CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014700110001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 2, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 15, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
4 1"
15 October 1969
State Dept. review completed
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No. 0247/69
15 October 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Many Vietnamese are apprehensive
over US intentions. (Page 1)
Laos: Enemy attacks have erased some government
gains in southern Laos. (Page 3)
Okinawa: The local arm of Japan's Komeito party
is bout to campaign against US bases. (Page 5)
Korea: Pyongyang's infiltration attempts have
aided the South's referendum campaign. (Page 7)
UN - Communist China: Some uncertainty has devel-
oped, but the seating of Peking remains unlikely.
(Page 8)
Panama: Political controls (Page 9)
Turkey: Election results (Page 10)
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South Vietnam-. Today's Vietnam moratorium in
the US and the continued antiwar statements by Amer-
ican politicians have aggravated the fears of many
politically aware Vietnamese over basic US intentions
in Vietnam.
The Saigon press has voiced apprehension that
Washington will be unable to resist domestic pres-
sures for a rapid US withdrawal. One newspaper pub-
lished by the influential oppositionist Senator Tran
Van Don recently commented that President Nixon was
being roundly criticized by members of his own party
for the first time since he took office, and that
American impatience to end the war might be reaching
a crescendo.
A militant Catholic journal recently stated that
it was very possible the US delegation in Paris might
soon make further concessions to the Communists at
South Vietnam's expense in order to get the negotia-
tions off dead center.
President Thieu, sensitive to these fears, as-
sured foreign and domestic newsmen yesterday that
the antiwar protesters in the US represent a minority
and not the majority of American public opinion.
The ground war in South Vietnam remains at a
lull. Saigon police uncovered Viet Cong pamphlets
calling for peace demonstrations in the capital to-
day, but it appears unlikely that agitator will be
able to stir up any significant activity.
15 Oct 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Laos: The military situation in northern Laos
remains gener ly static, but in southern Laos enemy
attacks have erased some government gains
Government elements in the north are making some
minor advances in their Xieng Khouang Province offen-
sive, and are continuing to consolidate high ground
positions northwest and northeast of the Plaine des
Jarres. Communist forces appear to be sticking es-
sentially to defensive tactics, although there has
been some increase in enemy patrolling and raiding
action.
a subordinate
a a ion
0 Nortft Vietnam's ivision,
abrupt move into Laos in mid- ept em ber
was touched off by Vang Pao's sweeping successes in
Xieng Khouang Province. The unit initially was
scheduled to enter Laos in June, but was pulled back
from the Laos border and returned to its base north
of Hanoi, possibly because oj,the Communists' re-
capture of Xieng Khouangvill
Government offensives in southern Laos are being
checky heavy enemy counterattacks. Government
units have been forced to abandon the town of Toumlane
and withdraw to the south, and several irregular com-
panies have been driven from the high ground over-
looking Route 9, just southwest of Tchepone. Rein-
forced government elements have begun moving from the
northwest toward Muong Phine in an effort to regain
the initiative there
On the political scene in Vientiane, the Cana-
dians have decided, primarily for budgetary reasons,
to close out their mission assigned to the Interna-
tional Control Commission. Although the commission
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has been largely ineffective in fulfilling its respon-
sibilities under the 1962 Geneva Accords, it has been
of some service to the Lao Government in documenting
Communist violations of the accords. It also may
have exerted some r ainin influence on Co u t
aggression in Laos Ma
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Okinawa: Komeikai, the local arm of Japan's
activist Komeito party, is about to caign more
aggressively against US bases on Okinawa
Komeikai is readying a report intended to
focus popular dissatisfaction on hazards to public
welfare created by US bases on Okinawa. The'survey,
according to Komeito officials, will demand a siz-
able reduction in the number of US installations
in line with Komeito's policy calling for gradual
dissolution of the US-Japan mutual security treaty.
