CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015300130001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 22, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 14, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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Secret
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
14 January 1.970
DIA review(s) completed.
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No. 0012/70
14 January 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Nigeria: General Gowon is trying to wrap up the war
quickly. (Page 1)
Communist China: The Chinese have responded quickly
to the earthquake disaster. (Page 3)
Congo (Kinshasa) : Mobutu seems determined to pur-
chase military equipment. (Page 5)
Cuba: Castro has admitted that the sugar harvest
is so mewhat behind schedule. (Page 6)
Dominican Republic: Balaguer has purged high rank-
ing dissidents from the governing party. (Page 7)
Brazil: The economic growth rate last year set a
record for the past two decades. (Page 8)
Czechoslovakia: The authorities are thinning the
ranks of Western correspondents in Prague. (Page 9)
Israel-Egypt: Israeli airstrikes (Page 11)
East Germany - Yugoslavia: Strained relations (Page 11)
Chile: General Viaux (Page 12)
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Nigeria: General Gowon appears to be trying
to wrap up the war quickly and with as little blood-
shed as possible.
Gowan is determined to disarm all the Biafran
soldiers and to establish a federal presence through-
out secessionist territory. Most, if not all, of
Biafra's major towns have already been captured.
The secessionist radio was operating yesterday, how-
ever, and it broadcast a second appeal by Biafran
leader Effiong for a halt in the federal offensive.
General Gowon has so far ignored Effiong's of-
fer to send an emissary to negotiate Biafra's return
to the federation. Gowon probably wishes to avoid
giving any hint that Biafrans will be given special
status.
The Nigerian Government has directed that all
foreign relief be channeled through federal author-
ities. The Nigerians are clearly sensitive about
foreign concern over the relief problem, especially
about repeated exhortations not to commit genocide.
In an effort to capitalize on this Nigerian
sensitivity, the Soviets have branded Western re-
lief aid as interference in Nigeria's affairs. This
probably reflects Soviet concern that Lagos' depend-
ence on the USSR for arms may soon decline and that
the federal government may forget Moscow's steadfast
support during the war. Moscow has also taken the
lead in lauding the federal government fnr hold'
Nigeria together. F
14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Communist China: The Chinese have responded
quickly to the earthquake disaster that occurred-in
Yunnan Province last week.
According to provincial radiobroadcasts, medical
teams from Peking have been arriving in the stricken
area near the capital city of K'un-ming and have im-
mediately gone to work. Local army personnel have
been busy rescuing injured people and attempting to
preserve state and personal property. Area revolu-
tionary committees and army teams have also mobilized
the local population to begin clearing the rubble and
rebuilding homes.
There are still no firm indications as to the
specific areas involved, the extent of the damage,
or the number of casualties, but it would appear from
the substantial relief effort that Yunnan has suffered
a major disaster. The population in K'un-ming city
alone is around 800,000. Local authorities are having
to contend with looting. A Yunnan broadcast has called
on the army and the people to heighten their vigilance
against class enemies who are taking advantage of the
calamity to engage in "sabotage."
14 Jan 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Congo (Kinshasa): President Mobutu seems deter-
mined to purchase large numbers of heavy armored cars
and sophisticated jet fighter planes, because of his
mounting fear of the radical regime in Congo (Brazza-
ville).
According to a source of the US defense attache
in Kinshasa, Mobutu has dispatched a ranking army offi-
cer to Paris and Rome to negotiate the purchase of 265
Panhard armored cars, 17 Mirage fighter planes, and 17
Fiat subsonic fighters. The source claims that nego-
tiations have already begun for the Panhards, which
alone could cost as much as $20 million. Delivery of
the planes and armored cars would be phased over a five-
year period.
Although the Mobutu government is financially
capable of handling such a deal, the net result would
be an exorbitant diversion of assets from nonmilitary
developmental programs to obtain armaments of dubious
applicability for the Congo's security needs. Panhards
are much too heavy to negotiate most rural roads, and
the Mirage fighters would far exceed present training
and logistic capabilities.
The most likely incentive for such a precipitate
increase in military expenditures is Mobutu's fear
that President Ngouabi of Congo (Brazzaville) and his
foreign Communist supporters will increase their
hitherto limited support for Mobutu's domestic enemies.
Mobutu's obsession with the threat of subversion from
this quarter has been intensified by Ngouabi's recent
adoption of Communist governmental trappings and de-
nunciations of Mobutu.
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Cuba: Castro has admitted that the 1970 sugar
harvest is failing somewhat behind schedule.
In a broadcast progress report on the effort to
produce a record ten million tons, Castro stated that
heavy rainfall in several provinces last week has
caused delays. He showed even more concern over the
low production in Oriente and Camaguey provinces,
traditionally abundant sugar areas, which have been
free of weather problems. According to Castro, the
schedule for the second million tons has already been
set back some and could be delayed even further if
workers do not redouble their efforts.
The tone of Castro's analysis was more somber
than his previously optimistic statements, and he
again warned that "soft people who fold up at the
first difficulty" would not be tolerated by the re-
gime. Should worker discipline falter this early in
the harvest, the ten-million-ton goal would be seri-
ously jeopardized, as the most arduous phase is yet
Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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Dominican Republic: President Balaguer has
purged high ranking dissidents from the governing
party in his struggle for undisputed party leader-
ship.
