CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
16
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 22, 2003
Sequence Number: 
1
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Publication Date: 
January 14, 1970
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6.pdf515.7 KB
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Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6 Secret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin Secret 50 14 January 1.970 DIA review(s) completed. Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 Q Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6 SECRET No. 0012/70 14 January 1970 Central Intelligence Bulletin CONTENTS Nigeria: General Gowon is trying to wrap up the war quickly. (Page 1) Communist China: The Chinese have responded quickly to the earthquake disaster. (Page 3) Congo (Kinshasa) : Mobutu seems determined to pur- chase military equipment. (Page 5) Cuba: Castro has admitted that the sugar harvest is so mewhat behind schedule. (Page 6) Dominican Republic: Balaguer has purged high rank- ing dissidents from the governing party. (Page 7) Brazil: The economic growth rate last year set a record for the past two decades. (Page 8) Czechoslovakia: The authorities are thinning the ranks of Western correspondents in Prague. (Page 9) Israel-Egypt: Israeli airstrikes (Page 11) East Germany - Yugoslavia: Strained relations (Page 11) Chile: General Viaux (Page 12) SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11Ij LP79T00975A015300130001-6 Nigeria: General Gowon appears to be trying to wrap up the war quickly and with as little blood- shed as possible. Gowan is determined to disarm all the Biafran soldiers and to establish a federal presence through- out secessionist territory. Most, if not all, of Biafra's major towns have already been captured. The secessionist radio was operating yesterday, how- ever, and it broadcast a second appeal by Biafran leader Effiong for a halt in the federal offensive. General Gowon has so far ignored Effiong's of- fer to send an emissary to negotiate Biafra's return to the federation. Gowon probably wishes to avoid giving any hint that Biafrans will be given special status. The Nigerian Government has directed that all foreign relief be channeled through federal author- ities. The Nigerians are clearly sensitive about foreign concern over the relief problem, especially about repeated exhortations not to commit genocide. In an effort to capitalize on this Nigerian sensitivity, the Soviets have branded Western re- lief aid as interference in Nigeria's affairs. This probably reflects Soviet concern that Lagos' depend- ence on the USSR for arms may soon decline and that the federal government may forget Moscow's steadfast support during the war. Moscow has also taken the lead in lauding the federal government fnr hold' Nigeria together. F 14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 Q Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 SECRET Communist China: The Chinese have responded quickly to the earthquake disaster that occurred-in Yunnan Province last week. According to provincial radiobroadcasts, medical teams from Peking have been arriving in the stricken area near the capital city of K'un-ming and have im- mediately gone to work. Local army personnel have been busy rescuing injured people and attempting to preserve state and personal property. Area revolu- tionary committees and army teams have also mobilized the local population to begin clearing the rubble and rebuilding homes. There are still no firm indications as to the specific areas involved, the extent of the damage, or the number of casualties, but it would appear from the substantial relief effort that Yunnan has suffered a major disaster. The population in K'un-ming city alone is around 800,000. Local authorities are having to contend with looting. A Yunnan broadcast has called on the army and the people to heighten their vigilance against class enemies who are taking advantage of the calamity to engage in "sabotage." 14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/1' (0S~ fil P79T00975A015300130001-6 Congo (Kinshasa): President Mobutu seems deter- mined to purchase large numbers of heavy armored cars and sophisticated jet fighter planes, because of his mounting fear of the radical regime in Congo (Brazza- ville). According to a source of the US defense attache in Kinshasa, Mobutu has dispatched a ranking army offi- cer to Paris and Rome to negotiate the purchase of 265 Panhard armored cars, 17 Mirage fighter planes, and 17 Fiat subsonic fighters. The source claims that nego- tiations have already begun for the Panhards, which alone could cost as much as $20 million. Delivery of the planes and armored cars would be phased over a five- year period. Although the Mobutu government is financially capable of handling such a deal, the net result would be an exorbitant diversion of assets from nonmilitary developmental programs to obtain armaments of dubious applicability for the Congo's security needs. Panhards are much too heavy to negotiate most rural roads, and the Mirage fighters would far exceed present training and logistic capabilities. The most likely incentive for such a precipitate increase in military expenditures is Mobutu's fear that President Ngouabi of Congo (Brazzaville) and his foreign Communist supporters will increase their hitherto limited support for Mobutu's domestic enemies. Mobutu's obsession with the threat of subversion from this quarter has been intensified by Ngouabi's recent adoption of Communist governmental trappings and de- nunciations of Mobutu. 