CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A012400080001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 8, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 29, 1968
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
2?October 1968
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No. 0299/68
29 October 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Czechoslovakia-USSR: Anti-Soviet youths demonstrated
in Prague yesterday. (Page 2)
Luxembourg: The coalition government is expected to
resign today. (Page 4)
Western Europe: Britain receives a psychological
boost in its bid for membership in the European
Community. (Page 5)
Peru: Service rivalries plague the military govern-
ment. (Page 6)
Israel: Reaction to clashes (Page 7)
Netherlands: Tank contract (Page 7)
UN-Korea: Korean debate (Page 7)
Mozambique - South Africa: Lend-lease aircraft
Page 8
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[South Vietnam: Ground fighting on 27-28 October
was limited to scattered clashes in the provinces
near Saigon.
The total number of persons currently imprisoned
or detained in South Vietnam is estimated at around
67,000. This figure includes military prisoners of
war (POWs), government military prisoners, civilian
prisoners, and detainees. This is a considerable
increase over past years and is due to the larger
number of enemy captured or arrested this year and
to efforts by the government to apply more effective
punitive measures.
From 1965 through September 1968, allied forces
captured approximately 19,600 Viet Cong and North
Vietnamese Army soldiers, according to government
figures. Over 9,400 of these were captured between
October 1967 and September 1968. At least 19,000
remain in POW camps. Major POW camps are located
at Da Nang, Pleiku, Qui Nhon, Bien Hoa, and Can Tho
cities, and on Phu Quoc Island in the Gulf of Siam.
Saigon is in the process of moving the bulk of
its military POWs from mainland camps to the large
new prison compound being built on Phu Quoc. The
transfer will ease the government's task of guard-
ing the growing numbers of Communist prisoners, be-
cause they will be isolated from the mainland and
out of reach of enemy forces seeking to free them.
At present, over 13,000 are incarcerated on the
island.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Czechoslovakia-USSR: Czechoslovak youths dem-
onstrated in Prague yesterday without provoking re-
prisals from the occupation troops R.
A crowd of students and young workers that
fluctuated between 1,000-3,000 marched from the
center of Prague to Hradcany Castle, the presidential
residence, where Czechoslovak leaders were hosting a
reception on the 50th anniversary of the first re-
public. The demonstrators, defying a ban of public
assemblies on the anniversary, filtered through sev-
eral police barriers en route to the castle. No So-
viet troops were seen in the area, although Soviet
Army staff cars monitored the progress of the march,
Several hundred youths demonstrated in down-
town Prague in the afternoon, They proceeded toward
the Soviet Embassy, but were repelled by police who
threatened to use clubs and make arrests if the dem-
onstrators went any further. In the evening, an
estimated 3,000 demonstrators gathered in the vi-
cinity of Prague's National Theater, where Dubcek
and Svoboda attended a special performance.I
In an effort to project an image of political
normalcy, the Soviets gave the anniversary standard
treatment in the press. A brief congratulatory mes-
sage from Soviet President. Podgorny to President
Svoboda appeared in Pravda. In addition, Izvestia
on 27 October carried anarticle on the anniversary
by Premier Cernik, and Pravda printed a similar
article by Svoboda yesterday. Both articles con-
tained a subdued defense of Dubcek's liberal pol-
icies and refrained from mentioning the invasion.
The USSR has allocated 16 million tons of
grain to meet Czechoslovakia's requirements for 1969,
300,000 tons more than the. quota for 1968, Approx-
imately one fourth of this amount, however, will be
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sent by the end of 1968. Although Radio Prague al-
leges that these additional imports will eliminate
Czechoslovakia's dependence on grain from capitalist
countries and thus save foreign exchange, it is
likely that feed-grain imports from the West will
continue.
29 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Luxembourg: Prime Minister Werner is expected
to submit the resignation of his governing coalition
of Christian Socialists and Socialists today.
The immediate cause is pressure from Socialist
trade union leaders for higher wages and greater
welfare benefits than the government believes it can
afford. Werner is also reportedly "fed up" because
his Socialist partners continue to seek public favor
on such issues at the expense of his party, which
has usually taken a conservative stand.
