CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015200050001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 16, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: December 18, 1969
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
18 December 1.969
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No. 0302/69
18 December 1969
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
East Germany - West Germany: Pankow is preparing to
enter negotiations with Bonn. (Page 2)
Western Europe: The signing of the tripartite gas
centrifuge agreement marks an important milestone.
(Page 3)
Albania-Yugoslavia: Tirana will supply Albanian-
language textbooks. (Page 4)
Yugoslavia-Bulgaria: Relations (Page 7)
Burma: Counterinsurgency operation (Page 7)
Guatemala: Political assassination (Page 8)
Ecuador: Teachers' strike (Page 8)
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East Germany - West Germany: Pankow is prepar-
ing to enter into negotiations with Bonn.
Yesterday the East German parliament authorized
both the Council of State, headed by party leader
Ulbricht, and the government, headed by Premier
Stoph, to take "the necessary measures" for estab-
lishing relations with West Germany. This suggests
that the East Germans may propose negotiations on
several levels.
Ulbricht last week had indicated that Pankow
was willing to negotiate with Bonn and would not im-
pose preconditions for beginning talks. Yesterday's
action suggests that the East Germans may now be-
lieve that they must take the initiative. With Po-
land and other Eastern European states about to fol-
low Moscow's example in negotiating bilaterally with
the Federal Republic, the East German action is
probably a defensive one. Even if there are high-
level talks, no early breakthrough should be ex-
pected.
The parliament's resolution specified that re-
lations between the two Germanies should be governed
and secured by agreements valid under international
law. Bonn, on the other hand, has indicated that
it is only willing to accept "binding agreements"
with the East Germans, but not formal state trea-
ties. It insists that relations between East and
West Germany must be of a special type.
18 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Western Europe: The signing earlier this week
of the tripartite gas centrifuge agreement marks an
important milestone for one of the most significant
technological projects yet undertaken in Western Eu-
rope.
Although Britain, West Germany, and the Nether-
lands have independent programs to develop the gas
centrifuge method of producing enriched uranium,
they see advantages in a cooperative project. The
UK views it as a way to express interest in Europe,
the Dutch feel there is less financial risk in a
cooperative venture, and. Bonn hopes that the project
will avoid the political repercussions a fully-de-
veloped independent German program could cause.
Since last June progress has been stalled by
two problems--the location of the tripartite con-
sortium's headquarters and the possible use by the
UK of centrifuge-enriched uranium in weapons pro-
grams. A compromise was apparently reached on these
issues
It is not clear how soon the tripartite project
will get under way. The agreement must still be
ratified by the participating states. In addition,
the technical obstacles to implementation are form-
idable. As the centrifuge project develops, more-
over, its relationship to the activities of EURATOM
will have to be defined. It is possible that the
tripartite centrifuge effort could eventually become
one of EURATOM's joint enterprises, especially if
Britain joins the European Communities.
18 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
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Albania-Yugoslavia: Tirana has agreed to supply
Albanian-language textbooks and teaching aids to the
University of Prishtina, located in Yugoslavia's au-
tonomous province of Kosovo.
This new university is an important part of Bel-
grade's policy of meeting the demands of ethnic Al-
banians for equality in the Yugoslav federation.
There are few Albanian-language texts currently avail-
able in Yugoslavia, and Belgrade is taking a calcu-
lated risk that the forthcoming material will not
contain anti-Yugoslav propaganda.
Until the invasion of Czechoslovakia, the Hoxha
regime was highly critical of Yugoslav policies to-
ward the nearly one million Albanians living in Kos-
ovo. Tirana has traditionally argued that the al-
leged plight of these Albanians is an obstacle to
improved relations.
On the textbook issue Hoxha and company are dem-
onstrating an unusual amount of movement. Officials
at the University of Tirana have indicated that they
ld
wou
publish new editions of 60 textbooks upon re-
quest from Prishtina and would meet future require-
18 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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NOTES
Yugoslavia-Bulgaria: The ill-conceived visit
of Bulgarian Foreign Minister Bashev to Belgrade
last week has deepened the gulf that separates the
two countries. The visit was clearly marred by
disputes. According to Western press reports,
Bashev's reiteration of Bulgarian claims to Mace-
donia as well as his support of the Brezhnev doc-
trine, which justifies Communist intervention in
Communist countries, almost caused the talks to
collapse at the beginning. They almost came apart
again when President Tito publicly denounced uniden-
tified critics, clearly the Bulgarians and Soviets,
for attacks on Yugoslav domestic policies.
F_ =1 as a resu ot
all this there is only the prospec of increased
cooperation in the economic field, and presumably
even this has been relegated to the distant future.
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Burma: The Burmese Army in early December
opened a -major operation against Burmese Communists
in the Chinese border areal 25X1
The operation, expected since a mo n-
soon rains abated in October, was probably delayed
until a newly-assigned elite division acquainted
itself with the region. A concurrent drive against
Karen and Communist insurgents in the Irrawaddy
Delta west of Rangoon is indicative of a growing
capability by the Burmese Army to coordinate cam-
paigns against insurgents in separate parts of the
country. 25X1
(continued)
18 Dec 69 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Guatemala: David Guerra Guzman, a prominent
rightist pro itician, was killed yesterday in the
third such shooting in a week. Guerra Guzman was
one of the leaders of the National Liberation Move-
ment (MLN). He had urged presidential candidate
Colonel Carlos Arana, a primary assassination tar-
get himself, to accept the nomination of his party.
A candidate for mayor of Guatemala City, Guerra
was the second leader of the MLN to be gunned down
by communist terrorists during the campaign for
the general election on 1 March.
Ecuador: The government is considering emer-
gency measures to resolve the month-long teachers'
strike aimed primarily at bringing about the dis-
missal of the minister of education. Clashes be-
tween student and teacher demonstrators and police,
plus the announcement by military leaders that they
would support strongarm measures to break the strike,
have lessened the chances of a compromise settlement.
The government's announcement that the Christmas
recess will be extended from 17 December until 7
January could provide a cooling off period.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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