CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014500070001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 28, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 11, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
"11 September 1969
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 SECRET
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No. 0218/69
11 September 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
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Panama: The US may be asked to resume talks on the
canal treaties. (Page 4)
Ja2an: A new organization of student extremists
will lead opposition to the security treaty. (Page 5)
Norway: The coalition has been returned to office
by the barest margin. (Page 6)
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UN: Aviation safety (Page 7)
Bolivia: Guerrilla leader (Page 7)
Czechoslovakia: Buying spree (Page 8)
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Vietnam:
In Saigon, some concern is being expressed by
supporters as well as critics of President Thieu
that the once feared and now discredited Can Lao
Party of the Diem era may enjoy a resurgence under
the Khiem cabinet. Several new ministers, along
with Khiem himself, are being mentioned as former
members of the Can Lao, which served as the late
president's clandestine instrument of political con-
trol. Reports that some of these ministers are al-
ready staffing jobs with Can Lao cadres have contrib-
uted to current apprehension.
The self-declared Communist cease-fire has
ended amid continuing signs that the enemy plans an-
other other surge of attacks soon.
(continued)
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The attacks will probably take the form of
widespread shellings so prevalent in recent enemy
"high points." A limited number of ground probes
against allied installations in the provinces north-
west of Saigon can be expected. There is also evi-
dence that additional surges in Communist militar
activity are planned for later this month.
11 Sep 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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Panama: The appointment of new advisers on
canal treaty matters could foreshadow a formal re-
quest to resume talks on the long-dormant draft
canal treaties.
The Foreign Ministry announced earlier this
week that the new three-man team, including one
staunch nationalist with anti-US views, has been
charged with re-evaluating all issues relating to
the canal. Government-inspired press commentary
quoted official sources as stating that negotia-
tions with the US have never been suspended and will
merely be "reintensified." In addition, the govern-
ment has requested advisory assistance from the
United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America
in negotiating the treaties. This maneuver may be
intended to bolster international support for Pana-
manian objectives. These moves suggest that Panama
may press hard for new concessions in any revived
round of talks.
There is growing evidence that the country's
military rulers hope to demonstrate that their po-
sition is sufficiently strong to deal with the im-
portant treaty question. Moreover, national guard
strongman General Torrijos probably wants to por-
tray US agreement to resume talks as a sign of un-
qualified support for his dictatorial regime.
It is possible that Torrijos will attempt to
discuss the canal treaties and increased aid with
US officials during a scheduled visit to the US
later this month to attend the Ninth Conference of
American Army Commanders.
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Japan: Extremist elements of the student move-
ment have pulled together into a new "mass" organ-
ization to lead the drive against the US-Japan mutual
security treaty.
The new group, Zenkyoto, brings together eight
radical, violence-prone student factions and joint
struggle councils from 42 universities. Putting
aside their fierce campus rivalries, more than 10,000
members of these groups participated in an inaugural
rally last week without the usual clashes. The new
group also involves more moderate students who are
normally interested primarily in campus issues.
As part of their antitreaty struggle, the stu-
dents pledged to block by force the departure of
Prime Minister Sato for the US in the late fall.
The group has also announced its intention to para-
lyze universities throughout the country in coming
months.
Meanwhile, the traditional opposition mass
groups, the Socialists, Communists, and the major
labor federation, have said that they will abstain
from violence, at least during the campaign to block
Sato's trip to the US. These groups are anxious to
dissociate themselves from the violent tactics of
the radical students which have met with increasing
popular disapproval.
To cope with anticipated antitreaty demonstra-
tions, 25,000 police in Tokyo are being placed on
emergency alert for riot control duty full
year beginning 1 October. F -1
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Norway: The parliamentary elections held the
beginning of this week returned the center-right co-
alition to office by only the barest margin.
The combined majority of the coalition parties
in Parliament shrank from ten to two, but the loss
was not evenly distributed. Prime Minister Per
Borten's Center Party actually gained two seats, thus
strengthening his hold on the leadership of the co-
alition. The opposition Labor Party increased its
representation six seats, and in the process shut
out the radical left Socialist People's Party (SPP).
The SPP thus joins the Communists as the only
national political party without a voice in Parlia-
ment, and for many of the same reasons. These in-
clude lack of leadership, ideological and genera-
tional splits, disaffection following the invasion
of Czechoslovakia, and a concerted effort by the La-
bor Party to rally the left under its banner.
Within the coalition, discussions on the allo-
cation of cabinet portfolios have intensified but
no major changes are expected. Prime Minister Per
Borten has pointed out that with their reduced mar-
gin in Parliament the four bourgeois parties will
have to enforce strict discipline on their members.
This will fall hardest on the few Liberals who have
occasionally adopted positions contrary to the coa-
lition and who have already called for the party's
withdrawal from the government.
In an effort to exploit the differences within
the coalition as well as vent its own frustrations
over its narrow defeat, the Labor Party is expected
to call for a vote of no confidence when the new
Parliament convenes. Even though it is not likely
that such a vote would succeed at this point, the
government has been put on notice that its margin
for error is nonexistent.
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UN: Finland is sounding out the permanent mem-
bers of the UN Security Council about an initiative
on international civil aviation safety.
cua or.
appears ready to take the issue to e U following
the recent hijacking of two military aircraft to
Cuba which resulted in the death of a copilot. The
International Federation of Airline Pilots has
threatened a 24-hour strike of all international
flights if the Security Council does not come up
with effective measures for flight protection in
two weeks time.
Bolivia: Guido "Inti" Peredo, the self-pro-
claime-T-I-e-aacer of the pro-Castro Army of National
Liberation, was killed Tuesday by Bolivian military
and police personnel in La Paz. Peredo was one of
only two Bolivian guerrillas to survive the ill-
fated insurgency campaign led by Cuba's "Che" Gue-
vara in 1967. His death deprives the extremists of
a potential rallying point for guerrilla activity.
(continued)
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Czechoslovakia: Prague residents are reported
to be on another buying spree. This latest wave of
buying is caused by continued inflation and by fears
that the Czechoslovak crown will be devalued. Shop-
pers are said to be hoarding all types of consumer
articles purchased on both the open and black mar-
kets. The party daily Rude Pravo has complained that
factories and stores, instead ofincreasing produc-
tion to keep up with demand, have raised their prices,
thus spurring inflation.
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