CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014300100002-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 29, 2004
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: August 14, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
State Department review completed 14 August 1969
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No. 0194/69
14 August 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
Communist China - USSR: '.Phe latest border clash
does not appear to be a deliberate prelude to en-
larged military action. (Page 3)
USSR-Mediterranean: The Soviet Navy may conduct
sizable operations in the next two weeks. (Page 4)
Malaysia: Prime Minister Rahman will try to reassume
a paramount position in the government. (Page 6)
India-Nepal: Conciliatory gestures by both countries
may mark an easing in their recently troubled rela-
tions. (Page 7)
Bolivia: Political situation (Page 8)
Uruguay: Civil disturbances (Page 8)
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C South Vietnam: The latest surge of Communist
military activity was shortlived; action yesterday
was greatly reduced.
The sharp decrease in Communist attacks rein-
forces earlier signs that the enemy's autumn campaign
will consist of a series of "high points," followed
by periods of relatively light activity. The next
attacks may be scheduled to coincide with the up-
coming Communist holiday on 19 August. Large enemy
formations continue to maneuver in the area north-
west of Saigon where several reports predict the
enemy intends to attack soon.
President Thieu and Prime Minister Huong have
resolved at least some of their differences over
pending cabinet changes.
The two leaders have agreed to broaden the
makeup of the cabinet. Although details are lacking,
it seems likely that Huang will now stay on as prime
minister in exchange for his agreeing to Thieu's call
for more politicians in the new cabinet.
14 Aug 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
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New Incident Reported Along Sino-Soviet Border
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Communist China - USSR: The latest border
clash appears to be an outgrowth of the high level
of tension that now exists rather than a deliberate
prelude to enlarged military action.
The exchange on 13 August is the latest in a
series of armed incidents that have occurred recently
along this same stretch of the Sinkiang-Kazakhstan
border. Last June, the two sides exchanged charges
of an "armed intrusion." :[n May, the Soviets claimed
that Chinese troops had "illegally" occupied several
square miles of their frontier territory.
Peking was the first to publicize the clash,
portraying the Soviets as the unreasonable, aggressive
party in the dispute. Then each side immediately
delivered a note to the other accusing it of provoking
the clash.
The notes imply that this is one of the largest
clashes since the incidents last March on the Ussuri
River along,the eastern portion of the frontier. Ac-
cording to the Chinese note, "several hundred" troops
were involved and a "number" of casualties resulted.
The Soviets also claim to have "detained" two Chinese
officers.
Recent developments, including the limited agree-
ment on border river navigation signed in Khabarovsk
last week, have suggested that neither side wishes
the inflamed border situation to get out of hand.
Neither country is likely to compromise fundamental
positions, however, and this latest incident can only
increase the tensions in the border situation and add
to its explosive potential. I(Map)
14 Aug 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR-Mediterranean:
The Soviet Na
vy may
con-
duct sizable operations
next two weeks.
in the Mediterr
anean in the
A guided missile cruiser which visited Bulgaria
earlier this week passed through the Bosporus yester-
day.
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J
` ive
ranea
missi
o
ot
n,
le
her ships
including
cruisers,
have
one
an A
recently entered
of the new Kresta
lligator-class la
the Mediter-
-class guided
nding ship,
two guided missile frigates, and a guided missile
destroyer, 25X1
I I
Many of the ships now in the Mediterranean may
soon return to Soviet waters, but could join the new
arrivals in a major operation--possibly including an
amphibious landing on the Egyptian coast--before
going home. Several Soviet warships joined the Egyp-
tians in such an exercise a year ago.
14 Aug 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Malaysia: Prime Minister Rahman has decided to
play an act v role in the National Operations Coun-
cil, which has ruled Malaysia since the outbreak of
communal violence last May.
Rahman told the press on 12 August that he will
start participating in the ruling council next week.
He implied that he would take over direction of the
council from Deputy Prime Minister Razak.
Both Razak and Home Minister Ismail, the num-
ber two man on the council, have opposed extremist ef-
forts to unseat the prime minster. It is not at all
certain, however, that they are fully behind Rahman's
efforts to reassume a paramount position in the gov-
ernment. There has been a widespread expectation
that Razak would take over completely in the fairly
near future. This view was based not only on Rah-
man's age and health but, more importantly, on the
fact that he no longer commands significant support
within the Malay community.
No matter how carefully Rahman may move in the
coming weeks, his efforts to reassert his authority
will be opposed by the Malay extremists. Rahman's
efforts could also lead to factional infighting which
would weaken the moderate camp.
14 Aug 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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India-Nepal: Conciliatory gestures by both
Nepal and India-may mark an easing in recently trou-
bled relations between the two countries.
The Nepalese publicly announced on 12 August
their intention to negotiate with New Delhi for the
withdrawal from Nepal of Indian military advisers
and checkpoint personnel stationed near the Tibet-
Nepal border. They also noted, with unusual cordial-
ity, that both countries had made efforts to seek
"just and mutually satisfactory solutions" to bilat-
eral problems. Although discussions on trade prob-
lems, originally scheduled for mid-August, have been
postponed, they are likely to be held after the po-
litical talks.
A warming trend in Indian-Nepalese relations
has been evident since 21 July when the Indian for-
eign minister announced India's willingness "in prin-
ciple" to withdraw its military advisers and border
watchers and to hold bilateral negotiations.
Mutual self-interest tends to favor conciliation
because each side is well aware that only Communist
China can profit from a further deterioration in In-
dian-Nepalese relations.
14 Aug 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Bolivia: Relations are tense again between
President S les and armed forces. commander in chief
Ovando following Siles' appointment of a number of
prefects and mayors without consulting Ovando. Be-
cause these local officials will interpret and im-
plement electoral laws during the elections next
year, Ovando wants any vacant posts filled with
administrators who will be sympathetic to his cam-
paign. Ovando plans to meet with the regional army
commanders on 15 August to consider the entire range
of Siles' increasingly independent actions. Although
he told the US ambassador that he would overthrow
Sites if the commanders so decided, Ovando would
probably resist pressures to take such action.
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Uruguay: Civil disturbances, possibly including
attacks on US property, are expected in Montevideo
today. The Communist Party and radical student
groups will be commemorating the anniversary of the
death of Liber Arce, a Communist student killed dur-
ing student-police clashes a year ago. President
Pacheco put the country under a limited state of
siege last month, and the security forces are re-
ared to deal forcefull with any trouble. 25X1
14 Aug 69
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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