CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015000090002-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 8, 2003
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: November 26, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Secret
51'
26 November 1969
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No. 0283/69
26 November 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
New Zealand.- Either major party could win the
parliamentary elections on Saturday. (Page 1)
Communist China - Hong Kon : Peking is cashing in
on Western tourist trade. (Page 2)
Norway: The question of recognizing North Vietnam
is causing difficulty for the coalition. (Page 3)
UN-USSR: Moscow continues to seek favorable action
on -its "international security" resolution. (Page 4)
Czechoslovakia: Sabotage may have taken place in a
major ironworks. (Page 5)
Yugoslavia: Electricity has been cut off in some
areas. (Page 6)
Jordan: Signs of anti-US sentiment are growing.
Page 7)
Somali Democratic Republic: Factions are developing
within t e ruling council. (Page 8)
Bolivia: The government is trying to sell oil to
the USSR and Eastern Europe. (Page 9)
West Germany - East Germany: Postal talks (Page 10)
USSR: Farm policy (Page 10)
Italy-Austria: Alto Adige (Page 11)
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New Zealand: tEither major party could win
the parmentary elections scheduled for this
Saturday.
national poll published last
week indicates
the opposition Labor Party is making
impressive
gains, with 43.2
percent
of
the vote
against the
ruling National
Party's
43
percent.
An earlier
poll in September showed National holding an
eight percent lead. A seat-by--seat tally indicates
that the races for 28 of the 84 seats in parliament
are too close to predict. In the remote possi-
bility that a deadlock between the two parties oc-
curs, a new election would have to be schedule
No sharply defined issues have yet emerged
from the campaign, and personalities are apparently
playing a major role. Labor's sudden upswing seems
largely the result of party leader Kirk's impressive
campaign performance. Labor apparently is getting
the votes of many immigrants and young people who
are casting ballots for the first time. By con-
trast, Prime Minister Holyoake's appearances have
been marred on several occasions by extreme heck-
ling directed particularly at New Zealand's Vietnam
policy
Labor's improved prospects could be undermined
if the current limited shipping strike expands into
a nationwide tie-up that includes some violence.
Kirk, however, probably is taking strong measures
to keep therike from redounding to Labors dis-
advantage)
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Communist China - Honk Kong: Peking is ex-
ploiting the relaxation of of US trade restrictions to
capitalize on Western tourist trade in Hong Kong.
Two major Communist merchants have placed un-
precedented advertisements in the leading English
language newspaper that are specifically directed
toward tourists and offer mail order service. In
addition, several Communist-run stores in tourist
areas have hired more English-speaking clerks and
have replaced Maoist propaganda with luxury merchan-
dise in window displays.
The primary motivation of this promotion cam-
paign is commercial. By ordering local Communist
outlets to pursue Western tourist trade, which ac-
counts for a small portion of total Chinese sales
through Hong Kong, Peking has once again indicated
the great value it places on the colony as an
earner of much-needed hard currency.
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Norway: The question of extending diplomatic
recognition to North Vietnam is causing difficulty
for the governing coalition.
The opposition Labor Party first raised the
issue in the campaign before last September's par-
liamentary elections. After suffering a narrow de-
feat in its efforts to unseat the four-party coa-
lition, Labor promised to split or wear down the
government by repeated parliamentary challenges to
its policies. On the Vietnam question the govern-
ment responded to the challenge by making the ques-
tion a vote of confidence, and the Labor Party mo-
tion was defeated by a narrow margin. Liberal
Party members, although sympathetic to the idea,
were forced to submit to parliamentary discipline
because of their participation in the coalition.
Observers of the Norwegian political scene be-
lieve that the leaders of the coalition may have
drawn the line too sharply and too soon on this is-
sue, placing unnecessary pressure on the Liberals.
Many Liberals have only grudgingly gone along with
continuing in the government in the belief that the
party's salvation after its disastrous showing in
the elections lies in a return to unadulterated
Liberal principles. Having been pushed into a cor-
ner on the matter of recognition of Hanoi, the party
may feel it necessary to reassert itself on some
other issue.
