CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A013500040001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 7, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 15, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
51
15 April 1969
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No. 0090/69
15 April 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Czechoslovakia: Apprehension is spreading over
what may occur at the central committee plenum
later this week. (Page 2)
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Japan: Leftists are planning a series of potentially
violent actions. (Page 5)
India - East Germany: India's trade office in East
Berlin now has official status. (Page 6)
ENDC: Seabeds arms control (Page 7)
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,,South Vietnam: Enemy-initiated military ac-
tion remained light throughout the country on 13-14
April.
Communist mortar and rocket attacks dropped
off from the levels of the previous three nights,
as 15-odd targets, mostly military bases, were hit.
Casualties and damage were generally light. Enemy
ground forces conducted only one strong assault,
against a South Vietnamese Army compound just south
of Saigon in Long An Province.
Other significant clashes were forced by US
units on sweep operations northwest of Saigon and
in the Mekong Delta area.
25X1
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Czechoslovakia: Apprehension is spreading
within the party and among the population over
what may occur at the crucial central committee
plenum that opens on 17 April.
According to unconfirmed press reports, Dubcek
and possibly other Czechoslovak. leaders will fly
to Moscow to discuss the agenda of the plenum.
There are rumors that the central committee will
agree to abolish the executive committee of the
presidium--the "inner presidium" created last No-
vember--and scale down the body from 21 to about
13 members. This may, in fact, be the leadership's
response to Soviet demand for the removal of sev-
eral prominent progressives.
Party conservatives, who do not hold a major-
ity in the central committee, will probably attempt
to use the tensions--which they and the Soviets are
helping to generate---to start at general movement
toward retrenchment and a return to "realism." In
the face of these tactics, the liberals are becom-
ing disheartened. One important progressive doubts
that Dubcek is tactically aware enough to withstand
a concerted challenge by the pro-Soviet conserva-
tives.
The Dubcek leadership has come under unprece-
dented attack by Hungarian party chief Kadar, who
for reasons of his own has criticized its vacilla-
tion. A full text of Kadar's speech is as yet un-
available, but Moscow's Pravda has approvingly
quoted Kadar's criticism, adding to unease in Prague.
On 12 April. the principal Czechoslovak party
paper, Rude Pravo, indulged in self-criticism by
admitting its failure to launch a. campaign against
dissident mass media; in so doing it indirectly
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criticized the party leadership for lack of direc-
tion. This self-censure reflects the paper's "new
look" with a conservative editorial staff.
Students at Prague's Charles University yes-
terday staged a one-day "teach in" during which
they reportedly listened to speeches by liberal
trade union officials and journalists. According
to one press account, several progressive members
of the central committee also attended, which could
add another argument in support of conservative
charges that party liberals are organizing such dis-
sidence. There is still no information to confirm
rumors and press reports that the Soviets have moved
or are preparing to move additional troops into
Czechoslovakia,
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Japan: Japanese leftists are planning a se-
ries of potentially violent actions during the next
two weeks--
Ultraradical students are emphasizing the re-
turn ofThkinawa as a theme in their continuing ef-
forts to create opposition to renewal of the US-
Japan security treaty in 1970. They are billing
their activities as a rehearsal for a major effort
to block Prime Minister Sato's visit to the US next
fall.
The campaign is to begin on 17 April with a
dockside'-demonstration to greet a delegation of
radical students arriving in Tokyo from Okinawa.
Other activities tentatively scheduled include
"raids" on the US Embassy, the Diet Building, the
prime minister's residence, and the Defense Agency
complex. the students may
adopt new weapons and tactics, such as hit-and-run
guerrilla actions aimed at overtaxing police
strength 1
Ithe stu-
dents may crash a 30,000- to 40,000-strong peace-
ful rally of Socialists, Communists, and union mem-
bers on the annual Okinawa Reversion Day, 28 April,
and try to provoke a ma or confrontation between
demonstrators and police;
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India - East Germany: India's upgrading of
its trade office in East Berlin to the status of
an official trade representation may be a step to-
ward eventual recognition of East Germany.
New Delhi has been under increasing pressure,
both domestically and from the Soviets and. East
Germans; to regularize relations with the German
Democratic Republic. A Communist-sponsored resolu-
tion in the Indian parliament last month calling
for full diplomatic recognition of the GDR. might
well have passed if there had been time for a vote.
During the debate a substantial number of Congress
Party members spoke in favor of the resolution.
Indian officials insist that their present
trade office in East Berlin cannot adequately cope
with growing East German purchases of Indian ex-
ports. Furthermore, in the absence of official
status for the trade office, the GDR has refused
to permit pouch service between East Berlin and
Indian embassies in Prague and Moscow.
25X1
Bonn, nonethe-
- to regar 3:ul recognition of
the Pankow government as an unfriendly act and is
probably relieved that New Delhi is willing to set-
tle for something less. For their part,; the Indians
are anxious not to further antagonize the Bonn
government--India's second largest Western a_Ld
donor--and probably calculate that additional moves
in the direction of reco nition can now be staved
off for several ears.
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ENDC: The _"nonaligned eight" at the Eighteen
Nation Disarmament Committee (ENDC) now seem will-
ing to give priority to seabeds arms control nego-
tiations. During the early weeks of the session,
which began on 18 March, these nonnuclear countries
had favored a comprehensive test ban as the item
most urgently requiring attention, and were sus-
picious of US and Soviet emphasis on seabeds. With
real progress unlikely soon on such a ban or on a
cutoff of production of fissionable material for
weapons usage, seabeds control offers the best pros-
pect for positive results before the start of the
24th General Assembl .
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