CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A010800120001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 16, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
Top Secret
.c 214
16 February 1968
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16 February 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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USSR- Berlin: New Soviet note aims at dividing
Allies. (Page 4)
Brazil: Discontented officers hope to force big
changes in administration. (Page 5)
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Belgium: Government crisis (Page 7)
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USSR-Berlin: Soviet letters of 14 February to
the Big Three were designed primarily to create fric-
tion among the Western Allies.
The letters to the US and UK contained much the
same complaints that Moscow made to Bonn
last month, alleging that Bonn was trying o lay claim
to West Berlin. The two powers were asked to pro-
tect the special status of the city from West German
"pretensions." The letter to the French, however,
consisted of a single sentence noting Franco-Soviet
interest in European detente and stating merely that
the US and UK had been sent letters about dangerous
West German activities in Berlin.
In addition to encouraging differences among the
Big Three on how to deal with Bonn on such matters,
Moscow probably is trying to foment friction between
the Allies and Bonn. The Soviets may expect the Al-
lies to caution Bonn against obvious demonstrations
of its links with Berlin in order to avoid provoking a
stronger Communist response.
A few days before the letters were sent, Soviet
Ambassador Abrasimov in East Berlin asked to see
the US ambassador before the end of the month. He
also sought a meeting with the French ambassador.
Abrasimov probably hopes to get Bonn to play down
the Bundestag committee meetings which it has sched-
uled in Berlin early next month and which are sure
to raise hackles in East Germany.
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Brazil: Discontented military officers hope to
force radical changes in the Costa e Silva administra-
tion this month.
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Much of the army's uneasiness stems from its
belief that its image has been tarnished through cor-
ruption, inefficiency, and policy failures by the pres-
ent regime. Many military men, particularly field -
grade officers, believe that even though their plan to
force action is risky, such a move is preferable to ad-
mitting that the army has failed to govern well. Further,
they fear that inaction would risk letting power fall into
the hands of corrupt politicians.
These restive groups are not likely to have devel-
oped a full consensus or a firm course of action. In
their entirety the demands they have made are un-
doubtedly too strong for Costa e Silva to accept. These
groups probably do not have enough support to present
an ultimatums Costa e Silva probably will have to
make some political adjustments, but he should be
able to work out at least a short-term accommodation
that will not jeopardize his onal position.
I I
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NOTE
Belgium: King Baudouin has appointed a former
prime minister, Paul Segers, to appraise the situa-
tion and help resolve the government crisis. Segers
will poll political leaders and recommend either fur-
ther efforts to form a cabinet or dissolution of parlia-
ment and new elections. If elections are held in the
present highly charged atmosphere, extremists on
both sides of the linguistic issue are likely to profit,
thereby deepening the rift between the two communi-
ties.
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