14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11 11 C~ P79T00975A015300130001-6 Cuba: Castro has admitted that the 1970 sugar harvest is failing somewhat behind schedule. In a broadcast progress report on the effort to produce a record ten million tons, Castro stated that heavy rainfall in several provinces last week has caused delays. He showed even more concern over the low production in Oriente and Camaguey provinces, traditionally abundant sugar areas, which have been free of weather problems. According to Castro, the schedule for the second million tons has already been set back some and could be delayed even further if workers do not redouble their efforts. The tone of Castro's analysis was more somber than his previously optimistic statements, and he again warned that "soft people who fold up at the first difficulty" would not be tolerated by the re- gime. Should worker discipline falter this early in the harvest, the ten-million-ton goal would be seri- ously jeopardized, as the most arduous phase is yet Central Intelligence Bulletin 6 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 SECRET Dominican Republic: President Balaguer has purged high ranking dissidents from the governing party in his struggle for undisputed party leader- ship. The mayors of the capital and of the nation's second largest city, both outspoken critics of any re-election bid by the President, were expelled from the Reformist Party for one year. Both have con- tested the action as illegal, but Balaguer can prob- ably make the decision stick. Reformist party of- fices in the capital were guarded by police last week to prevent members who oppose Balaguer's re- election from entering. This action is another reflection of the strug- gle for control of Reformist committees, a contest that has probably already been decided in the Pres- ident's favor. Balaguer should be able to control the still unscheduled nominating convention with ease. Elections are only four months away, and some political observers have contended that Balaguer's reluctance to announce whether he will seek re-elec- tion means he will step aside and select a successor. Although such a course remains possible, Balaguer's maneuvering suggests more stroijaly that he will make a last minute re-election bid. Central Intelligence Bulletin 7 SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 SECRET . Brazil: The economic growth rate last year ex- ceeded all expectations and set a record for the past two decades. Finance Minister Delfim Neto recently announced that output grew by 8.4 percent in 1969 compared with seven percent in 1968 and a 4.5 percent average since 1963. Production grew across the board, with a ten percent increase in industrial output and a small rise in agricultural production. Steel output, spurred by booming construction and increased demand for autos, climbed to five million metric tons, a 12 percent increase over 1968. Exports rose by 20 percent, reaching an all-time high of $2.3 billion. Manufactured exports increased 30 percent and now account for 12 percent of total exports. Foreign ex- change reserves are expected to increase by $500 mil- lion. The economic boom in the past two years reflects in part the improvement in the foreign exchange po- sition brought about by the austerity program of 1964-67. The determined efforts by the military- dominated governments to impose political stability and to assure subsequent continuity icy also have contributed. F77 14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6 SECRET Czechoslovakia: The authorities are thinning the'ranks of US and other Western correspondents in Prague. The Husak regime's displeasure over Western news coverage of Czechoslovak events is increasing, as are its attempts to restrict the access of the populace to Western influences in general. Only one of seven American correspondents in Czechoslovakia in December has thus far received his accreditation for 1970. Prague refused to renew the accreditation of the reporters for the Economist and the Christian Science Monitor ostensibly because they failed to establish reresidence in the country. Actually, spokesmen for the regime have implied that they were dissatisfied with the tenor of the reports filed by these journal- ists. The correspondent of the Chicago Daily News, meanwhile, is having trouble obtaining a visa in Vienna to return to Prague. In the aftermath of the Soviet invasion, Prague authorities attempted to press Western correspondents to moderate their reporting. by revoking accredita- tions. Since coming to power last April, however, the Husak leadership has demonstrated its distrust of US media by denying entry permits to the desig- nated successors of some expelled newsmen and by closing the Prague bureau of the New York Times dur- ing the first anniversary of the intervention last August. Central Intelligence Bulletin 9 SECRET awl Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006IM 1k RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 Israeli Aircraft Strike Closer to Cairo Tel Aviv-Yafo,,r, Al Arish Port Said Military targets hit by Israeli aircraft, 13Janes- Tantq' ? Bani Suwayf,9 Al Minya SHARM ~\__ 9- ciiraii o1 ~.~ Tiran 2)I SUEZ CANAL Ismailia;) ? 'Tel el K,ebir ;ali 1, of \, SECRET (EGYPT) Suez) REPUB~iS SINAI (Israeli-occupied) ?FThrghada Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6 SECRET NOTES Israel-Egypt: Israel appears to be broadening its campaign to create domestic problems for Nasir. The recent Israeli airstrikes close to Cairo are probably intended to prove to the Egyptian people that Israel is able to fly almost unmolested over Egyptian territory and to prevent Nasir from mini- mizing these Israeli military actions as he does others. The Israelis are, of course, also eager to lure the Egyptian Air Force into combat, but their ultimate aim is the removal of Nasir. Most Israeli leaders have convinced themselves that he is the primary obstacle to a satisfactory peace settlement and the main instigator of Arab hostility toward Israel? 7 7 East Germany - Yugoslavia: Belgrade's refusal to receive the East German foreign minister at his "urgent" request prior to Tito's departure for Af- rica later this month probably will aggravate the already strained relations between the two govern- ments. Why the East German wished to meet with the Yugoslavs is not known, but he may have planned to ask Tito to support Pankow's efforts to gain recog- nition from the African states. Tito would have de- nied any such request, but the refusal of the Yugo- slavs even to receive the minister adds insult to injury. There have been recent indications, more- over, that East German - Yugoslav party relations are also quite strained. (continued) 14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6 SECRET Chile: Retired General Roberto Viaux has is- sued a blistering statement charging that the army commander and the Frei government have broken pledges not to punish officers involved in the 21 October up- rising of some army officers. Viaux and several other officers were court-martialed for leading the short revolt, which was instrumental in effecting needed pay raises and other improvements for the armed forces. His challenge to Chief of Staff Rene Schneider's right to moral leadership of the army probably is not widely s o ted among active off i- ce rs 14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6 Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-RDP79T00975AO15300130001-6 Secret Secret Approved For Release 2006/11/05: CIA-R DP79T00975A015300130001-6