CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015100060001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 9, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 6, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Secret
6 December 1969
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No. 0292/69
6 December 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
North Vietnam: The regime is taking new security
measures in Hanoi. (Page 1)
Eastern Europe: Czechoslovakia and Hungary are be-
coming more active in Middle East oil developments.
(Page 3)
European Communities: The Hague summit gave European
integration an opportunity to advance. (Page 4)
Mauritius: The three major political parties have
formed a coalition government. (Page 6)
Peru: Velasco is taking a tougher stand with US
mining companies. (Page 7)
USSR: Submarine transfer (Page 9)
Brazil: Aircraft purchases (Page 9)
Cuba: Agricultural delegation (Page 10)
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*North Vietnam% The regime is taking new secu-
rity measures in Hanoi.
A recent session of North Vietnam's National
Assembly Standing Committee, chaired by top-level
politburo figure Truong Chinh, dealt entirely with
maintaining order and public security in Hanoi, ac-
cording to a blunt communique
The committee heard a re-
port ity minister, approved an
assessment of the "great tasks" ahead in safeguarding
order and public security in Hanoi, and directed that
"criminals" be "resolutely" punished. New trial
procedures were established to carry out the direc-
tive.
The communique goes well beyond the almost rit-
ualistic appeals for tighter law and order which the
regime issues from time to time. The last big secu-
rity crackdown in North Vietnam occurred in late 1967
and probably was directed against dissident elements
that might have hampered preparations for the extra-
ordinary military effort launched in the Tet offen-
sive of early 1968. That crackdown was a country-
wide effort, however, while this one seems to be
limited to Hanoi city.
No details of the latest drive's dimensions or
precisely what triggered it were revealed. It may
be caused by resistance to such regime programs as
manpower conscription and labor mobilization, or
failure to comply with earlier directives for cor-
recting such abuses as black-marketeering, hooligan-
ism, and pilfering of state property. Such problems
have long plagued the regime.
(continued)
6 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
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The crackdown also could be part of a house-
cleaning of officials considered unresponsive to the
post-Ho leadership in Hanoi, but there are no solid
grounds for such a conclusion at present.
b
*The Director, Bureau of Intelligence and Re-
search of the Department of State, believes that the
communique 'a primary focus is on criminal and "hooli-
gan" behavior, especially among youthful elements,
of which there is ample evidence. As such, it does
not go beyond other efforts this year to impose
tighter law and order.
Unlike the "counterrevolutionary activities"
decree of November 196?, this communique` does not
mention such political offenses as "crimes against
the fatherland." There is no evidence that the
measures are directed at politically unresponsive
officials.
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Eastern Euro e: Czechoslovakia and Hungary are
becoming more active in Middle East oil developments.
Prague has announced in a broadcast that it will
build an oil refinery at Basra. Czechoslovakia and
Iraq also agreed in the future to discuss the export
of Czechoslovak plants and equipment to Iraq in ex-
change for oil.
The expanding Czechoslovak role follows a,Hungar-
ian agreement in October to drill four wells in the
Iraqi oil field at North Rumaila. Work is scheduled
to begin in early 1970 and should be completed in
one year.
Both Communist countries also recently reaffirmed
their agreements with Iran to exchange industrial
goods for oil. The arrangements to import oil from
Iran, however, probably will not be implemented until
a suitable method of delivery is found. Even if the
East Europeans acquire large tankers to make the haul
around Africa, the oil may not be economically attrac-
tive until an oil pipeline from Yugoslavia through
Hungary to Czechoslovakia is constructed.
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European Communities: Most European officials,
without discounting the tough problems remaining,
het ve that the Hague summit meeting provided Euro-
pean integration with a new opportunity to advance.
Chancellor Brandt--whose contribution to the
meeting has been widely praised, even by the opposi-
tion Christian Democrats in Bonn--has commented that
the summit justified modest and realistic expecta-
tions for moving from stagnation to greater cooper-
ation in Europe. Brandt mentioned as the summit's
primary achievement the informal agreement, not em-
bodied in the official communique, that negotiations
with membership applicants could begin "at the latest"
by the middle of 1970. He also emphasized the import-
ance of the acceptance of the concept that the en-
largement of the Communities and their strengthening
are linked.
President Pompidou reportedly told the cabinet
that the summit's results were "positive," that ne-
gotiations with the British could start "quickly,"
and that the French desire their success. In the
judgment of the US Embassy, Pompidou has successfully
managed a major change in French European policy
without the appearance of an open break with Gaullist
doctrine. His performance at the summit was hailed
by nearly all French media as a triumph. The leaders
of Belgium and Luxembourg also reacted favorably to
the meeting, but Dutch Foreign Minister Luns termed
the results "just acceptable."
