whether Thi or the government in Saigon now
has greater leverage with the VNQDD -1
(continued)
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22 Apr 66 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Map
BINH
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001
0
FMilitary Security Service chief Colonel Loan, an
advb-cate of strong measures against antigovernment
groups, told an American observer in Saigon yesterday
that Premier Ky had named him to take over the na-
tional police directorate from Colonel Lieug a Thi
sympathizer. Previously, Ky had been hesitant to
replace Lieu because several cabinet members had
threatened to resign if Lieu were dismissed. Loan
claims that he accepted the post after Ky agreed, gen-
erally, to assume a senior armed forces position,, once
a civilian government is formed, rather than return to
his air force command. This arrangement apparently
would lead to a purge of politically tainted generals from
the armed services
The Military Situation in South Vietnam: Heavy
fighting bro e out yesfe--rdaybetween four US/South Viet-
namese battalions, operating six miles northwest of
Quang Ngai city, and enemy elements believed to be from
the Ist Viet Cong Regiment. The allied troops, rein-
forced and receiving continuous artillery and air support,
have so far killed 257 Viet Cong, captured 18, and
seized III weapons. Friendly losses are 12 killed (5 US)
and 75 wounded (31 US). The allied operation was
initiated early yesterday to search out and destroy a
regimental headquarters and two enemy battalions re-
ported in the area.
Communist forces yesterday shelled the new US
airfield at Pleiku with 20 to 25 rounds of mortar fire
reportedly launched from the vicinity of a South Viet-
namese ammunition dump which made retaliatory fire
impossible. Preliminary information indicates that
three Skyraiders--two US Air Force A -1Es and one Viet-
namese A-IG--were destroyed and three damaged. Two
US and four South Vietnamese personnel were wounded.
Attacks such as this one, the fourth against a US air-
strip within ten days, are possibly intended to restrict
allied air activity and facilitate enemy movements in
advance of the southwest monsoon period. Such actions
offer the Communists the possibility of maximum Psy-
chological gain at minimal risk to their own forces.
22 Apr 66
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no Nua Pass
Nam Theun
Nkommarath
Ban Phou Kheng,
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Tho Son
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Ben Thuy
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VIETNAM
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1/1111/0
Communist Political Developments: A captured
Viet Cong document has provided evidence that the
Communists expect negotiations for a cease fire to be
the first step toward a
olitical settleme
f th
t
p
n
o
e war.
The document contains the minutes of a military intel-
ligence conference conducted in early 1965 by the
Central Office for South Vietnam, Hanoi's chief com-
mand post in the South.
The document indicated that the Communists
believe the fighting could continue while both sides dis-
cuss a cease fire as a first step toward a settlement.
They also envisage the possibility that a cease fire and
negotiations for a settlement will occur at the same
time. The document noted that this could happen only
when the Communists had won "complete victory and the
enemy has to capitulate."
0
The document suggests that the Communists do not
believe they can achieve a satisfactory settlement short
of a total victory on the battlefield. In the event that they
find it necessary to start negotiations prior to such a
victory, the document indicates, they will take advantage
of the discussions to prepare to "launch the general
offensive--a general uprising for a complete victory."
Other Developments: The North Vietnamese
appear to have completed a second supply route into the
Laotian infiltration corridor, providing an alternate to
the Route 12/15 artery leading through Mu Gia Pass.
Photography of 13 April indicates that the new route--
under construction for several months--may soon be
capable of handling light through traffic between Route
101 in North Vietnam and Route 911 in the Laotian pan-
handle. The location of the new road suggests that the
Communists may be planning to use the limited port
facilities in the QuanKhe area as an eastern supply 25X1
terminus
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USSR: The Soviet Union is apparently increas-
e
e
se 2003/04/11
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l
a
.
D
ing the personnel strength of its armed forces, re-
portedly in response to the build-up of US forces re-
sulting from the Vietnamese war.
A Soviet Ministry of Defense official told the US
Army attache in Moscow earlier this week that the
USSR had increased its forces to "keep pace" with the
US. Although he refused to give a specific strength
figure, he said that three million was "realistic. "
Early in 1965 the Soviet armed forces were esti-
mated to number 2. 8 to 2. 9 million men. Subsequent
evidence has indicated an increase since then. I
22 Apr 66
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NATO - West Germany - France: 'West Germany's
tough draft response to the French aide memoire of
29 March is a further indication that an accommodation
on the issue of French forces in Germany will be diffi-
cult.
In the draft note, Bonn pointedly asks for an ex-
planation of the extent to which French forces will con-
tinue to cooperate with NATO. The draft reply also
states that once French forces in Germany are removed
from NATO assignment, they will lose their right to
remain on German soil under existing agreements
signed by Germany and her NATO allies in 1954. Bonn
expresses its willingness to write a new agreement,
which it maintains should give German officials "ap-
propriate authority" over French forces. It cites as
a model the agreement on Bundeswehr troops in France.
French forces are scheduled to depart from NATO
on 1 July, and Bonn has stressed the importance of
reaching agreement by that date, The Germans hope
for final approval of their draft by the US - UK West
German working group by 25 April, and plan then to
submit it to the other 11 allies on the North Atlantic
Council. Since the questions posed by the Germans in
their note raise the whole issue of future French co-
operation with NATO, some of the allies may object to
approaching such a general showdown at this time.
