CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 9, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 6, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2004/03/17: CIA-RDP79T00975A014900M?bt
25X1
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
Secret
5 J-
6 November 1969
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO14900050001-1
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO14900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2004/03/17E CIA-RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
No. 0266/69
6 November :L969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
El Salvador: Factionalism in the ruling party has
created more political problems. (Page 1)
Pakistan: Recent communal violence has produced
conflict between civilians and the military. (Page 2)
India: A new coalition in Kerala has ended a politi-
cal hiatus. (Page 3)
South Vietnam: Situation report (Page 5)
Lebanon: Government-fedayeen talks (Page 5)
Libya: Popular discontent (Page 6)
Bolivia: Gulf Oil problems (Page 7)
Ecuador: Relations with Communist world (Page 7)
Burma - Communist China: Aid (Page 9)
Czechoslovakia: Jet trainer sales (Page 9)
Approved For Release 2004/03/ ((;J p79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2008, (BitE(A-RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
El Salvador: Factionalism within the ruling
National Conciliation Party has created serious po-
litical problems for President Sanchez.
Dissident members of the party, with the sup-
port of the Christian Democratic opposition, ousted
and then replaced the leaders of the Legislative
Assembly on Tuesday. The dissidents reportedly were
unhappy with the sluggishness of the previous lead-
ership and wanted a number of pending reform bills
passed, including one opposed by the commander of
the national guard. The Christian Democrats sup-
ported the dissidents, probably because they want
the reform measures passed and also because they be-
lieve that disarray in the government party might
lead to success in the congressional elections sched-
uled for March 1970.
Sanchez reportedly will accept and support the!
new congressional leadership. In an effort to head
off any military move against the assembly, he has
asked all military commanders to explain the gov-
ernment's position to their subordinates today.
Nevertheless, this situation has not only en-
dangered the government's one-seat legislative ma-
jority, but also is likely to complicate efforts to
reach a settlement with Honduras and to impair the
usefulness of this weekend's emergency Central Amer-
ican Common Market meeting in San Jose. Any weaken-
ing of Sanchez' domestic political position will
reduce his room for maneuver and add to his fears
that any concessions might -jeopardize his military
and public support.
6 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/gReRCpifRDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2004/0 1iXJ-'RbP79T00975A014900050001-1
Pakistan; The handling of recent communal
violence in East Pakistan has produced a serious
clash between civilian and military officials.
The trouble first surfaced when the govern-
ment attempted to prepare voter rolls in East Pak-
istan. In the outskirts of Dacca on 1 November,
Urdu-speaking refugees from India called for a
'work stoppage to protest voter registration forms
written only in Bengali. Native Bengalis refused
to support the stoppage and violence ensued, re-
sulting in several deaths and numerous injuries
and arrests. A curfew was imposed as the army
patrolled the streets, and calm now seems to have
been restored.
The military-civilian hostilities developed
on 3 November when political leaders, who were pub-
licly supporting efforts to restore order, tried
to lead a "peace mission" through the troubled
area. The army refused to allow the march, and
the politicians appealed to Governor Ahsan, who
.joined the mission and publicly pledged a govern-
ment inquiry into causes of the disturbances. A
second showdown occurred later in the day after
civilians objected to another night of curfew and
the military threatened to withdraw from the riot
area if the curfew were not reimposed. Rumors are
now circulating that the governor has submitted
his resignation and that East Pakistan's martial
law administrator has demanded Ahsan's immediate
recall by Rawalpindi.
Although this dispute began as a localized
linguistic conflict, it may be taking on broader
significance. The military-civilian clash places
the army and the martial law administration--pre-
dominantly West. Pakistani and Urdu-speaking--in op-
position to the police and the mass of Bengali ci-
vilians, aggravating regional tensions and possibly
endangering hopes for eventual return to civilian
r? l
r- I
e
6 Nov 69
Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
Approved For Release 200p 6/ R -RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2004/ 'f6OR(b'RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
India: The formation of a new coalition gov-
ernment in the south Indian state of Kerala has
ended a political hiatus, but prospects for stabil-
ity are not bright.
Matters came to a head on 24 October with the
fall of the coalition government, dominated by the
militant Communist Party/Marxist (CPM), which had
been in office since general elections in 1967.
The new five-party coalition, headed by Achutha
Menon of the more moderate Communist Party of In-
dia, is composed of parties with little in common
other than opposition to the CPM. The coalition
has 61 seats in the 134-member assembly, but Menon
claims he has assurances of enough additional sup-,
port to rule. Nevertheless he will have less leg-
islative strength than the former government.
The CPM with 50 seats remains the largest
single party. The new government hopes to prove
itself through a creditable legislative program,
but the odds are against its functioning well or
staying in office long. Continued political in-
stability or CPM-sponsored demonstrations resulting
in serious clashes could eventually lead to reim-
position of direct rule over Kerala by the central.
government in New Delhi. Kerala has been under
such direct rule twice before, the last time from
1964 to 1967.