Should the government continue to win confidence
votes, the Vietnam issue probably will not be brought
up for another year. If the coalition falls, how-
ever, the Labor Party can be expected to revive its
proposal for recognition.
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UN-USSR: (The Soviets are continuing to push
hard for favorable General Assembly action on their
draft "international security" resolution, and its
disposition remains in doubt.
The draft is a potpourri of favorite Soviet
theme's-many of which strike responsive chords
among the various groups of states. It appears
designed primarily for propaganda purposes.
Late last month, after more than two weeks of
discussion in which over 80 delegates spoke, the
Assembly's political and security committee sus-
pended consideration of the Soviet initiative. The
Indians, with Soviet support, have written another
draft that would have the effect of producing an
outcome along lines which Moscow favors. The
Western group hopes for a mere procedural disposi-
tion of the initiative, perhaps through a long and
detailed summary statement by the committee chair-
man noting the useful discussion. In any case, the
content of the proposal is likely to be revived at
the 25th anniversary session in lg
The Soviets have been angered by the lack of
progress in the informal consultations that have
taken place and last week twice threatened to put
the matter to a vote in the Assembly. They may
believe that the Western group is not united in
opposition to a substantive outcome. The French
have demonstrated "flexibility" on the Soviet and
Indian texts, and the US mission at the UN received
hints from a French delegate that Foreign Minister
Schumann made certain commitments on this issue
when he was in Moscow. A UK delegate has stated
that his government may not be able to ho].d szVt:
indefinitely fp,r a procedural disposition
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Czechoslovakia: Dissident workers may have
disrupted some operations in one of Czechoslovakia's
major industrial installations.
Five top security officials visited the East
Slovak Ironworks in Kosice last week to discuss
"certain problems" affecting "protection and safety"
in plant operations, as well as "measures against
crime." The high-level composition of the delega-
tion suggests that a number of incidents of sabo-
tage could have taken place.
Construction of the complex, one of Czechoslo-
vakia's major producers of iron and steel, began
ten years ago under the guidance of Soviet engi-
neers and technicians. Since that time it has been
dependent on Moscow for raw, materials and has re-
lied heavily on Soviet advisers. This could ac-
count for the Husak regime's concern. The factory's
production record has been poor and erratic, in part
because of slowdowns and vandalism by young workers
dissatisfied with their working environment, wages,
and incentives.
The security officers probably were sent to
Kosice to introduce measures for secure and orderly
production. They undoubtedly will base their ac-
tions on a new labor code that will go into effect
early next year. Under the draft legislation, an
employee with a poor work performance can be fired,
fined, or lose his vacation time, and saboteurs and
other dissidents will be more severely punished by
the courts. The delegation included the federal
minister and state secretary of interior, the min-
ister of interior for the Czech Lands, the head of
an unspecified Czechoslovak party central committee
department, and the chief of the regional admini-
stration of the National Security Corps.
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Yugoslavia: Electricity has been cut off in
some areas because of the continued extremely crit-
ical power shortage.
A state of emergency was declared Monday in
Serbia, only a few days after supplies of electric-
ity had been reduced 20 percent. In Belgrade and
Zagreb, power was cut off completely during certain
periods this month; in Belgrade some production was
curtailed for a day.
Hydroelectric power provides more than two
thirds of total Yugoslav supplies, and reserves in
the hydroelectric accumulation lakes are the lowest
in years.
Cutbacks in supplies have reduced industrial
production in a number of enterprises. Some of
these, including the Croatian carbide and ferroalloy
industries, have ceased operations for an unspeci-
fied period. The :Federal Economic Council is in-
vestigating whether shortcomings in electric power
management are not also responsible for industrial
losses caused by the power shortage.
