CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A010900030001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 28, 2005
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 6, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central .Intelligence Bulletin
Top Secret
W. `c 214
6- garch 1968
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6 March-IM
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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Warsaw Pact: Moscow is probably headed for another
clash with the Rumanians. (Page 5)
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Ecuador: The presidential election campaign is heating
up. (Page 8)
Panama: Tension continues to rise as Arias pushes
for impeachment of Robles. (Page 9)
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Warsaw Pact. Another confrontation between the
Rumanians and the Soviet Union is likely at the opening
meeting today in Sofia of the Warsaw Pact Political Con-
sultative Committee.
Bucharest will hope to ward off Moscow's
demands for unanimous approval of the US-USSR. spon-
sored nonproliferation treaty. Rumania opposes the
treaty in its present form and probably resents being
put under duress from Moscow to approve it.
Bucharest probably will be no more forthcoming
on any new declaration on European security and the
German question. Moscow, East Germany and Poland
want to take a harder line against Bonn's eastern pol-
icy than Bucharest would like because of its recognition
of West Germany. The Rumanians also will carefully
review the wording of any resolution that implies their
concurrence with Soviet policy on sensitive international
Xommunist issues, such as Vietnam.
6Mar68 5
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*Ecuador- Followers of two presidential candi-
dates clashed in Guayaquil on 4 March, and further
violence is likely before the election in June.
The groups involved were supporters of Camilo
Ponce and the leading candidate, Jose Maria Velasco,
whose erratic actions led to his ouster in three of his
four previous presidential terms.
Velasco has announced that he will return on
9 March from his self-imposed exile in Buenos Aires.
In a press interview on 5 March, Velasco accused
interim President Otto Arosemena's administration of
planning "electoral frauds" to defeat him.
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*Panama: Political tensions continue to rise as
National Union (NU) leader Arnulfo Arias pushes for im-
peachment of President Robles.
In the absence of any conciliatory gesture from
Robles to implement the compromise agreement reached
early Monday, the Arias- controlled National Assembly
is proceeding with its impeachment plans, A three-man
commission appointed to investigate the charges of at-
tempted manipulation of electoral machinery by Robles
may issue its report today and request Robles to ap-
pear before the assembly for questioning.
The assembly may also vote on a date, no sooner
than three days, to hear the commission's decision and
to accept or reject the impeachment charges. If the
accusations are upheld, Robles is required by the con-
stitution to step aside in favor of the first vice presi-
dent--an Arias supporter.
Meanwhile, Robles remains adamant in his refusal
to make any compromise move. Both Robles and govern-
ment candidate Samudio made a determined but unsuc-
cessful effort yesterday to pressure National Guard Com-
mandant Vallarino into dissolving the assembly.
he government
may be preparing to take some action- - possibly includ-
ing a suspension of constitutional guarantees--to pre-
vent the assembly from convening again.
Both sides appear to be preparing for trouble.
Arias is calling for 5,000 supporters to gather when the
assembly meets, and NU media in the capital have be-
gun to issue inflammatory reports on the activities of
pro-Samudio "hoodlums." Such action in the past has
been responsible for stirring up public emotion and in-
citing violence.
Some disorders by partisans of both Arias and
Samudio have already occurred and more can probably
be expected.
6 Mar 68
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