CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015300080001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 8, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 8, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
so
8 January 1970
STATE review(s) completed.
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No. 0007/70
8 January 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Fighting continues throughout much
of the country. (Page 1)
Cambodia: Sihanouk's abrupt departure for France
may reduce political friction in Phnom Penh. (Page 2)
Communist China: Peking appears embarked on another
campaign to quicken local party building. (Page 3)
Nationalist China: Chiang Ching-kuo is expanding
his control over government economic affairs. (Page 5)
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Cuba-Brazil: Cuban assistance to Brazilian terrorist
groups is continuing. (Page 8)
UN-Cyprus: A plan has been drawn up to reduce peace-
keeping forces. (Page 9)
Chile: Naval purchases (Page 10)
Venezuela-Guyana: Border dispute (Page 10)
European Communities - Spain: Trade agreement (Page 10)
Italy: Judicial reform (Page 11)
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South Vietnam: Fighting continues throughout
much of South Vietnam.
Thus far, the bulk of the enemy-initiated ac-
tion has been confined to I and II corps, but sev-
eral sharp battles between Communist and allied
forces have erupted elsewhere. There have been num-
erous rocket and mortar bombardments and several
ground attacks against selected allied military tar-
gets, including air bases and artillery positions.
The Communists also have struck hard at South Viet-
namese territorial security forces, Revolutionary
Development teams, and population centers, including
refugee camps.
The latest actions probably foreshadow the kind
of tactics that the Communists will emphasize in the
near future. The enemy has relied on small groups
of sappers or commandos to carry out some of the
heaviest assaults in recent days, inflicting signif-
icant casualties on allied forces. Enemy harassing
fire has been most effective against remote outposts
and towns. There have been reports of heavier ac-
tion planned for later in the campaign, possibly
including the commitment of more main force units.
I I
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Cambodia: Sihanouk's abrupt departure for
France this week should temporarily reduce political
friction in Phnom Penh.
The Cambodian chief of state is expected to be
gone for two or three months on one of his infre-
quent medical retreats. Sihanouk may also intend
to go to Moscow, Peking, and other areas before re-
turning home.
Sihanouk cabinet members probably added to Sihanouk's
political battle fatigue. His absence should give
the government a better opportunity to manage its
own affairs, free from his obstructive interference.
The government, however, is unlikely to take any
strikingly new initiatives in his absence.
Prime Minister Lon Nol's post-
congress acceptance of the resignations of four pro-
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Communist China: Peking appears to be embarked
on yet another campaign to quicken the tempo of the
local party building process.
The formation of a new party committee in a
Peking printing plant two weeks ago, for example,
continues to receive wide publicity in Peking media.
The plant's committee is being touted as a national
model for emulation, and the heavy propaganda is al-
most certainly intended to give an impetus to the
party building efforts that have bogged down in the
provinces. The publicity given to a number of party
committees organized recently in Hunan Province also
is designed for this same purpose.
The attempts to reconstruct China's shattered
Communist Party have faltered badly since the ninth
party congress last April. An article in the latest
issue of the theoretical journal Red Flag provides
a good insight into the problems that have hampered
the effort so far. It criticizes the belief among
certain individuals--obviously Red Guard factional-
ists--that they should be allowed to join the party
either because of "merits" they have won during the
Cultural Revolution or because they are now leading
members of a revolutionary committee. The Red Flag
article also rejected the notion that each Red Guard
faction should be represented on the new party com-
mittees. Instead, the article stresses the need for
lenient treatment of party members "who have com-
mitted mistakes"--those criticized during the Cul-
tural Revolution. This is a clear indication that
Peking continues to support the program to restore
the majority of purged cadres to party membership
despite the objections of the more radical group of
new cadres.
Peking apparently has decided to push ahead
with party building even though these problems per-
sist in most parts of the country. Glossing over
differences at local levels will probably facilitate
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an increase in the number of new committees formed
in the weeks ahead. This approach, however, can
lead to party committees that are pasted together
haphazardly. It also risks bringing into the party
committees some of the weaknesses of the faction-
ridden revolutionary committees.
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Nationalist China: Vice Premier Chiang Ching-
kuo is continuing to expand his control over govern-
ment economic affairs despite discontent and opposi-
tion from a number of high-ranking officials.