Komeito officials have requested help from the
US Embas in Tokyo in arranging a visit by a party
mission to Okinawa ostensibly to persuade the Komei-
kai to modify some "rather provocative and question-
able" sections of the report. Komeito scored a ma-
jor propaganda coup last year with a detailed study
of the US base structure in Japan. Rather than
toning down the Komeikai report, Komeito is more
likely to want it to achieve a similar splash. The
Komeito study received extensive media coverage,
prompting considerable criticism of the Sato gov-
ernment for failing to take t initiative in repre-
senting the people's interests.
T e Komeikai, currently a semi-autonomous af-
fili'ate f the Japan-based Komeito, reportedly will
become a chapter of Komeito later this month. In
the past Komeikai has tended to be more conservative
than its parent organization, particularly on the
base issue since many of its members are employed
on, US bases. It now may be under greater pressure
to voice more outspoken opposition as it comes un-
der tighter control of Komeit-o-.\
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Korea: Pyongyang has inadvertently aided
South Korea's referendum campaign in the last few
days with blundering attempts at agent infiltration.
Yesterday South Korean Navy and Air Force units
intercepted and sank a 75-ton agent boat off the
southwest coast. This is the same general area
where two similarly unsuccessful sea infiltration
attempts occurred last month. Within the past few
days, moreover, South Korean troops twice encoun-
tered enemy agents within the Demilitarized Zone
(DMZ), killing six.
President Pak's supporters have exploited these
incidents to paint an exaggerated picture of an in-
creased threat from the north and to extol the admin-
istration's ability to defend the nation. To docu-
ment the regime's case further, security agencies
have released details of five agent arrests or
sightings in areas more remote from the DMZ within
the past two weeks.
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Another part of the government's highly organ-
ized campaign has been directed toward piling up
enough votes in rural areas to offset the negative
vote expected in Seoul and other urban centers. All
indications are that President Pak's third term as-
pirations will be supported by a comfortable major-
ity of the population in the vote on Friday. 25X1
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UN - Communist China: Some uncertainty has de-
veloped regarding outcome of this year's debate
on the Chinese representation question, but the
seating of Peking still remains unlikel3
The more fluid situation has resulted from a
number of developments, including the Canadian and
Italian moves toward Chinese recognition and some
doubts concerning the future course of US-Peking
relations. Heretofore, Canada has supported the
procedural resolution that requires a two-thirds
vote to change national, representation and has ab-
stained since 1966 on the traditional Albanian res-
olution calling for the ouster of Taiwan and the
seating of Peking. Italy has voted against the
Albanian resolution. However, in the event of sudden
progress in their recognition talks, both governments
might feel impelled to support Peking at the UN.
Among the Latin Americans, Chile is restive on
the Case representation question, and Colombia
has given notice that its pro-Taiwan voting pattern
may cease. Further erosion of Taiwan's support among
the Latin Americans could narrow the my,gin as the
voting approaches in early November
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Panama: The determination of the provisional
junta government to maintain tight political control
indefinitely has been confirmed by the minister of
the presidency. He has told US Embassy officials
that the political parties would definitely not be
allowed to participate in the selection of delegates
to a constituent assembly to be called late in 1970.
Instead, the government intends to have about 25 or-
ganizations representing business, labor, peasants,
and other sectors select the delegates. The assem-
bly is to be dissolved after it amends the constitu-
tion, and will not be used to elect a provisional
president or be converted into a legislative national
assembly.
(continued)
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Turke : The makeup of the new parliament sig-
nifies t at no change will take place in the coun-
try's domestic and foreign policies. In the elec-
tions on 12 October, Prime Minister Demirel's Jus-
tice Party won 256 of the 450 seats, a gain of one
deputy. The major opposition party, the left-of-
center Republican People's Party (RPP), increased
its representation by 22 seats to 142. The far-left,
anti-US Turkish Labor Party elected only two candi-
dates, a drop of 12. Because ten seats are required
to form a parliamentary party delegation, the only
minor party that will be represented is the Reliance
Party, an offshoot of the RPP. Independents, mostly
conservative, made a good showing, winning 13 seats.
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