CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A011100040001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 10, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 2, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
3
2 May 1968
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No. 0145/68
2 May 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
South Korea: The terrorist incidents in Seoul
have led to new security moves. (Page 3)
India: Dissension threatens another state coali-
tion government. (Page 4)
Sweden: The government may let the South Vietnam
National Liberation Front open an information
office in Stockholm. (Page 6)
Morocco-Egypt: Hassan's cancelled visit to Cairo
will worsen relations. (Page 7)
Panama: Arias supporters have been told that the
government will not allow him to win. (Page 8)
Chile: Military discontent with Frei is growing
and so is labor agitation. (Page 9)
Jordan-Israel: Unrest in Jordan (Page 10)
Poland: May Day (Page 10)
Singapore: Shipping to North Vietnam (Page 10)
Japan-Congo (Kinshasa): Investment plans (Page 11)
East Germany: Intellectual dissent (Page 11)
Brazil: New aircraft (Page 12)
British Honduras: Mediator report (Page 12)
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NORTH
VIETNAM
PHNOM
P$NMj'
SOUTH VIETNAM
75 50 75 IOOM~es
7S 75 i K.b+>?e -
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[South Vietnam: Heavy fighting continued in the
northern provinces with two sharp battles just south
of the Demilitarized Zone.
The action took place near Dong Ha, the major
US supply base in the area and the headquarters of
the 3rd Marine Division. It was the third day of
fighting in this area. Prisoners captured in these
engagements now say they were from the 52nd Regiment
of the 320th Division. The prisoners report that
the regiment moved south of the zone on 27 April
with orders to launch harassing attacks in the Dong
Ha area.
In contrast to their aggressive attitude in the
northern provinces, Communist forces in the A Shau
Valley are offering only moderate resistance to al-
lied operations.
Farther south, Communist units launched three
attacks on allied positions just north and west of
Saigon, in what may have been an attempt to divert
attention from enemy supply and personnel movements
toward the Saigon area. One assault was by 300 to
400 Communists against a South Vietnamese Army head-
quarters in Binh Duong Province. Allied sweeps in
this area are uncovering large munitions caches, in-
cluding large numbers of heavy 122-mm. rockets.
Communist action in the delta was confined to
mortar attacks. On 1 May three provincial capitals,
seven district towns and a US naval base were
shelled, the first action in the delta provinces for
nearly three weeks. 0 (Map) J
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South Korea: The terrorist incidents in Seoul
on 30 April have spurred greater South Korean'se-
curity efforts.
South Korean Defense Minister Choe announced
yesterday that the armed forces were taking "strong
countermeasures" to deal with the growing threat
from North Korea. He stated that the number of
mobile strike forces was being increased in the ex-
pectation of additional North Korean raids on the
scale of the attempted attack on the presidential
residence last January.
Choe said the grenade attack on the Inter-
national Telecommunications building and the abor-
tive grenade attacks against two other buildings
in Seoul were apparently the work of well-trained
Communist agents.
Seoul can be expected to exploit the most
recent incidents to answer criticism of pending
legislation connected with the establishment of the
new regional militia force.
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India: Internal dissension threatens to break
up another non - Congress Party coal--tion govern-
ment.
The coalition in Madhya Pradesh---a disparate
alliance of the Hindu nationalist Jan Sangh party,
the increasingly militant Samyukta Socialists, and
two groups of Congress Party defectors--i;3 in the
midst of a crisis. The coalition has survived two
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attempts by Congress to topple it, but strong po-
litical crosscurrents are breaking up its fragile
unity.
The current crisis erupted on 26 April when
seven Jan Sangh ministers, representing the largest
party in the coalition, resigned. The resignations
have not been accepted and the Jan Sangh still pub-
licly supports the coalition, but the. recalcitrant
ministers refuse to return without an overture from
the chief minister. In addition, the leader of one
group of Congress defectors, the Rajmata of Gwalior,
is apparently backing out of her loose alliance
with the chief minister, who leads the other ex-
Congress faction.
Although the coalition could survive the cur-
rent problems, it probably will not last much beyond
the opening in two or three months of the next ses-
sion of the state assembly. The local Congress
Party unit is in considerable disarray and unable
to capitalize fully on the situation.
(Map
2 May 68
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Sweden: The government reportedly will al-
low the South Vietnam National Liberation Front
to open an information office in Stockholm.
On 30 April, the newspaper Arbetet, which
often reflects the views of the =77g-Social
Democrats, repeated a story first broadcast by
Swedish radio on 3 April that such an office
would oper this summer and that a search is under
way for suitable quarters.
Sweden's willingness to allow a Front office
is a part of what it says is an effort to "balance"
its relations with North and South Vietnam. Last
fall, breaking with established practice, the gov-
ernment declined to extend the accreditation of
its new ambassador in Bangkok to Saigon as well.
Sweden has established unofficial "contacts" with
North Vietnam, which it has not recognized, by
arranging for Hanoi's ambassador to Moscow to
visit Sweden and for its ambassador to Peking to
visit North Vietnam.
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Morocco-Egypt: King Hassan's cancellation of
a scheduled visit to Cairo will further strain re-
lations between the two countries.
Hassan, trying to promote an Arab summit, had
scheduled a short visit with Nasir at the end of
state visits to Turkey, Iran, and Saudi Arabia.