The mayors of the capital and of the nation's
second largest city, both outspoken critics of any
re-election bid by the President, were expelled from
the Reformist Party for one year. Both have con-
tested the action as illegal, but Balaguer can prob-
ably make the decision stick. Reformist party of-
fices in the capital were guarded by police last
week to prevent members who oppose Balaguer's re-
election from entering.
This action is another reflection of the strug-
gle for control of Reformist committees, a contest
that has probably already been decided in the Pres-
ident's favor. Balaguer should be able to control
the still unscheduled nominating convention with
ease. Elections are only four months away, and some
political observers have contended that Balaguer's
reluctance to announce whether he will seek re-elec-
tion means he will step aside and select a successor.
Although such a course remains possible, Balaguer's
maneuvering suggests more stroijaly that he will make
a last minute re-election bid.
Central Intelligence Bulletin 7
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Brazil: The economic growth rate last year ex-
ceeded all expectations and set a record for the past
two decades.
Finance Minister Delfim Neto recently announced
that output grew by 8.4 percent in 1969 compared with
seven percent in 1968 and a 4.5 percent average since
1963. Production grew across the board, with a ten
percent increase in industrial output and a small
rise in agricultural production. Steel output,
spurred by booming construction and increased demand
for autos, climbed to five million metric tons, a
12 percent increase over 1968. Exports rose by 20
percent, reaching an all-time high of $2.3 billion.
Manufactured exports increased 30 percent and now
account for 12 percent of total exports. Foreign ex-
change reserves are expected to increase by $500 mil-
lion.
The economic boom in the past two years reflects
in part the improvement in the foreign exchange po-
sition brought about by the austerity program of
1964-67. The determined efforts by the military-
dominated governments to impose political stability
and to assure subsequent continuity icy also have contributed. F77
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Czechoslovakia: The authorities are thinning
the'ranks of US and other Western correspondents in
Prague.
The Husak regime's displeasure over Western news
coverage of Czechoslovak events is increasing, as are
its attempts to restrict the access of the populace
to Western influences in general. Only one of seven
American correspondents in Czechoslovakia in December
has thus far received his accreditation for 1970.
Prague refused to renew the accreditation of the
reporters for the Economist and the Christian Science
Monitor ostensibly because they failed to establish
reresidence in the country. Actually, spokesmen for
the regime have implied that they were dissatisfied
with the tenor of the reports filed by these journal-
ists. The correspondent of the Chicago Daily News,
meanwhile, is having trouble obtaining a visa in
Vienna to return to Prague.
In the aftermath of the Soviet invasion, Prague
authorities attempted to press Western correspondents
to moderate their reporting. by revoking accredita-
tions. Since coming to power last April, however,
the Husak leadership has demonstrated its distrust
of US media by denying entry permits to the desig-
nated successors of some expelled newsmen and by
closing the Prague bureau of the New York Times dur-
ing the first anniversary of the intervention last
August.
Central Intelligence Bulletin 9
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Israeli Aircraft Strike Closer to Cairo
Tel Aviv-Yafo,,r,
Al Arish
Port Said
Military targets hit
by Israeli aircraft,
13Janes-
Tantq'
?
Bani Suwayf,9
Al Minya
SHARM
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2)I SUEZ
CANAL
Ismailia;)
?
'Tel el K,ebir
;ali 1,
of \,
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(EGYPT)
Suez)
REPUB~iS SINAI
(Israeli-occupied)
?FThrghada
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NOTES
Israel-Egypt: Israel appears to be broadening
its campaign to create domestic problems for Nasir.
The recent Israeli airstrikes close to Cairo are
probably intended to prove to the Egyptian people
that Israel is able to fly almost unmolested over
Egyptian territory and to prevent Nasir from mini-
mizing these Israeli military actions as he does
others. The Israelis are, of course, also eager to
lure the Egyptian Air Force into combat, but their
ultimate aim is the removal of Nasir. Most Israeli
leaders have convinced themselves that he is the
primary obstacle to a satisfactory peace settlement
and the main instigator of Arab hostility toward
Israel? 7 7
East Germany - Yugoslavia: Belgrade's refusal
to receive the East German foreign minister at his
"urgent" request prior to Tito's departure for Af-
rica later this month probably will aggravate the
already strained relations between the two govern-
ments. Why the East German wished to meet with the
Yugoslavs is not known, but he may have planned to
ask Tito to support Pankow's efforts to gain recog-
nition from the African states. Tito would have de-
nied any such request, but the refusal of the Yugo-
slavs even to receive the minister adds insult to
injury. There have been recent indications, more-
over, that East German - Yugoslav party relations
are also quite strained.
(continued)
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Chile: Retired General Roberto Viaux has is-
sued a blistering statement charging that the army
commander and the Frei government have broken pledges
not to punish officers involved in the 21 October up-
rising of some army officers. Viaux and several
other officers were court-martialed for leading the
short revolt, which was instrumental in effecting
needed pay raises and other improvements for the
armed forces. His challenge to Chief of Staff Rene
Schneider's right to moral leadership of the army
probably is not widely s o ted among active off i-
ce rs
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