CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014700040001-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 2, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 7, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Hill
eet
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Secret
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No. 0240/69
7 October 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: The Communists continue their shelling
of allied positions. (Page 1)
USSR-Libya: Moscow is disturbed over the anti-
Soviet attitude of the new government. (Page 2)
Brazil: The military has chosen Medici to succeed
Costa e Silva as President. (Page 3)
Venezuela: The military remains nervous about guer-
rilla activity. (Page 5)
Chile: The government is becoming convinced that
military dissatisfaction could be serious. (Page 6)
International Trade: The meeting of wheat-exporting
nations ended on a cooperative note. (Page 7)
Israel: Fedayeen problems (Page 8)
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Libya: Factions developing (Page 9)
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AVERAGE STRENGTH
NORTH OF ENEMY UNITS
VIETNAM Battalion: VC 200- 400
NVA 300- 500
Demilitarized Zone
Regiment: VC 1,000-1,500
NVA 1,200-2,000
Division: VC 5,000-7,000
NVA 5,0008,000
N0.M1 11 CORPS
LAOS
t,3r-:. ,I
THAILAND
Vr"
CAMBODIA
NH
+ i.gen r nN ~ i f'
r. rJ r
igct~
UON - Thy Ill CORPS
_..V
Capital Special Zone
'.U NH uH \~
3. N
THiEN
IV CORPS
L3 Y F N
SOUTH VIETNAM
OF 'I- I
MILES
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C South Vietnam: The Communists continued their
upsurge of rocket and mortar attacks against allied
military positions during the night of 5-6 October.
The bombardments, which again were mostly con-
fined to the Mekong Delta region, were generally
light and resulted in relatively few casualties.
Several sharp ground.clashes were also reported in
scattered parts of the country. In Quang Ngai Prov-
ince, an enemy force struck a US Army bivouac posi-
tion, killing four Americans and wounding 20 more.
Other, smaller-scale ground attacks occurred in IV
(Map) I
7 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR-Libya: Moscow appears to be disturbed over
the continued anti.-Soviet attitude of the new Libyan
Government
the new government has im-
pose even more stringent controls on the embassy
than did the monarchy.
the guard force on the embass has been doubled.
rr-ovement s monitored
embassy officials have been unable to see ze minister
of foreign affairs and have been forced to deal with
subordinate
The Soviets in Libya are also chagrined because
of Tri5_Oli's lack of interest in various Soviet pro-
posals, including offers of military supplies and
technical assistance. In addition, embassy officials
have shown irritation with Libyan red tape a. delays
that they consider deliberately discriminatory.
Soviet Embassy officials suspect that the new
Libyan Government's attitude is due to a small anti-
Russian clique in the Foreign Ministry. In any case,
the new regime--which is still striving to consol-
idate its control of Libya--is so fax proving e call
suspicious of Soviet and Western activities 1
7 Oct 69 Central. Intelligence Bulletin 2
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I Brazil: CiQ_neral Emilio Medici has been selected
to succeed ailing President Costa e Silva.
A high military source told the US Embassy that
Medic. formal selection was made by the armed ser-
vices joint high command yesterday morning, and the
public announcement of this decision was expected
shortly.
The 63-year-old Medici is a firm supporter of
Costa e Silva. During the President's first two
years in office, Medici was one of his closest ad-
visers as head of the National Intelligence Service.
Medici is a well-regarded career military man who is
considered a moderate politically. He strongly
backed the executive's assumption of increased au-
thoritarian powers last December, but he apparently
did not oppose Costa e Silva's more recent intention
to permit a very limited return to politi l normalcy.
Medici advocates good relations with the US
The governing triumvirate is likely to make
othexkey political decisions soon, possibly includ-
ing a reopening of the purged congress at least long
enough to ratify the selection of Medici.
long delay in choosing Costa e Silva's suc-
cessoriad caused widening criticism in military
circles. Many officers believed that some ambitious
individuals were using the delay to create a politi-
cal climate of uncertainty and doubt. The officers
placed much of the blame on the President's wife,
who reportedly tried to persuade him not to resign,
and on a handful of his close advisers who have been
fearful of losing their 'o s.