Hassan may have cancelled the visit because his
talks with Kings Faysal and Husayn may have con-
vinced him that there was no hope of an Arab summit.
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Panama: [Guard Commandant Vallarino has flatly
told supporters of Arnulfo Arias that the govern-
ment will not allow Arias to win the election on
12 May .J
LVallarino warned that every government entity,
from the Supreme Court down to the precinct, would
be working to defeat Arias' National Union. He
reportedly stated that the guard, by "suggested
intimidation," would discourage voters from cast-
ing ballots for Arias and other National Union
candidates but would not use force except in
self-defensej
lThe elite families who have been supporting
Arias are not above bolting the alliance at any
time, and Vallarino's warning could trigger such
a move. Their overriding concern now will be to
protect their privileged economic positions from
a vindictive Samudio.
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Chile: Growing military discontent with Presi-
dent Frei=s economic policy comes at a time when
labor agitation appears to be increasing.
A report that the government had raised military
.pay has proved to be only a rumor based on a minor
advance-in subsistence allowances. A large group of
army officers, including students and faculty of two
key military institutions, reportedly is threatening
to resign en masse because of low pay. Even if they
do not carry out this threat, they may be less than
enthusiastic about backing police action against
labor agitation aimed at influencing congressional
action on the wage bill. .
,Labor agitation is likely to increase this month
since the Communist Party plans to call a-series of
24-hour industry-by-industry strikes. These will be
in.aupport of the postal and telegraph workers and
teachers,. who have been striking for more than a
month because the proposed wage readjustment bill
discriminates against them. Socialist and radical
labor leaders had suggested a general strike, but
the Communists feared that such action could provoke
a serious crisis. The'Communists may have trouble
restricting unions that they do not control to 24-
hour strikes 71
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Jordan-Israel:
there is a strong possibility that serious
internal unrest in Amman will result from demon-
strations by various groups protesting the Israeli
Independence Day Parade today in Jerusalem. Although
the Jordanian officials believe that, they could
probably control these groups, real trouble could
result if the well-armed Arab terrorist groups
join them. The terrorists said on 30 April that
they would not participate in a demonstration in
Amman, but the Jordanian officials are skna,t; ali
Poland: In his May Day address, party leader
Gomulcka attempted to present a facade of national
unity and party stability. He hit hard against the
US, Israel, and "international Zionism," but re-
newed his call for some moderation in the contin-
uing intraparty jockeying for power. Another round
of factional struggle nevertheless is probably
imminent. It may include additional shifts in key
government posts. Student demonstrations antici-
te on is Day di not take place.
Singapore: The government has agreed to take
action against owners of Singapore flag ships trad-
ing with North Vietnam. The nature of the action
was not specified, but government officials indi-
cated they expect shipowners to comply once they
have been informed that use of Singapore flag ships
in trade with North Vietnam is prohibited. Al-
though Singapore has had a modest trade with North
Vietnam, none of the country's ships had been re-
ported involved in this trade until March 1968,
when one docked at Haiphong,
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Japan-Congo(Kinshasa): A Japanese consortium
plans to spend about 55 million over the next
four years to develop mines for copper and possibly
other minerals in the Congo. If implemented as ex-
pected, this would be the first substantial foreign
investment in the Congo since its independence in
1960.
The project is the latest in a long series of
overseas ventures designed to assure Japan a steady
supply of raw materials. It will be Japan's larg-
est overseas investment in mining nonferrous metals.
The six-company consortium hopes that the project
will begin to pay off in 1972 when 42,000 tons of
copper will be available to Japan.
East German : East Germany's most prominent
dissi ent intellectual, Professor Robert Havemann,
believes that political evolution similar to that
in Czechoslovakia could and should take place in
every Communist state. He recently told a West
Berlin newsman that Communism should not be synon-
ymous with suppression of freedom of expression.
Moreover, he criticized East German policy that
political opposition can only be expressed before
the courts and not in parliamentary meetings.
Havemann has been at odds with the regime
since 1964. After repeating his call for parlia-
mentary democracy once too often, he was forced
to retire in 1967. Havemann's opinions may be
shared by quite a few other intellectuals in East
Germany, but the regime has stifled the open cir-
culatio of such ideas.
(continued)
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Brazil: Two key air force generals, the in-
spector general and the chief of material, are on
a hastily arranged visit to France and West Germany,
probably to discuss Brazil's plans to acquire new
aircraft. One of the generals is a leading propo-
nent of Brazilian acquisition of French-built
Mirage supersonic jet fighters. Both France and
West Germany reportedly have offered to build
plants in Brazil to manufacture noncombat air-
craft. Important elements of the Brazilian mil-
itary are anxious to conclude a jet fighter deal
Land may be impatient with the delays encountered
obtaining lanes from the US.
British Honduras: Initial reaction to pro-
posals for independence of the colony indicates
an uphill fight for approval. In British Honduras,
the opposition National Independence Party flatly
rejected the proposals and called for a public
referendum. In Guatemala City, two major news-
papers called for outright rejection of this
"ridiculous" and "absolutely unacceptable" solution.
Critical comment included an editorial by the vice
president of Guatemala, who also called for rejec-
tion of the proposals.
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