CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A012400030001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 5, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 23, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Secret
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No. 0294/68
23 October 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Israel: There are plans to increase the number of
Jewis settlements in occupied territories. (Page 3)
France-Tunisia: Bilateral relations have improved
over recent months. (Page 4)
Afghanistan: The King will not sign legislation
establishing political parties. (Page 5)
East Germany: Ulbricht warns intellectuals not to
deviate from the regime's cultural guidelines. (Page 6)
Rumania: Bucharest has renewed its ideological of-
fensive against the Warsaw Pact Five. (Page 7)
North Korea: Pyongyang's border crossing operations
continue at a high rate. (Page 9)
Japan: The recent student violence has stirred
adverse public reaction. (Page 10)
Panama: The political situation is calmer after
Arias' departure to the US. (Page 11)
Brazil: Terrorists (Page 12)
Bolivia: Guerrillas (Page 12)
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[Vietnam:
South Vietnam: There was little Communist-ini-
tiated ground action during the past 24 hours.
In a major bombardment, however, some 30 rounds
of 130-mm. artillery fire hit the military complex
at Dong Ha, causing light damage and some casualties.
The attack followed other bombardments of major US
installations in III Corps and may reflect a renewed
emphasis on this type of assault by enemy forces.
Documents recently taken from an allegedly high-
level cadre in the III Corps area suggest that a re-
newal of fighting might be planned during the first
half of November. A similar time frame has been sug-
gested in some reporting from the northern coastal
provinces.
Any widespread enemy attacks, however, would al-
most certainly be accompanied by a return from base
areas of a substantial number of the major Communist
elements which appear to have been refitting and re-
supplying since the last phase of offensive operations
early this month.
North Vietnam: The growing difficulty in Sino-
Vietnamese political relations will almost certainly
be aggravated by an incident staged by the Chinese
Communists recently in Hanoi. North Vietnamese au-
thorities were compelled to use force in stopping a
fracas which developed between Soviet citizens and
Chinese Embassy personnel.
Open displays of Sino-Soviet hostility have been
extremely rare in Hanoi in the past. Chinese frus-
tration over the growing warmth. of relations between
the North Vietnamese and the Soviets is apparently
growing, however, and Peking is apparently more will-
ing now to actively harass the Soviets and embarrass
Hanoi on North Vietnamese territory.
23 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CYPRUS
Israelis Establish Jewish Settlements in Occupied Territories
Jewish settlements
o planned
? existing
91, t Nablus
Teyvvlf i ,1VE5T BANK
ISRAEL
Tel Aviv-1:,. (_N
Yafo{F//y^
SINAI
planned ?
existing 2
S Y R I A
*Damascus
GOLAN HEIGHTS
planned 24-26
existing 10
(not shown)
Yarmuk R.
WEST BANK
planned 3
existing 3
*Amman
Salem
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Israel: Deputy Prime Minister Allon has an-
nounced plans to increase the number of Jewish set-
tlements in the occupied Arab territories.
Allon, who is also minister of immigration and
absorption, observed on 18 October that more Jewish
settlements and urban centers should be put into
those new areas which "are vital for Israeli security
or of special historical significance for Jews."
He said the government plans to establish several
new settlements in occupied Jordan. A second
"nahal"--an agricultural settlement manned by para-
military units--would be founded at Etzion, south-
west of Jerusalem, and the present one turned into
a kibbutz. He also announced plans for a new Jewish
town at Hebron and one near Jericho.
on the West Bank of the Jordan, ten in the Golan
The government's stated policy toward the future
status of the occupied areas has been that it is
willing to withdraw to "secure and recognized bound-
aries." Israel, however, has as yet been unwilling
to delineate specifically what it would regard as
"secure boundaries." Since the war in June 1967,
Israel has established at least three settlements
Heights of Syria, and two in Sinai.
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France-Tunisia: A marked improvement in bilateral
relations has taken place in, the last several months.
Several high-level official. visits--including
De Gaulle's reception of Tunisia's secretary of state
for the presidency this month--have marked the grad-
ual rapprochement. The French parliament's approval
of a decree expanding the list of duty-free Tunisian
imports and Paris' transfer to Tunisian control of
four buildings at Bizerte, the former French naval
base in Tunisia, also have helped to symbolize the
improvement.
The first important French step toward normali-
zation of relations, badly strained by Tunisia's seiz-
ure of French colonists' lands in 1964, took place in
September 1967 with the visit of a French cabinet min-
ister to Tunisia and the subsequent renewal of French
project aid.
The major factors permitting improved relations
probably have been the passage of time and the con-
sequent cooling of De Gaulle's wrath over the nation-
alization. The deterioration in Franco-Algerian re-
lations and the ineffectiveness of France's policy
of dealing harshly with Tunisia were other factors.
Divergent political interests, the small size
of the Tunisian market, and the higher priority France
attaches to relations with other countries preclude a
substantial French economic contribution to Tunisia.
France's desire to protect what interests it still
has there, however, will probably lead to further
modest programs in the commercial, economic, military,
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Afghanistan: King Zahir has decided not to
sign into law a bill that would establish political
parties in Afghanistan.
Legislative processing of the bill, which had
been in the parliamentary mill for over two years,
was finally completed last May. Reporting since
then has reflected the King's dissatisfaction with
the bill and has indicated his intention to delay
signing it, perhaps until after the national elec-
tions of September 1969.
Zahir informed the US ambassador in Kabul on
12 October of his firm decision not to sign the
bill. The decision apparently was prompted not
only by Zahir's judgment that the bill was in-
adequate but also by his belief that formation
of political parties at this time would be pre-
mature and dangerous for his five-year-old "ex-
periment in democracy."