Werner probably will ask that elections be held
soon, most likely around 15 December. The US Em-
bassy expects that Werner's Christian Socialists may
lose a few seats, while the Socialists will hold
steady.
If the election turns out this way, the Chris-
tian Socialists may let the Socialists form a minor-
ity government. Werner and other party leaders are
said to believe that their party, after decades of
being in the government, needs a period of opposi-
tion in which to recoup.
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Western Europe: The admission of Britain's
three major parties to Jean Monnet's Action Committee
for the United States of Europe will give the British
bid for European Community (EC) membership a psycho-
logical boost at a time when other avenues toward
progress are poor.
Leaders of the major non-Communist political
parties and trade unions in all the EC countries, ex-
cept for the Gaullists in France, are represented on
the committee, which was formed in 1955. Although
the committee has not had a decisive impact on the
unity movement, it is the major private pressure
group involved. The British membership affirms a
full commitment of all three major parties to a fed-
erally united Europe. The parties' membership will
also help remove suspicions on the continent of pos-
sible future backsliding from that commitment. More-
over, the committee's proposed study of the practical
problems of British entry into the EC keeps the spe-
cific'issuesalive at a time when the French have
prevented any official consideration.
The Monnet committee's invitation and the Brit-
ish parties' acceptance have produced a highly fa-
vorable reaction on both sides of the channel. The
London Times notes that the committee will provide
a "procedure for serious discussion of the real
problems by leading figures in all seven countries";
Le Monde describes the Monnet action as a "major
change" regarding British entry. According to the
US Embassy in Paris, the French press has given prom-
inent play to this initiative, indicating that there
is considerable French support for British entry
despite the government's o osition.
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Peru: Traditional service rivalries have caused
the first open break in the unity of the new revolu-
tionary government. On 24 October, the minister of
aviation, a member of the original three-man junta,
resigned, apparently as a result of a dispute over
air force promotion policies.
The Peruvian armed services have always been
suspicious of each other, and the army's unilateral
action in overthrowing President Belaunde aggravated
this feeling. President Velasco has been able to
maintain personal control over the government and to
prevent service difficulties from hampering its op-
erations so far, but bickering among the military will
continue to be a major problem.
Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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Israel: The heavy casualty toll over the week-
end on the Suez, Jordanian, and. Syrian fronts has
come as a shock to the Israeli public. There appears
to be a widespread public feeling that the Israeli
defense forces must take action, in addition to
Saturday's shelling of the Egyptian refinery, to
reli.eve the Egyptians of the illusion that they can
create incidents in the canal area with impunity.
The newspaper Davar, which is close to the ruling
Labor Party coaalit on, and the independent but in-
fluential Haaretz both call for retaliation.
Netherlands: The government announced last
week that it will buy 415 Leopard tanks from West
Germany. The contract probably will amount to about
$100 million. The Leopard, which was chosen over
the US-German MBT-70 and the British Chieftain, will
replace almost two thirds of the Centurions cur-
rently in the Dutch inventory. A Dutch official
claims that the MBT-70 is too big, too heavy, too
complicated, and too expensive for the Royal Neth-
erlands Army. In addition, the Dutch want new tanks
as soon as possible; delivery of the Leopards is to
be completed by mid-1970.
UN-Korea: Marathon negotiations have produced
a compromise arrangement for scheduling debate on
the Korea question in the General Assembly's main
political committee. The committee has resisted
Soviet pressure to deal immediately with the ques-
tion of inviting North Korea to attend the debate,
and instead will interrupt the debate on disarma-
ment in late November to decide the invitation
issue. Two weeks later it will take up the sub-
stantive Korea question. The compromise gives
those opposing North Korea's seating a chance to
develop support for their resolution, which con-
ditions an invitation to North Korea on Pyongyang's
willingness to accept UN com etence to deal with
Korean affairs.
29 Oct 68 Central Intelligence Bulletin
(continued)
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Mozambique - South Africa: E
at least two and probably six
vampire Jet igi ers with Portuguese markings on a
Mozambique airfield in early September. This is the
first hard evidence of the Portuguese using Vampires
in Africa; the Portuguese have tried hard for sev-
eral years to augment their meager inventory of
jets to combat insurgency. The :British-designed
Vampires probably come from South Africa, which now
is assembling more modern jets.
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