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December 15, 2016
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May 15, 2003
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March 19, 1968
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Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0109001*@=- i up 25X1 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin DEPT OF STATE review(s) completed. Top Secret 19 March 1968 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Approved For Release 25X1 00140001-5 25X1 Central Intelligence Bulletin CONTENTS 25X1 Poland: Tension is rising, and Gomulka may speak today on the crisis. (Page 3) 25X Chile: Frei is forced to turn to the Communists for support. (Page 6) Iran: The Shah is taking a strong line with the oil com- panies. (Page 7) 25X1 Indonesia: Student demonstrations (Page 10) Guatemala: State of siege (Page 10) 25X1 Approved For Release 4003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975A010P00140001-5 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Next 3 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Approved For Relea Poland: Tension in Warsaw is rising, and there are rumors that party leader Gomulka will deliver a major speech on the crisis, possibly today. There has been an influx to Warsaw of armed police units from other Polish cities, and, for the first time, uniformed soldiers with automatic weapons have been ob- served. These elements presumably are to control the large crowd which will be assembled if Gomulka speaks. The situation holds new risks to public order, es- pecially if the party leader uses the occasion to announce shifts in the leadership. A party central committee representative, sched- uled, to meet Warsaw students yesterday to discuss their grievances, failed to appear. The assembled students dispersed peacefully, however, when they, were informed that a "politburo member" would answer them some day this week. Many reportedly interpret this to mean that Gomulka himself will reply. Regime propaganda is still trying to draw a dis- tinction between the mass of students and their "Zionist" instigators and exploiters. Premier Cyrankiewicz re- portedly has shown sympathy with some aspects of the student cause. This suggests that the regime may make some minimal move to satisfy students' demands. Meanwhile, calls for a thorough purge of Gomulka's "opponents" are rising as numerous workers' meetings are being staged by the party throughout the country. Dismissals, especially of Jews, probably will be stepped up. (continued) 19 Mar 68 Approved For Rele - 10900140001-5 25X1 25X 25X1 Approved For Relea X4010900140001-5 There are indications of continuing unrest, despite regime attempts to convey an impression that calm has been restored. For example, a demonstration by some 10,000 persons reportedly took place in Katowice on 15 March during which police used dogs water cannons and truncheons to disperse the crowd. 19 Mar 68 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T009754010900140001-5 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Approved For Relea4e 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T009754010900140001-5 25X1 Chile: President Frei has been forced to rely on Communist support on a vital economic issue. In negotiations for the crucial wage adjustment bill, Frei was unable to get any cooperation from the leftist- controlled Radical Party. The conservative National Party, hoping to force military intervention in the government, was equally uncooperative. As a result, Frei turned to the Communists and received their support in return for dropping restrictions on private sector wages. The Communists were willing to work with the government because they see political benefit in cultivating the image of a responsible party. Acting Minister of the Interior Perez Zujovic as- sured the US Charge in Santiago that the austerity program will be continued despite the resignation last week of Finance Minister Raul Saez. Perez stated that he is prepared to move against "elements bent on disruption and disorder," including Communists and Christian Democrats as well as perpetrators of illegal strikes. The armed forces are unusually restive because their pay raise is tied to the wage adjustment bill. There is no indication, however, of any intended inter- vention on their part. :19 Mar 68 6 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 ? CIA_RDP79T00975An10900140001-5 25X1 25X1 Approved For Releas$ Iran: The Shah is taking a firm line with the western oil consortium and promises to do the same with his Arab adversaries in the Persian Gulf. Iran continues to insist that oil production must increase over the next five years at a rate far greater than the consortium can envisage. During meetings in Tehran last week, consortium representatives were told to increase production estimates or provide oil at a discount for Iran to barter in Eastern Europe. The Shah also wants the details of the consortium's :internal arrangements on oil production, which he believes discriminate against Iran. The response to these demands must be made by 20 April. If it is negative on all points, the Iranian government will take unilateral action against the con- sortium. Presumably such action could include taking over more of its assets, but details have not been re- vealed. Meanwhile, the Shah is furious over the formation of a Federation of Arab Amirates that would include ;Bahrain, which Iran claims. The Shah alleges that the .new federation will also absorb two other Iranian- claimed islands in the Gulf. The Shah would have preferred to keep the Bahrain issue quiet, but obviously believes that the issue is 'being pushed to the fore. He has hinted that Iran will protect its "legitimate rights" with force, if necessary. 25X1 25X 25X 25X 19 Mar 68 7 Approved For Release 10900140001-5 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 Approved For Releas Indonesia: Student demonstrations yesterday against the reshuffling of congress probably foreshadow more protests when that body convenes on 21 March. The students apparently will insist that the expected congressional appointment of Suharto as full president is unconstitutional. In view of the protests and the op- position of civilian political leaders over the past weeks, the government is likely to scale down its demands for a five-year full presidential term and a five-year post- ponement of elections. *Guatemala: The twice-extended state of alert decreed in mid-January was raised to a state of siege yesterday. Stepped-up Communist terrorism and the apparent kidnaping of the Archbishop of Guatemala on Saturday probably prompted the move. Under a state of siege, police and other law enforcement agencies are placed under the direct control of the Ministry of De- fense. allowing a greater latitude in operations. .1 Approved or'Refease 2003/09/02 : CIA RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 ToppS*c"etr Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975A010900140001-5 Tap Secret Approved For Release 2003/09/02 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO10900140001-5