CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015300030001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 18, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 2, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
5Q::
2 January 1970
STATE review(s) completed.
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No. 0002/70
2 January 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
USSR-Berlin: A Soviet diplomat has indicated that
Moscow is ready for four-power talks on West Berlin.
(Page 1)
Thailand: The expected rise in guerrilla terrorism
may have begun. (Page 3)
Panama: A shift in labor policy may ease fears that
Torrijos is hostile to business. (Page 4)
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Law of the Sea: The Soviets have agreed to a US re-
quest for a resumption of bilateral talks. (Page 6)
Communist China - USSR: Anti-Soviet editorial (Page 7)
Nonproliferation Treaty: Swedish ratification (Page 7)
EURATOM: Safeguards negotiations (Page 8)
Chile: Divisions among leftists (Page 8)
Paraguay: Democratic leaders exiled (Page 9)
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USSR-Berlin: A Soviet diplomat has indicated
that Moscow is ready for four-power talks on West
Berlin.
The Soviet charge, who delivered an oral de-
marche in Bonn on West German Bundestag committee
meetings in Berlin, twice stressed Moscow's will-
ingness to talk with the Western powers regarding
West Berlin, according to a West German Foreign
Ministry official. This is the first direct Soviet
comment on the Allied proposal for Berlin talks
since the formal Soviet reply on 12 September, when
the USSR expressed its willingness to "exchange
opinions" with the West. The charge's remarks sug-
gest that Moscow wishes to convey continued inter-
est in discussing disputed issues with the Western
powers, but is not eager to commit itself on the
specifics of the time, site, and agenda of the pro-
posed talks.
The demarche on the activities of Bundestag
committees in West Berlin apparently was meant only
as a reaffirmation of Moscow's position on the le-
galities of this issue. The charge made no threats
of counteraction and it is unlikely that the So-
viets would risk provoking a crisis over the com-
mittee meetings.
Chancellor Brandt has made it clear for some
time that he would, under certain conditions, be
ready to forego the more demonstrative. aspects of
West German political presence in West Berlin in
return for explicit Soviet acceptance of the city's
special legal and financial links to West Germany.
Moreover, as evidence of his willingness to make
concessions, Brandt decided early last month not
to stage a formal January Bundestag work week in
West Berlin, which has been customary in recent
years as a substitute for the former plenary Bunde-
stag meetings. At the same time, however, it was
decided that individual committees and party groups
are to continue holding frequent sessions in the
city. Bonn shows no inclination toward further con-
cessions on this score, at least not prior to an
opening of talks.
2 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Insurgent Activity Increase's in Thailand
GULF
OF
GU rL F () F`
Area f Insurgent Activity 1"
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1 Guerrillas interdict traffic
ii
.Police patrol wiped out
t~,l_ *{dlINd KOK
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Thailand: The expected rise in guerrilla ter-
rorism may have begun.
Communist insurgents have conducted several
dramatic ambushes in recent weeks, inflicting a num-
ber of casualties on government security officials.
In the most serious incident, a police patrol was
wiped out in an area west of Bangkok that has nor-
mally been free of insurgent activity. In other
actions, including several involving civilians, the
insurgents have demonstrated an unusual degree of
brutality.
Much of this activity has occurred in the north-
east, where the guerrillas have generally been avoid-
in armed action.
In the nor central area,
the more venturesome tribal guerrillas are concen-
trating their attention on government tribal develop-
ment programs and have tried, so far unsuccessfully,
to interrupt traffic on an important provincial road.
e ommunis s may
stage some headline-grabbing activity to celebrate
the first anniversary of the Thai Peoples' Libera-
tion Armed Forces. This is the embryonic military
arm of the Communist Party of Thailand founded 1 Jan-
uary 1969.
Although the guerrillas are capable of in-
creased levels of violence in several parts of the
country, they have not significantly increased their
threat to government security forces.
2 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Panama: A shift in the government's labor pol-
icy may ease fears that strongman General Torrijos
is hostile to business.
In November, Torrijos announced that the govern-
ment planned to establish a government-controlled
labor organization. This alarmed business groups
which feared a strong :Labor movement and thought that
it was part of a government move to create an official
political party. It also alarmed labor leaders, who
feared for their positions.
Speaking at the congress of the Confederation
of Panamanian Workers on 27 December, Labor Minister
Escobar stated that the "revolution" has always de-
fended the right of the workers to organize their
own unions. He added that the government, stimulates
and protects private enterprise, which with labor is
among the country's greatest resources. Escobar went
on to say that the "revolution" calls for the estab-
lishment of an equilibrium between workers and em-
ployers.
