CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A011800020001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 1, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 2, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
D
Central Intelligence Bulletin
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
Secret
50
2 August 1968
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No. 0224/68
2 August 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
co~rr~Nrs
USSR-Czechoslovakia: Cierna formula evidently lets
both sides step back from direct confrontation. (Page 1)
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 3)
Southern Yemen: The government blames continuing
tribal disturbances on US and Saudi intervention.
(Page 5)
Algeria-France: President Boumediene asks France for
increased military aid. (Page 7)
Mexico: Government gains at least temporary
easing of student crisis, (Page 8)
Israel-Jordan: Terrorists (Page 9)
Africa-France: Uranium (Page 9)
Guatemala: Communist attacks (Page 9)
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USSR-Czechoslovakia: The protagonists at Cierna
evidently found a formula which will enable them to
step back from their direct confrontation.
Czechoslovak President Svoboda's speech to the
nation yesterday sketched out the general outlines
of the arrangement. He intimated that the Czechoslo-
vak side has gone some way toward meeting Soviet de-
mands for a strengthening of Prague"s links with the
Warsaw Pact military alliancem The Czech President
said that the Russians haves in turne given their
sanction to Czechoslovakia's program of domestic re-
formo
The deal on the military side could take a va-
riety of formsy including an extended Soviet. military
presence. If the Soviets have conceded to the Czech-
oslovaks the right. to go ahead with their action pro-
gram~ the cost to the two sides will depend on the
concre-~e meaning of this generalized pledge and how
the Soviets carry it out. The Czechoslovaks will
have come out of the Cierna meeting fairly well if
they have bought a relatively free hand in domestic
affairso It is by no means certain that they have
done s o
The Czechoslovaks may also have given the Soviets
assurance that they will remain firmly within Moscow's
economic orbit.
The average Czechoslovak is likely to greet
Svoboda's speech with mingled feelings of relief and
regret President Svoboda probably hopes that the
firm warning he issued against anti-Communist and
anti-Soviet activity will be sufficient to dampen
the national reaction. It is not likely that the
small student demonstration which erupted in Prague
while Svoboda was speaking will be repeated on any
wide scale ~ Liberals in the regime ~ howevera will
be on their guard against further concessions too the
Soviets and their alliesm
continue da
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CThe meeting called for Bratislava on 3 August--
involving the East Germans , Poles ~ Hungarians y and
Bulgarians in addition to the Sovie s and Czechoslo-
vaks--is probably meant to tie down the terms of the
Cierna arrangement
There has been no substantial change in the
status of Soviet troops on the Czechoslovak borders
Large Soviet convoys sighted by a I3S military at-
tache on 29-30 July in central Czechoslovakia con-
firm the presence of powerful Sovie combat forces
in the country according to the US Embassy in
Prague ~ The embassy commented that the continued
presence of the Soviet troops could conceivably con-
stitute the de facto stationing of Soviet troops in
Czechoslovakia for an indefinite period- There were
additional sightings of Soviet troops in central and
eastern Poland on 30 and 31. Julyd
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~ some sort of enemy offensive activity
may get under way in the Saigon area before longo
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A move toward the city by at least some of the
main force units now concentrated in northwestern
ITI Corps-probably would precede a mayor attack in
the Saigon areao At present it seems likely that
the main thrust of any new enemy offensive in this
area in the next week or so would be in northern
III Corps rather than against Saigon? A secondary
effort relying mainly on rocket and mortar attacks
itv could come at anv time
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Dissident Areas in Southern Yemen
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2. NAUSHA61
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4. DHALA
S. MAFLAHI
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7. ~ IJ PPEl2 YAFA
8. LOWER YAFA
9. - FADHLI
10. AU DHALI
71.. DATHINAH
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Southern Yemen: Widespread tribal disturbances
are cont^nuing~ and the government is blaming the