Extremists of the left and right, who have
already begun organizing, would have a clear ad-
vantage over the unorganized moderates in the forth-
coming election and might also be encouraged to re-
new the student and labor unrest of last spring.
The King apparently hopes that more competent rep-
resentatives will be elected in September and that
the new parliament will draw up a satisfactory bill.
All political groups would then have four years to
crystallize before facing another national election.
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East Germany: The regime has warned intellec-
tuals not to deviate from its strict cultural guide-
lines.
On 18 October,, party leader Ulbricht and Cul-
tural Minister Klaus Gysi made it clear to East Ger-
man writers and artists that "ideological coexistence"
and "decadent bourgeois influence" would not be tol-
erated. Recent events in Czechoslovakia were the
occasion for their statements and for a State Council
session which dealt with cultural matters.
Gysi stated that culture is "strategically im-
portant" in the world-wide struggle between socialism
and capitalism, and went on to score several Czecho-
slovak, Austrian, Italian, French, and Polish Marxist
philosophers who he charged had attempted to "disarm
Marxism." In this context he castigated the poet,
Wolf Biermann, and the physicist-philosopher, Robert
Havemann--two of the more famous dissident intellec-
tuals in East Germany.
The East German leaders also indicated that
they expect artists and writers to help in shaping
the "socialist community," and to fight against all
forms of cultural and ideological coexistence?
According to Ulbr.icht,, the basic prerequisite for
the literary and artistic solution of problems is
"love and unbreakable loyalty" to the GDR.
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Rumania: Bucharest has renewed its ideological
offensive against the Warsaw Pact Five.
Party leader Ceausescu, in two recent speeches
at Iasi, near the Soviet border, uncompromisingly
reaffirmed the determination of his regime and the
Rumanian people to defend their independence. He
specifically rejected the concept of suprasovereignty
advanced in Pravda on 25 September. Instead, he
reiterated the Rumanian formula that independence
and equality should be recognized even more under
socialism than under capitalism. He classed depar-
tures from the principles of sovereignty and equality--
implicitly by Moscow--as not in the spirit of Marx-
ism-Leninism but rather as "deviations."
Ceausescu also made a slighting reference to
the limited utility of the Soviet experience for
other socialist countries. He claimed that the old
methods of leading the Communist movement are a
hindrance to the revolutionary struggle, that such
tactics are doomed to failure, and that this has
been clear since the dissolution of the Comintern
in 1943.
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North Korea: Pyongyang apparently is sustain-
ing its border crossing operations at nearly the
high rate of September.
Following a lull during the first week of Oc-
tober, 18 infiltrators were killed between 14 and 21
October, more than for any other seven-day period so
far this year. Infiltration continues despite the
onset of cold weather, when the absence of foliage
exposes intruders to better observation by UN forces.
Most intruders still appear to be on reconnaissance
rather than sabotage or terrorist missions. Last
year, reconnaissance activity slacked off in the
fall.
The lateness of this year?s effort may indicate
that the North Koreans have failed to satisfy their
reconnaissance objectives. There have been rumors
among diplomats in Pyongyang that the North Korean
defense minister was becoming impatient with the
results of infiltrations so far this year.
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ISFIL~fff
Japan: The most recent ultraleftist student
violence has been widely criticized by the Japanese
press and public.
The press, which has often been critical of
government control measures, has in this instance
even endorsed the government's invocation of the
antiriot provisions of the penal code, which had
not been used since 1952. Over 900 arrests were
made throughout Japan, but most of the action oc-
curred in Tokyo. The destruction at a main rail-
road station in Tokyo, through which jet fuel for
US bases is shipped, was so severe that hundreds
of thousands of commuters were delayed for hours.
The radical student groups involved are con-
siderably more militant than the Japan Communist
Party student organizations. The ultraleftists
say that disorders this week are the first wave
in their struggle against the US-Japan Security
Treaty, which by its terms is subject to review
in 1970. The press reaction suggests, however,
that their emphasis on violent tactics, used in
part to provoke a police reaction, is becoming
counterproductive. The police have deliberately
restrained themselves in recent encounters with
the students, and the spectacle of the radical
student excesses has apparently further eroded
their alread waning popular support.
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[Panama: The political situation seems to be
calming down following the departure of Arnulfo
Arias from the Canal Zone. Some countries have al-
ready recognized the military government and others
appear ready to follow suit shortly.
Meanwhile, Arias` occupation of the Panamanian
Embassy in Washington will probably sharpen concern
among junta leaders about the nature of his inten-
tions and activities in the US.
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NOTES
Brazil: The US consulate in Sao Paulo has re-
ceived a warning that other US personnel face the
same fate as Army Captain Charles Chandler, who was
machine-gunned by terrorists on 12 October. Chandler's
death was the latest in a series of terrorist inci-,
dents in Sao Paulo this year, including more than
30 bombings of varying seriousness--two of them at
US installations., Few of the perpetrators have been
apprehended, and extremist groups of both the left
and right are capable of carrying out terrorism in
Sao Paulo.
Bolivia: President Barrientos claims to have
documentary proof that Cuba is once again involved
.in guerrilla operations in Bolivia. He told the US
ambassador on 17 October that troops have been sent
into the suspected guerrilla area. Barrientos added,
however, that his inability to provide adequate pay
and supplies to the armed forces is creating a rift
between the military and the government and that some
troops are refusing to comply with orders. In re-
questing US assistance to meet t.his.problem, the
President emphasized that without military support
he could not remain in office.
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