CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A013900070001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 5, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: June 11, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
-51
11 June 1969
Approved For Release 2003/03/28 : CIA-RDP79T00975A013900070001-0
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No. 0139/69
11 June 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Brazil: Government efforts to prevent anti-Rockefeller
incidents may in fact increase hostility. (Page 3)
Chile: A police search of a university has added to
President Frei's problems. (Page 4)
South Korea: The confidence of opponents of a third
term for President Pak is growing. (Page 5)
Finland-USSR: Helsinki has decided to negotiate the
purchase of its first nuclear power plant. (Page 7)
India-Nepal: No progress has been made toward alle-
viating strains in Indo-Nepalese relations. (Page 8)
USSR - Middle East: Gromyko visit to Cairo (Page 9)
Nigeria: Arms airlift to Biafra (Page 9)
Syria - Communist China: Military aid
(Page 9)
Southern Yemen: Army's attitude (Page 10)
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THAILAND
Se ravane
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'Ban Me
Thuat
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I South Vietnam: The Vietnamese Communists have
staked out a formal claim to a share of political
power in South Vietnam by setting up a provisional
regime as a rival to the Saigon government.
The step was announced in a series of broad-
casts by the Viet Cong's Liberation Radio on 10
June. It was billed as an outgrowth of consulta-
tions.between the Liberation Front and the other
major Communist front, the Alliance, but it prob-
ably was an integral part of the Communist program
which began unfolding on 8 May with the Front's
ten-point proposal for ending the war.
The new "government" probably is designed both
to rally support from forces in South Vietnam op-
posing the Thieu government and as a device for as-
serting Communist authority in an interim period
leading up to new general elections. It seems to
be directly linked to the passage in the Front's
program which specifies that during this period
"neither party shall impose its political regime
on the people of South Vietnam."
The personnel in the cabinet and the advisory
council announced by the Liberation Front radio ap-
pear to be drawn largely from well-known figures in
the Front and the Alliance.
Ground fighting picked up sharply on 9-10 June
with the heaviest action taking place in I and III
corps.
(continued)
11 Jun 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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(More than 200 Communist troops were killed in
three battles in Quang Nam Province and another 100
died during engagements in two provinces near Saigon.
Most of this ground action developed from allied in-
itiatives. An upsurge in enemy shellings during the
same period, however, underscored Communist hopes of
keeping up a credible show of strength through the
current so-called offensive phase.
) F7 I
(Ma
p
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Brazil: The government's efforts to prevent
incidents that could mar Governor Rockefeller's
visit may in fact be increasing hostility toward
his missiOD
The police appear frequently unable, however,
to differentiate between possible terrorists and
outspoken student opponents of the government. This
lack of discrimination, and the security forces' oc-
casional brutality in dealing with detained students,
are focusing student hostility on the visit. Stu-
dents have scheduled a general university strike and
agitation from now until 16 June to demonstrate op-
position to the government and in hopes of frustrat-
ing and tiring security forces prior to the mis-
sion's visit. Last night students attacked a USIS
library in Rio e Janeiro destroying a number of
books but apparently causing little other damage.
They also distributed leaflets protesting the Rocke-.
feller visit.
The government's heavy-handedness has now been
extended to the communications media. The Justice
Ministry issued a circular on 7 June prohibiting
any reporting on--among many other subjects--hostile
acts against the Rockefeller mission in other coun-
tries on its itinerary, or the possibility of post-
ponement or cancellation of its trip to Brazil. The
circular also "recommended" that the media collabor-
ate to create a climate favorable to the success of
the visit
The greatest potential danger probably comes
not from student protesters but from small, trained
terrorist groups which might take this opportunity
to attack US installations or the Governor's party.
The government is determined to prevent such action,
but its record against the well- r anized terrorist
groups has not been impressive.
11 Jun 69 Central me z ce u etin
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Chile: A police search of the University of
Concepcion has given President Frei still another
problem.
Leftist parties have charged that police vio-
lated university autonomy--although Chilean law
does not specify that universities are autonomous.
The search was initiated after a newspaper editor
charged that leftist students--specifically members
of the extremist Movement of the Revolutionary Left--
had kidnaped and maltreated him. The university has
been a base for terrorist activity by that movement,
and the searchers found a large quantity of extrem-
ist propaganda and materials for molotov cocktails
in the headquarters of the student federation.
Left-wing congressmen from Frei's Christian
Democratic Party may seize on the outcry against
the police action as an excuse to join the opposi-
tion in the motion of censure now pending against
Minister of Interior Perez Zujovic, whose hard-line
policies are coming under heavy criticism. If he
should be censured by both houses, he would be under
a moral but not a legal obligation to resign.
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South Korea: The confidence of opponent
of a third"term for President Pak is growing
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about 30 government asse ymen are so i y
against an amendment that would remove the consti-
tutional-ban on a -third term. The regime would
need the support of virtually all of its- ruling
party assemblymen to pass the amendment.
Most of the rebels within the party reportedly
believe that. they have been identified by Pak's sup-
porters and have rno hope of being renpminated by
the party for the assembly in 1971 if the-third
term amendment carries. Thus, even though pressures,
including physical intimidation, will be great, they
believe they have no choice but to hold their groun~.