22 Apr 66
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UK-Rhodesian Britain is once again faced with
the prospect of employing more drastic measures to
bring down the Smith regime
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South African Prime Minister Verwoerd has re-
fused-to halt the flow of oil to Rhodesia or to act as
intermediary in negotiations with Rhodesia. Continued
South African intransigence could lead to further pres-
sure from the Africans at the UN for sanctions directed
at South Africa
[In this event Britain would be faced with grave
choices. A veto of such a resolution would do serious
damage to its relations with the black African states.
On the other hand, if Britain allowed this type of reso-
lution to get through, it runs the risk of escalating this
crisis throughout all of southern Africa. Britain would
also risk disrupting its trade with South Africa, and
endanger its already shaky balance-of-payments posi-
tion. South Africa's total trade with Britain amounts
to nearly one billion dollars a year exclusive of an-
other billion dollars in, gold sales
British Foreign Secretary Stewart, in a recent
talk with Secretary of State Rusk, implied that his gov-
ernment is considering more extreme measures to
bring the rebellion to an end. Stewart said that the
decision had been reached in London to consider the 25X1
"starkest" possibilities.
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01 Irani The Shah is showing signs of increasing
restivene in his relations wi
with regard to his desire to th the purchase US, additional mili-
tary -
tary equipment,
The Shah has told the US Embass
th
t h
Iran s new "independence."
[The US Embassy believes, moreover, that the
Shah is increasingly impatient with US insistence on
approving arms purchases only in the context of an
annual joint review of the Iranian economy and mili-
tary needs. The Shah feels-this is incompatible with
y
a
e wants
the US to decide well before 26 May whether or not it
is going to sell him the arms he asked for some months
ago. He has apparently set this deadline so that, if.
necessary, he can put other procurement, measures in
motion before he leaves on an official visit to Rumania)
[The Shah is anxious for equipment to bolster de-
fenses in southern Iran and the Persian Gulf, which he
believes are endangered by the ambitions of UAR Presi-
dent Nasir. He continues to feel that the US does not
fully appreciate the Egyptian threat to the area
[The Shah has assured the US ambassador on pre-
vious occasions that his threat to purchase arms else-
where is not a bluff. He says he hopes that the issue
will not become "another steel mill business"-ma
reference to the Irano-Soviet steel mill agreement
that was concluded after some 30 years of unsuccessful
negotiations with the West?
A further irritant is provided by the Shah's insist-
ence that the international oil consortium is not in-
creasing oil production at a fast enough rate. He be-
lieves that Iran's economic and military needs could be
easily met if the consortium would be more "cooperative"
and has threatened to "reorient" Iran's trade if it is not 7
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Dominican Republic: Juan Bosch is keeping alive
the possibility that he may withdraw- from the I June
elections in the face of what he claims is a serious
deterioration in the election climate caused by the
leaders of the armed forces.
In a meeting with US Embassy officials on 19
April, Bosch said that since his nomination on 10 April,
military leaders had begun acting "politically" to assure
his party's defeat. He accused military and police ele-
ments of distributing anti-Bosch leaflets and using
terrorism to intimidate his supporters.
Bosch predicted that conditions will grow steadily
worse before the elections, which he characterized as
premature and badly organized. Reiterating his pre-
convention statements that he really did not want to be
a candidate, Bosch said he saw, no possibility of gov-
erning and described himself as a "cow headed for the
slaughterhouse. 11
Bosch raised the specter of violence during the
24-30 April anniversary celebrations. He said that
former rebel leader Hector Aristy had been impetuous
in committing his newly formed 24th of April Movement
to public observances, and implied doubts of Aristy's
ability to control his Communist political associates.
I ~ ex-
treme leftist elements are planning to use the anni-
versary demonstrations to repudiate US intervention
and provoke violent incidents. Bosch has publicly
warned his party not to participate in outdoor demon-.
strations. r-
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India: Agriculture Minister Subramaniam has
told Ambassador Bowles that the food situation in India
now appears manageable as a result of US grain com-
mitments. He estimated April grain imports at a
satisfactory monthly level of about 1. 2 million tons.
This optimism may be dampened somewhat by the re-
ported strike by grain handlers at the northwestern
port of Kandla, which cleared one million tons of grain
last year. A prolonged stoppage at one of India's major
harbors would seriously impede New Delhi's efforts
to build up stocks before the early June onset of the
monsoon rains, which will cut grain import capacity
out 25 ercent.
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unlikely to agree to any resumption of ties with Indo-
nesia without Kuala Lumpur's approval.
E
Malaysia-Singapore-Indonesia: The Malaysian
Government's new travel restrictions on Singapore
residents entering Malaysia reflect Kuala Lumpur's
objection to the possible establishment of an Indonesian
presence in Singapore. Djakarta announced its inten-
tion to recognize Singapore several weeks ago but has
taken no further action. Since Singapore's Prime
Minister Lee Kuan Yew is painfully aware of the dam-
aging economic sanctions Malaysia can employ, he is
Israel-Jordan: The exchanges of fire Between
Israeli and Jordanian border patrols on 19 and 20
April were probably initiated by local units and do not
indicate a desire to increase tension on the part of
either government. However, the death of an Israeli
officer in the 19 April incident may well lead Israel
to make tougher responses in any future incident in
this area.
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Counsel to the President
The Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
The Scientific Adviser to the President
The Director of the Budget
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Counselor and Chairman of the Policy Planning Council
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Under Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Assistant Secretary of Defense (International Security Affairs)
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
U. S. Rep., Military Committee and Standing Group, NATO
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Commander in Chief, Atlantic
The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
The Director, The Joint Staff
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Department of Justice
The Attorney General
The Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
The Administrator
The Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
The National Security Agency
The Director
The United States Information Agency
The Director
The National Indications Center
The Director
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