dissidence on US and Saudi ^nterventione
The security situation in the backcountry re-
mains unclearo The government claims to have com-
pletely routed tribal insurgents in Dhala? but, sources
in Aden allege that fighting still goes on there as
well as in Aulagio Outlawed political groups are
taking credit for the disturbances and claim that
their supporters continue to hold Dhalaw Haushabig
and the Aulagi areas Other areas also reportedly
under the control of dissident tribes may be quiet
onl~r because no major army units are on the sceneo
Meanwhiley Souther?n Yemen"s security forces
have begun to splinterm The director-general of
security .leader of a faction which favors a broadly
based government,, has apparently defected to Yemen,
taking with him perhaps 100 security and army officers
and men The government. has asked Yemen to return
him to Adeno
The regime is apparently convinced that Saudi
money and assistance lie behind the disturb ancesm
It has asked the US to intercede and have Saudi Arabia
stop aiding dissidents and interfering in Southern
Yemen"s internal affairs At the same timed the
government may be planning to use the US as a conven-
ient scapegoat if the situation deteriorateso At a
recent rally the labor minister asserted that. the
disturbances were based on a plan prepared by US
intelligence ~ and public media have :repeated the
charge One official privately admitted howeverd
that the US was not involved in the "Saudi" inter-
ference
(continued
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Aden itself is calm,; although roving groups of
People's Guard have augmented the security forces
and many Adenis have .reportedly begun to speak open y
against. the government.. Some antireg~me comments
have begun to appear on the walls.. Residents near
the capital report hearing heavy gunfire to the northq
and some refugees have be un to arrive rn Aden sub-
urbs m CMapl
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Algeria-France: Algeria, claiming dissatisfac-
tion witTi-Soviet military assistance, has solicited
increased military aid from France.
In response to requests from Boumediene and
the clique of officers who formerly served with the
French Army and who now control the Algerian Ministry
of Defense, France will cautiously step up training
and equipment for the Algerian Air Force and Navy.
Both are now almost exclusive) e ui ed with Soviet
materiel
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Mexico: Government strategy has been effective
in gaining at least a temporary lull in the student
crisis
A massive march of students and teachers led by
the National University rector in protest against
the violation of university autonomy took place with
no significant disorder last nighto The plan to lend
official sympathy in the person of the university
rector came out of a "strategy committee"' created
early in the crisis by Minis~.er of Government Luis
Echeverria~ Echeverria is a prime contender to suc=
Geed President Diaz Ordaz, and his political stock
could rise or fall markedly depending on how he han~
dles the current disturbance..
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Israel-Jordan; Israel may be setting the stage
for another retaliatory strike against Jordan., Ac-
cording to an Israeli Army spokesman a terrorist
ambush yesterday near the Jordan River killed one
Israeli. soldier and wounded threem The spokesman
claimed ghat the number of such encounters had re-
cently increased He said that there were Jl inci-
dents last week in which three Israeli soldiers were
killed and eight soldiers and seven civilians wounded,
The Israelis have again accused Jordanian Army troops
of cooperating with the terroristsa suggesting that
any reprisal might be aimed at punishing Jordan's
Army as well as the terrorists,
Africa-France: Paris has taken an important.
step to ensure a supply of uranium free from both
international controls and safeguards against military
usev The French Atomic Energy Commission on 1'7 July
signed an agreemen ~ wi'th the Central African Republic
for the mining of the Bakouma uranium deposits .D The
Central African Republic will be the third former
French African colony to become a uranium supplier
for F'rance~ Although the Bakouma reserves are be-
lieved to be smaller than the exceptionally rich
deposits being developed in Niger? production in the
Central African Republic may approach that: of Gabon
now France's principal supplier
Guatemalae Three rightist polit.i.cal leaders
were wounded in Guatemala City yesterdayN apparently
as park of a Commun^s~ plan to set off a vendetta
between the Tulin art. and its ma"or rightist op-
osition
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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