The British reaction has been sober. One offi-
cial said that London was "reasonably pleased." He
added that though the British had hoped for an earlier
date, they are convinced that the informal agreement
to open negotiations by next July is a "solemn com-
mitment."
Whether this "commitment" can be honored remains
to be seen. Brussels will be the scene of almost
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continual hard bargaining between now and the end of
the year, and the Communities may have to stop the
official clock to meet the 31 December deadline for
agreement on the financial regulations. Protracted
and difficult negotiations will also be required to
achieve agreement on a common negotiating position
by next July.
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Mauritius: The three major political parties
have formed a coalition government.
After months of haggling over the apportionment
of cabinet posts and other issues, Prime Minister
Ramgoolam this week finally announced a new cabinet.
It contains 12 ministers from his predominantly
Hindu Labor Party, seven from the predominantly
Creole Mauritius Social Democratic Party, and two
from the Moslem Action Committee. As a part of the
deal, the next parliamentary elections will be post-
poned until 1976.
If this alliance of ethnic groups survives, it
could ease tensions on the island. Judging from the
past performances of the politicians in the new cab-
inet, it seems unlikely, however, that the coalition
will move ahead to deal with the difficult problems
of poverty, unemployment, and an economy dependent
on sugar.
Groups outside parliament will attempt to ex-
ploit the dissatisfaction with economic conditions
and discontent among those who view as undemocratic
both the formation of the coalition and the postpone-
ment of elections until 1976. The government has
been particularly worried about the Militant Mauri-
tian Movement, a group led by radical former students
who have studied abroad. They have been unexpectedly
successful in penetrating,villaae councils, trade
unions, and youth clubs.
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Peru: President Velasco is taking a tougher
stand on contract negotiations with US mining com-
panies.
Last'month the government presented the US-owned
Southern Peru Copper Company (SPCC) with a list of
seven changes in its proposed contract. The most
significant involves the timing of the initial in-
vestment. The government will still allow SPCC un-
til October 1971 to find financing for the $355 mil-
lion it will need to develop its Cuajone concession,
but it now insists that the company invest $25 mil-
lion before that time.
The company has been trying to get the government
to modify its demands, but in a press conference last
Thursday President Velasco said that his government
had taken its "final position" and that SPCC could
"take it or leave it." The government's harder posi-
tion is primarily in response to the allegations of
leftists and nationalists that the Cuajone contract
is another "sell-out" to the US.
Velasco has left himself some room for maneuver-
ing, however, by avoiding a public statement on the
government's "final position." He has also reminded
the public that Peru does not have the means to de-
velop the concessions itself, but assured the audi-
ence that a new "revolutionary mining code" is being
drawn up to give better protection to Peruvian nat-
ural resources in future contract negotiations.
Peruvian law provides that mining contracts must
be signed by 31 December or the concessions revert to
the state. Even if the SPCC contract is signed by
then, other US mining companies that had hoped to use
the Cuajone contract as a model may experience seri-
ous difficulty in obtaining a favorable contract and
meeting the deadline.
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NOTES
USSR: A J-class diesel submarine is transfer-
ring to the Pacific Fleet via the Indian Ocean. It
was seen in the Malacca Straits near Singapore on
4 December, marking the first time a Soviet cruise-
missile unit has been detected in this area. The
submarine is believed to have left the Northern Fleet
in late summer and was escorted by a submarine tender
to the Indian Ocean where it spent about two months.
The Soviets may have taken precautions to avoid de-
tection in order to forestall adverse publicity in
South Asian and African countries. (Map/
Photo)
Brazil: The foreign minister has urged early
US approval of Brazil's requests to purchase US mil-
itary equipment, particularly aircraft. He declared
that his country is determined to establish a strong
air force, and that it will soon have to decide where
to obtain the new aircraft. The air force apparently
has contracted for Italian jet trainers and has car-
ried on extensive negotiations for British MK55 Light-
ning jet fighters. This contract may soon be signed
whether or not US aircraft are available. The minis-
ter added that US-Brazilian relations would definitely
be strained if the US applied sanctions under provi-
sions of the Conte or Symington legislation.
(continued)
6 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Cuba: A four-member agricultural team is ex-
pected to arrive soon in Trinidad-Tobago. The visit
is the first of its type to an English-speaking Carib-
bean nation in several years, and undoubtedly is in
response to recent statements by Prime Minister Wil-
liams urging consideration of closer trade ties with
Cuba. Trinidad-Tobago, whose major agricultural ex-
port is sugar, probably hopes to learn of Cuban ad-
vances in sugar mechanization and the use of sugar
by-products. The Cubans probably want to test the
seriousness of Williams' proposals for closer commer-
cial ties.
t7 Dec 69 Central Intelliggence Bulletin
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