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Since his appointment to economic planning po-
sitions last summer, Vice Premier Chiang has been
consolidating his influence over the government's
entire economic structure. President Chiang Kai-
shek appointed him to these posts to add to his
son's already established power base in the polit-
ical, military, and security apparatus and to en-
sure an orderly succession when the aged President
passes from the scene. As a result of this powerful
sanction, the vice premier's authority will almost
certainly remain dominant,
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Cuba-Brazil: Cuban assistance to Brazilian
terrorist groups is continuing.
Castro is still willing to supply aid to revo-
lutionary groups despite his decision, after the
death of Che Guevara in 1967, to be more selective
in supporting guerrilla movements. Havana's special
interest in Brazil was demonstrated by Castro's
enthusiastic personal welcome given to 13 prisoners
who were exchanged for US Ambassador Elbrick last
September. Cuba's current preoccupation with press-
ing domestic problems, particularly the ten-million-
ton sugar harvest for 1970, will probably limit
Cuban support of subversive groups largely to train-
ing and propaganda, at least for the time-,being.
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UN-Cyprus: Officers of the UN force in Cyprus
(UNFICYP) have drawn up plans to reduce the peace-
keeping mission.
Pressure to reduce the financial burden of.
UNFICYP operations has been building up for some
time in the UN. A survey team commissioned by
Secretary General Thant made suggestions last month
for a fairly sizable reduction in forces and a sub-
stantial financial savings. In obtaining a Security
Council agreement to extend the UNFICYP mandate until
June 1970, Thant stated that he would put the propos-
als into effect in consultation with the governments
concerned and with his representatives on Cyprus.
The UNFICYP officers envision a phased reduction
of 500 men from the present level of 3,475. Districts
where serious tensions exist between the Greek and
Turkish Cypriots will not be affected. The Canadians
would be responsible for Nicosia, the most sensitive
area on the island. The plan would facilitate the
eventual conversion to a UN observer-type operation
in the quieter areas.
The Turkish Government
aimost certainly w-111 oppose the planned reduction on
grounds that the safety of Turkish Cypriot enclaves
will be jeopardized. The UK may also be concerned
that such force reductions would lessen the security
of its bases--the primary target of the recently
heightened anti-British propaganda in Cyprus.
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Chile: The Frei government has purchased two
frigates and two submarines from Great Britain at a
cost of about $72 million. Delivery is expected to
begin in 1972. A leading Santiago newspaper broke
the story, described by the US Embassy as "apparently
authoritative," after an interview with "an unnamed
Chilean Navy source." The source justified the pur-
chase because Peru and Argentina are also buying
destroyers and submarines. In all three cases the
new ships will replace or augment obsolete vessels,
many of which were built before 1945.
* *
Venezuela-Guyana: Venezuela may be preparing
a new move in its corder dispute with Guyana. Vene-
zuelan ambassadors to Guyana, the UK, the Organiza-
tion of American States, and the UN are to return to
Caracas today to discuss the Guyanese problem. Al-
though efforts over the past four years to solve
the problem through a mixed border commission have
been fruitless, Venezuela can be expected to exert
strong diplomatic pressure on Guyana to agree to
continue the talks beyond the commission's scheduled
February expiration. The Guyanese, on the other
hand, have expressed little interest in extending
the commission, apparently convinced they would re-
ceive a favorable ruling if the dispute is submitted
to international adjudication.
European Communities - Spain: Negotiations
between Spain an tie European Communities (EC) on
a preferential trading agreement probably will be
completed during the first half of 1970, according
to the US mission to the EC. Both sides have a
strong compulsion to reach agreement, and it is
possible that the main differences may be resolved
during the next round of talks, scheduled for the
h
h
at suc
latter part of January. The mission warns t
a limited preferential trading agreement violates
the principles of GATT.
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Italy: Strong criticism of Italy's criminal
code, last fully revised in the Fascist period, has
stimulated judicial reform. New legislation which
took effect last week includes some basic civil
rights guarantees. Certain provisions, for example,
protect the accused against self-incrimination,
require the police now to permit immediate notifica-
tion of the relatives of the person arrested, and
curtail the imprisonment of suspects prior to ar-
raignment.
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