This softening of Torrijos' policy statement is
in line with other government moves, such as a meet-
ing last week between President Lakas and business
leaders and the lifting of the travel ban on certain
businessmen, that are intended to improve business-
government relations and further consolidate Torrijos'
position in the aftermath of the abortive coup in
mid-December.
2 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Law of the Sea: The Soviets have agreed to a
US request for a resumption of the bilateral meet-
ings of experts on the subject.
The USSR approached the US and other countries
in the summer of 1967, soliciting views on the pos-
sibility of a new international conference on Law of
the Sea that would achieve widespread agreement to a
12-mile limit for the territorial sea and exclusive
fishing zone. The US responded at bilateral experts'
meetings last year that such a conference must estab-
lish rights of free passage through international
straits and provide some accommodation of the special
fishing interests of coastal states beyond 12 miles.
The experts have worked out three articles de-
signed to meet the Law of the Sea concerns of their
nations and are conducting separate, worldwide can-
vasses to obtain reactions to these proposals. The
resumed meeting, to be held in Moscow on 7-8 January,
would be for the purpose of comparing notes and chart-
ing future courses.
To increase the chances of success for a confer-
ence on Law of the Sea, the superpowers would like
to keep its agenda limited, excluding the issues of
the peaceful uses of the seabeds. The less developed
countries are suspicious of big-power intentions in
both these areas and were. instrumental in having the
24th UN General Assembly pass a resolution calling
on Secretary General Thant to solicit views on an
early convocation of a Law of the Sea conference to
consider the full range of issues, including seabeds
topics.
2 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Communist China - USSR: Peking is continuing
political attacks against Moscow despite the USSR's
announced intention to return Deputy Foreign Minister
Kuznetsov to Peking to resume the border talks.
(Kuznetsov has left for Peking.1In an authoritative
joint editorial on 31 December -the Chinese directly
denounced Soviet party leader Brezhnev by name for
the first time since the Chou-Kosygin meeting last
September, and underscored China's determination to
defend its frontiers from attack by either the.US or
the Soviets. The Chinese commentary is consistent
with the more strident tone China's anti-Soviet
polemics have adopted in recent weeks, and is almost
certainly intended to demonstrate to Moscow that the
Chinese will continue a tough stance when the border
talks are resumed.
Nonproliferation Treaty: Sweden, a threshold
nuclear nation, has told the US that it plans to
deposit instruments of treaty ratification on 9 Jan-
uary. Stockholm's action further brightens. prospects
that the treaty will enter into force soon. Among
other threshold states, Japan has said that it will
sign shortly, but Israel and India appear unlikely
to do so. There is no indication that the nuclear
powers France and Communist China have changed their
position of refusal to sign the treaty.
(continued)
2 Jan 7 0 Central Intelligence Bulletin 7
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EURATOM: Agreement has been reached on a pro-
cedure for developing a common position in the Euro-
pean Atomic Energy Community (EURATOM) for negotia-
tions with the International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA) on safeguards against the diversion of fis-
sionable material. to weapons use. With German signa-
ture of the nonproliferation treaty an accomplished
fact,, approval by the Council of European Commu-
nities of a definitive negotiating mandate is anti-
cipated--if all goes well---during the spring.
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Chile: The impasse over the selection of a
presidential candidate is widening the divisions
within the Communist-leftist electoral front. The
six parties of the Popular Unity Movement finally
got together on a program last week after months of
wrangling, but agreement on a presidential candidate
has proven beyond them. Opposition to the leading
contender, Socialist Senator Salvador Allende, on
grounds that he is overexposed after three unsuccess-
ful tries at the presidency, reportedly has led him.
to withdraw as his party?s candidate. There is
growing talk that Senator Rafael Gumucio? who re-
cently broke away from the governing Christian Demo-
cratic Party, will be the compromise candidate.
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(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Paraguay: The exile of four Christian Demo-
cratic leaders Monday for discussing the political
situation with military officers is the most serious
episode to date in the continuing battle between
church and state. Some Catholic laymen and clergy-
men are espousing revolution and are talking about
the type of government to be formed after President
Stroessner goes, but there does not appear to be any
serious threat to his 15-year-old regime. Although
the President has the backing of the military and
the Colorado Party, he continues to react vigorously
against any opposition.
2 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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