The officers have also been concerned about the
refusal of General Albuquerque Lima--who carried on
the most extensive campaign to become Costa e Silva's
successor--to admit defeat. The general sent a let-
ter to the army minister vehemently protesting the
service high command's failure to consider his candi-
dacy for the presidency. Some of the young officers
who support Albuquerque _na have circulated similar _
7 Oct 69 entra me igence Bulletin
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VENEZUELA: Areas of Guerrilla Activity
Merida
fan, Cristobal
EhaAsancion
San FI" c
Bar uisimeto Los T~ qu sue' mach- m0- r 7
/! a M racaY BarF4
Barinas
an Carlos
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Venezuela: The military remains nervous about
the outbreak of guerrilla activity late last month.
Minor incidents continue in western Venezuela,
but in the east, where the most serious attacks had
occurred, the guerrillas have not followed up their
initiatives. There is no confirmation of an alleged
guerrilla landing near Puerto Piritu nor of numerous
reports of impending actions. Such reports are com-
mon during periods of heightened guerrilla activity
and are more likely to reflect military nervousness
than guerrilla activities or intentions.
The four army battalions operating in the
eastern zone have been unable to locate the guerrillas
responsible for the recent incidents. Military lead-
ers.reportedly would like to conduct more. aggressive
operations against the guerrillas, but they appar-
ently are being restrained by higher authorities.
(Map)
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Chile: The government is becoming convinced
,that growing i
ff-
ssatisfaction in the armed forces
could lead to serious incidens.
President Frei has abandoned his earlier re-
fusal to grant the military a pay raise. He probably
realizes that complaints over low pay are a symptom
of widespread military unrest and that the discontent
has important political implications.
Officers of various political views have been
losing con.fidencee in the Frei government for some
time. Younger officers resent the economic and
social gulf between them and their superiors. Most
officers believe that commanders who are political
appointees do not. effectively represent the mili-
tary or maintain its prestige. They also complain
about obsolete and inadequate equipment.
Conservative officers who look to energetic
General Roberto Viaux for leadership reportedly
plan to press their various demands by staging a
series of defiant incidents throughout the month.
There is no evidence as yet, however, that this
group is capable of staging a coup or that the well-
armed national police--7?000 in greater Santiago
alone--would not effectively defend the government.
Extreme leftist political groups such as the
Soci.a fists, meanwhile, are aggravating the restless-
ness. Leaders of the legal orthodox Communist
Party are convinced that some military group will
act against the government, and ar h,erefore tak-
7 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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International Trade: Last week's meeting in
Brussels-of w eat-exporting nations ended in a co-
operative atmosphere, but achieving agreement on new
price minimums will still be difficult.
Trade officials representing the European Com-
munities (EC), Canada, Australia, Argentina, and the
US discussed means of returning to a stable inter-
national wheat market. Recent prices on the market
have been well below the level established in the
International Grains Agreement (IGA). The brisk
price competition in the past few months apparently
has produced no increase in total wheat exports but
instead has simply increased EC and Australian ex-
ports at the expense of those from the US and Canada.
The officials generally agreed that EC's surplus
problem in hard wheat has abated; still remaining,
however, is a large surplus of soft wheat.
Australia, Canada, and Argentina accept the US
view that it will be difficult enough to maintain
the present tenuous price levels, let alone to estab-
lish new minimums nearer the IGA levels. The EC,
after hesitating even to talk about the problem, has
now indicated its willingness to cooperate more fully
in the future. It still would like to raise prices
toward the IGA minimums, but may be willing to settle
for a lesser price increase.
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Israel: Security problems caused by the feda-
yeen within both Israel. and the occupied Arab ter-
ritories are growing more serious. Despite stringent
Israeli anti-infiltration measures, the fedayeen have
carried out sabotage operations throughout Israel.
For example, there have been almost a dozen attacks
since late June in the Mediterranean port city of
Haifa. In the occupied West Bank area, the Israelis
have used curfews, economic restrictions, and house
demolitions but have not managed to curb the fedayeen.
The guerrilla activities are not presently causing
many casualties or extensive damage, but the.fedayeen
are stri to improve their effectiveness.
vin
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(continued)
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Libya: ~D~if~~ferences have begun to appear among
the members of the ruling Revolutionary Command Coun-
cil. junta President
Qadda i an Defense Minister awwaz are at odds over
questions of national policy. Hawwaz may attempt to
strengthen his position by making a bid to replace
Prime Minister Maghribi, who reportedly will be
forced to resign soon. The structure and membership
of the Revolutionary Command Council is still largely
unknown, but its members' apparent lack of experience
and a series of minor dispute s .ar affecting Its
7 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 9
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