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Jordan: Anti-US sentiment is growing as many
Jordanians openly begin to question Amman's present
close ties with the US
Sharp criticism of the US surfaced most re-
cently wring a parliamentary debate on Jordan's
relations with the US and its reliance on the US
for arms. Some members of the normally tame Chamber
of Deputies called for the severing of relations
with the US and for expelling "suspect" US Embassy
and AID employees. Other deputies charged the
government with "bowing to US pressures" in the
United Nations. Some members argued that Jordan
should turn to the Communist bloc for arms, and
one deputy praised Communist China's assistance to
the fedayeen. Although Prime Minister Talhuni
easily won a vote of confidence, he decided to post-
pone
debate on arms policy to a future secret
J
session.
The seemingly spontaneous anti-US sentiment
seems arise mainly from Jordan's frustrations
with the current situation. It is caught in an un-
relieved tide of border conflict and harsh Israeli
retaliation. Particularly gallin is the freedom
with which Israel can overfly Jordan.
Perhaps most frustrating to Jordan's leaders--
incluing King Husayn--is the so far unsuccessful
search for a peace agreement. They believe that a
settlement with Israel is the only way they will be
able to retain their moderate stance and prevent
what they see as a steady drift toward a new war.
The Jordanians regard the US as the prime backer
and supplier of Israel, and thus most responsible
for their predicament. Although the Jordanians,
like most other Arabs, tend to exaggerate the ex-
tent of US influence over Israel, they seem likely
to fasten increasingly on the US as a target for
their gro ng frustrations
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Somali Democratic Republic: Factions are de-
velop%.,within the ruling Supreme Revolutionary
Council.
Two groups of officers are vying for position
within the 25-member council
One group consists o t most ot the
generals an co onels on the council, and includes
General Siad, the council president. All but one
of the 14 majors and captains on the council are
said to be aligned against these senior officers.
It is not clear how each faction stands on
particu ar--issues. Some friction has already
arisen, however, which may indicate that infighting
is sharpening. Pressure from junior officers ap-
pears to be responsible for the council's decision
to intensify the a.nti.corruption.campaign that was
introduced after the coup. Some of the senior of-
ficers and civilian cabinet officials seem to have
been reluctant t,
kehis step, however, adare
J
advising moderation.
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Bolivia: The government is trying to sell oil
to the USSR and Eastern Europe following the loss
of its markets after the seizure of the Bolivian
Gulf Oil Company-.\
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Hungarian economic official, w o visited an inter-
national trade fair in Lima, expressed interest in
Bolivia's offer to sell 30,000 barrels a day for an
unspecified period. Hungary plans to send a dele-
gation to La Paz for discussions. The volume of-
fered corresponds to the net amount of Bolivian
crude available for export following nationaliza-
oil is composed almost entirely of light distillates
yielding products such as gasoline and kerosene.
Although it would not provide the variety of petro-
leum products most needed by the Communist countries,
it migh ,e used in a blend with heavy Hungarian
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West Germany - East Germany: Talks between
the East and West Germans on postal and telecommu-
nications matters, which began in September, re-
sumed on Monday after two postponements by the West
Germans. Bonn doubtless hopes that success in
these talks will be a prelude to a future discus-
sion of political differences. The willingness of
the East Germans to resume the negotiations sug-
gests that their demand for recognition may not
prove an obstacle to political talks, especiall
if they see some economic advantages.
USSR: Brezhnev has admitted that this year
has been "difficult" for agriculture and that, cap-
ital investments in this sector have not been. as
large as planned. He added that farm procurement
will be about that of the average of the last four
years. He spoke at the opening of the third All-
-Union Congress of Collective Farmers in Moscow.
The meeting was called to ratify the draft of the
first new collective farm charter in more than 30
years.
Brezhnev advocated concentration on land rec-
lamation, greater use of chemicals, increased deliv-
eries of farm machinery, and economic incentives
for agricultural production. These are the basic
goals of the so-called Brezhnev program for agri-
culture introduced in 1965.
(continued)
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Italy-Austria: The long drawn out controversy
between Italy and Austria over the status of the
German-speaking enclave of Alto Adige appears to be
approaching resolution. A congress of the local
political party narrowly approved an agreement on
the rights of the minority in the area. Parlia-
mentary endorsement in Italy and Austria is being
sought before the 1970 elections to be held in both
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