6 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/ W JDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2004 O - ZRDP79T00975A0149000500,01-1
AVERAGE STRENGTH
OF ENEMY UNITS
-,VIETNAM
Battalion: VC 200 400
N V A 300- 500
Regiment' VC
NVA
MB
KILN
IP ~~ IJ~n I;'
_Vo
46516 11-69 CIA
1,000-1,500
1 200 2,000
VC 5,000-7,000
N V A 5,000-8,000
Approved For Release 2004/0341 7 P79T00975A014900050001
lall lI IM I '.l i 211 7 S ff.. 1 ? 'R 4LRf W ~11 I..la5~.' :1 JU -A 1` 1Whl iG ?I,.. dal E3.
#4,ap
-SOUTH VIETNAM
 Approved For Release 2004/03/17: C1A-RIDPT9T00975A014900050001-1
NOTES
South Vietnam: Except for renewed heavy
fighting near the beleaguered allied Special Forces
camps at Bu Prang and Duc Lap in the southern high-
lands of II Corps, enemy activity on 5 November re-
turned to the relatively low level noted throughout
most of South Vietnam over the past two months.
The upsurge in enemy action on 3-4 November, how-
ever, was more intense than preliminary reports in-
dicated. in addition to numerous rocket and mortar
attacks, at least three ground attacks of battalion
size were conducted against US bases in northwestern
III Corps--the first actions of this size anywhere
in Vietnam since early summer. Eight smaller-scale
ground attacks were also launched against the
allies in southeastern II Corps.
(Map)
Lebanon: The government and the fedayeen ap-
parently -reached an agreement only on broad prin-
ciples in Cairo. Following a meeting with President
Hilu Tuesday, caretaker Prime Minister Rashid Karami
announced that both parties will soon meet in Beirut
to work out the details of the Cairo agreement,
There may be even further delays in arriving at a
0
25X1
25X1
25X1
(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2004/03/11b - DP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2004/03I P79T00975A014900050001-1
Libya: New signs of popular discontent have
appeared in Libya. Leaflets criticizing the anti-
traditionalist policies of the new regime are being
clandestinely distributed. The discontent appears
to be generated in part by the secretive nature of
the Revolutionary Command Council and rumors of dis-
sension among its members. There has also been stu-
(lent unrest in Benghazi secondary schools over liv-
ing conditions. Further manifestations of popular
discontent may come in the next few weeks with the
celebration of Ramadan, the Muslim month of fasting.
25X1
25X1
25X1
(continued)
15 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2004/03M )MNDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2005/.RI-RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
Bolivia: A work stoppage on the Bolivian-
Argentine gas pipeline will further impede settle-
ment of the dispute between the Gulf 09.1 Company
and the Ovando government. A subcontractor for
Gulf Oil has requested government permission to sus-
pend work and dismiss about 600 Bolivian employees
because Gulf has stopped all shipments of pipe and
equipment. Gulf's action was taken in reprisal for
the nationalization of its oil properties on 17 Oc-?
tober. The US Embassy reports that government of-
ficials intend to blame Gulf publicly for the work
stoppage, which may pre Cr tate new and possibly
violent demonstrations.
Ecuador: The Velasco government is continuing
its policy of upgrading relations with the Commu-
nist world. Soviet commercial representatives are
now on their way to Quito to staff their trade mis-
sion, and Ecuador's first ambassador to Czechoslo-
vakia took up his post in late October. The Ecua-
doran Government is improving its relations with
the Communist area without fanfare or measurable
resistance and in direct relationship to the volume
of trade. If the reported sharp increase in trade
during the first half of this year continues, fur-
ther ties between Ecuadrr and the Communist coun-
tries can be expected.
(continued)
6 Nov 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004 CsR11 -RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 200 3 R-i1-RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
Czech Jet Trainers
L-29 Subsonic Jet Trainer
25X1
Approved For Release 200/V~1--RDP79T00975A014900050001-1
 Approved For Release 2004/03W-P79T00975A014900050001-1
Burma - Communist China: Rangoon is arranging
to get into operation projects which. were originally
part of Peking's now defunct aid program. Burma. has
announced it will complete a Sugar mill on its own
and a Japanese firm is to take over the construction
of a paper mill. The Burmese already have completed
several other projects which were abandoned by Pe-
king following Burma's anti--Chinese riots in mid.-?1967.
Before the Chinese withdrawal, Rangoon had drawn. less
than one fourth of the $84-million Chinese credit
extended in 1961. Since the rupture in its relations
with China, Burma has accepted very little aid from
any Communist country despite its need for external
help. 25X1
Czechoslovakia: Sales of the L-29 jet trainer
to the developing countries continue at a brisk pace
with the recent purchase by the UAR and
Syria. Since 1964 approximate y have been ex-
ported.to Iraq, Uganda, Nigeria, and Indonesia where
they have also been adapted for combat use. As many
as 3,000 were exported to Warsaw Pact countries fol-
lowing their adoption of it as the standard basic
jet trainer in 1962. A new supersonic version, the
L-39, is expected to enter series production by early
1970, and will be available to free world countries
by the mid-1970s.
(Photos)
Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/03klE(gW P79T00975A014900050001-1