Leaders of the major opposition party are also
confi ent that the amendment will be defeated. The
opposition party made an unusual show of unanimity
at its annual convention in May, a situation undoubt-
edly brought about by anticipation of the upcoming
fight over the amendment. The party's Antiamendment
Struggle Committee has already set up 50 district
branches and plans to start speech campaigns in
June. In addition, the committee is recruiting
college students to stage sit-down protests in front
of the National Assembly and ruling party head-
quarters in June. At a press conference on 10 June
which was given headline coverage in all the Seoul
papers, the president of the opposition part
pledged "every means" to black the amendment.
Supporters of Pak have been predicting victory
for t e amendment. The ruling party's secretary
general told the press on 3 June that the government
would have more than enough votes when the amendment
goes before the assembly. The regime is, however,
exerting great efforts to limit the public impact
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of opposition politicians and is closely monitgring
and restricting activities of students and intellec-
tuals.
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a as no ye pu is y committed himself on the
constitutional change and is unlikely ~o do so u -
he is assured of ne,a,~y unanimous party support.
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Finland--USSR: Helsinki has announced its de-
cision to deg- n negotiations with the USSR for the
purchase of its first nuclear power plant, but no
date has yet been set for the talks.
Construction of the plant has been the subject
of heated debate since 1965. Several times the gov-
ernment has asked both the USSR and Western coun-
tries for bids, but on each occasion has canceled
its plans because of pressures from Moscow not to
accept the Western bids, even though they were lower
and technically preferable. The Finns declined to
consider any Soviet bid until agreement had been
reached on a Western-style bilateral treaty~on the
peaceful uses of nuclear energy; such a treaty was
finally signed on 14 May of this year. The Finns
now plan to tackle serious differences with the
Russians over safety requirements in plant construc-
tion.
According to current speculation, negotiations
will begin in August, but widespread Finnish opposi-
tion to the purchase may lead to a delay. The final
purchase will not be arranged until the negotiations
end, perhaps in 1970.
Finland has made clear that it wants to acquire
additional nuclear plants from the West. It will,
however, delay placing any orders until the conclu-
sion of a bilateral treaty with the US on the peace-
ful uses of nuclear energy. This treaty would en~
sure fuel supplies for reactors from third countries,
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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India-Ne a:L> No progress appears to have been
made in t e latest attempt to alleviate strains in
Indo-Nepalese relations.
Indian For~:ign Minister Dinesh Singh's five-
day official vi:~it to Nepal ended Monday, apparently
without resolvixig any of the irritants that have
caused relation: to decline to their lawest point
in recent years a, Outstanding issues include a dis-
pute over a small piece of land on the Indo-Nepalese
border and dissatisfaction over trade and transit
procedures.
Amore sen.,:Ltive issue from the Indian stand-
point is Nepal's persistdnt request that Indian per-
sonnel be withdrawn from the 17 or 18 jointly manned
checkposts ?n the Nepalese side of the border with
Tibet, Katmandu strongly ob`eets to the Indian role
i.n the checkpost: operation,
but its main purpose in raising the issue may
e in hopes of E:xtracti:ng concessions from India.
In particular, i.t seeks an easing of regulations
against-the sale of certain Nepalese-manufactured
goods in India. New Delhi tends to discount the
Nepalese argument that Communist China is applying
heavy pressure i.ri Katmandu for the Indian withdrawal.
Details on the lengthy bargaining sessions are
unknown, but Sir.~gh apparently did not make any con-
ciliatory gesturesq His exposure to Nepalese views,
however, may eve:r~tually lead to more responsive In-
dian action? The Nepalese foreign minister has ac-
cepted Singh's i;rYVitation_to visit India for further
Centr~xl Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR - Middle East: Soviet Foreign Minister
Gromyko arrived in Cairo on IO June, presumably to
discuss the next step in the search for a political
settlement in the Middle East. The Soviets and the
Egyptians have held many high-level discussions at
the ambassadorial level since last month, while the
four powers in New York have been preparing recom-
mendations for UN emissary Jarring's future efforts.
On his last trip to Cairo from 21-24 December 1968,
Gromyko won Egyptian approval of the Sovie eace
plan" presented to the US on 30 December
Nigeria: .The federal air force appears deter-
mined to stop the vulnerable nightly arms airlift
to Biafra, which is the secessionists' only channel
for .war materiel, About half the aircraft used for
relief flights have been grounded since 5 June when
a federal MIG-17 shot dawn a Red Cross plane. Arms
flights, however, have continued at a slightly re-
duced rate. Nigeria does not have the capability
to intercept all flights going into Biafra, but
continued attacks by the MIG-17s could cause a fur-
ther reduction in arms deliveries and might w~
force still more cutbacks relief flight~s~
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Syria - Communist China: The Chinese appar-
ently did not offer significant military aid to the
Syrian Army chief of staff during his visit to
Peking late last month. The Syrians are consid-
ering purchasing Chinese military radio equipment,
but they are also negotiating with several Western
electronics companies for similar equipment. Da-
mascus is likely to continue to rely on th~~USSR
as its major source of military supplie~
Jun entry Inte igence Bu etin
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Southern Yemen: ~TYie army is reportedly dis-
turbed over Fresic~.ent Qaht - ?' -
in lv leftist tendencies.
the army, which is drawn from moderate
tribal elements, is saki to fear that Qahtan al-
Shaabi may make undesirable political commitments
to the leftist regimes he is visiting in North Ko-
rea and Syria< The army is also reported to be
pressing for restrictions on local leftist activi-
tie s Qahtan's cousin, Faysal al-Shaabi, who is
also the prime minister, may be encouraging the
disaffection in the army in the hope of gaining the
presidency__for himself i.n the event oahtan is
?
ousted.
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11 Jun 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 10
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