CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015200020001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 16, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 15, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50:
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No. 0299/69
15 December 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
USSR - Communist China: The USSR may have decided
to downgrade its delegation to the talks in Peking.
(Page 1)
South Vietnam: There are more reports of Communist
plans for another flare-up of military activity be-
fore Christmas. (Page 2)
Mexico: Student activists are trying to revive an
antigovernment campaign. (Page 4)
Dahome : A military triumvirate has been established.
Page 5)
USSR-Egypt: Arms supply (Page 7)
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USSR - Communist China: The Soviets may be
signaling a decision to downgrade their delegation
to the talks in Peking.
The announcement of the return to Moscow of
First Deputy Foreign Minister Kuznetsov and his
deputy stated that the purpose was to participate
in the coming session of the USSR Supreme Soviet.
The Russians have been toying with the idea of
downgrading the talks for some time, however. The
other six members of the Soviet delegation are ap-
parently remaining in Peking.
A New China News Agency statement on 13 Decem-
ber claimed that the Soviet negotiators would be
gone for only one week and that the talks would be
"temporarily recessed in their absence." This
could be a thinly veiled threat that the talks might
break down completely if the two Russians do not
return to Peking. Nevertheless, neither side has
much to gain in allowing the talks to end now, and
some compromise on this issue may still be arranged.
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15 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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South Vietnam: There were more reports over
the weekend of Communist plans for another flare--up
of military activity before Christmas.
attacks
will begin in mid-December and will concentrate
mainly on Tay Ninh Province and the upper Mekon
Delta region.
The evidence indicates that the Communists will
rely for the most part on shellings and on sapper
and terrorist attacks. The larger enemy ground
units along the borders and near in-country base
areas still are largely out of action.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Mexico: Student activists are trying to revive
an antigovernment campaign.
I university stu-
dents representing various political groups, from
moderate to extremist, have united in opposing the
presidential candidacy of Luis Echeverria. Echever-
ria, whose nomination by the ruling party makes his
electoral victory certain, was an author of the gov-
ernment repression of last year's massive student
movement.
The new student coalition has issued large
quantities of propaganda of professional quality and
appears to be well financed. In contrast to earlier
futile efforts to rekindle political fires at the
university, several rallies during the past week have
been well attended.
Activists have taken as their ostensible issue
a demand for the release of political prisoners.
Several dozen students arrested during last year's
disturbances remain in jail, and a number of prom-
inent leftist writers and leaders of fringe groups
have also been detained over the past year.
A rally scheduled for today at the National
University in Mexico City could be the occasion for
violence if extremists try to provoke interference
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Dahomey: A military triumvirate has been
created to govern until promised elections can be
held.
The three-man directorate is headed by Lt. Col.
De Souza, an ineffectual officer who was probably
chosen because he is least offensive to various army
factions. The other members are Lt. Col. Kouandete,
who almost single-handedly pulled last week's coup,
and Lt. Col. Sinzogan,the ambitious and devious
gendarmerie commander. Kouandete suffered a setback
when he was not named to head the junta, but he
retains his key post as army chief of staff.
Some divisions in the military persist in the
wake of the squabbling that followed the coup, and
more changes may be in the offing. Kouandete, who
has been deserted by former allies within the army,
may find it particularly difficult to maintain his
position. He is under. pressure. to release from jail
a former president.who is. his arch enemy and pred-
ecessor as chief of staff.
Civilian ministers took advantage of the divi-
sions in the military by refusing to cooperate un-
less deposed president Zinsou were released from
jail. Zinsou was freed in Cotonou on 13 December.
Two of Dahomey's three regional political leaders
have returned from exile at the invitation of the
military, and the third is expected momentarily.
The return of these three, all former presidents,
will lead to an intensification of civilian polit-
ical maneuvering and probably a rekindling of re-
gional and tribal rivalries.
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USSR-Egypt: The Soviets may have recently
agreed to supply the UAR with some additional arms.
Moscow
promisect the UAR "everything it asked for"--includ-
ing arms--during the course of talks in Moscow last
week, which were attended by Nasir's personal aide
and the Egyptian war minister. The communique is-
sued at the end of the visit did not provide a clear
signal of such intentions. It did, however, refer
to certain unspecified "practical steps" aimed at
enhancing Soviet-Egyptian cooperation.
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