CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015700100001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 1, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 10, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
,
Central Intelligence Bulletin
STATE review(s) completed.
Secret
5 0
10 March 1970
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No. 0059/70
10 March 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
? CONTENTS
Cyprus: President Makarios remains in complete con-
trol after his narrow escape. (Page 2)
India: Increasing political ferment may bring about
a collapse of the governing coalition in West Bengal.
(Page 3)
El Salvador: Preliminary election returns point to
a landslide victory for the government. (Page 6)
USSR-Sudan: Moscow has reneged on trade commitments
but seems to be moving ahead with economic assistance.
(Page 7)
Communist China: Political leaders (Page 9)
Israel-Egypt: Oil rig (Page 9)
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Cyprus: President Makarios remains in complete
control after his narrow escape from assassination
on Sunday.
All Greek Cypriot political parties have de-
nounced the attempted assassination. Rauf Denktash,
spokesman for the Turkish Cypriots in the long-drawn-
out intercommunal talks, has also issued a statement
deploring such acts, A crowd of about 10,000 Greek
Cypriots demonstrated in support of Makarios in Nic-
osia on 9 March,
Makarios has not yet revealed whatever plans
he may have for action against renewed terrorism.
Continued temporizing would expose him to other at-
tempts on his life,
10 Mar 70
Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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India: Increasing political ferment in vio-
lence-wracked West Bengal may bring about a collapse
of the state's governing coalition.
The Bangla Congress, the most moderate and the
second largest party in the coalition, has threat-
ened to pull out next week. The announcement has
thrown the long-shaky political situation into a
fresh state of turbulence.
The militant Communist Party/Marxist has by far
the largest representation of the 14-odd leftist po-
litical groups in the present coalition. Primarily
through their control of the police, the Marxists
have been steadily increasing their power in the
state at the expense not only of the opposition but
of their own coalition partners. Led by the Bangla
Congress, most of the members of the coalition have
been castigating the Marxists for making a mockery
of law-and-order, but up to now they have been re-
luctant to pull out of the coalition. They fear
they would be unable to put together a viable alter-
native government, and they apparently concede that
new elections would bring the Marxists additional
legislative seats.
The Marxists have threatened to unleash a "cam-
paign of terror" if they are forced out of power,
but it is unlikely that they would want to create
a situation in which the central government would
have to move in--possibly with the army. The sit-
uation could get out of hand quickly, however, and
a Marxist-organized march on Calcutta, culminating
in a huge rally on 15 March, could erupt into seri-
ous violence.
For her part, Prime Minister Gandhi has been
reluctant to intervene in the state's affairs.
"President's rule," direct control by the central
government, was resorted to in February 1968. Al-
though peace was restored, the move eventually be-
came a political liability for the ruling Congress
10 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
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Party's state organization In a state where her
party has already been seriously weakened, Mrs. Gan-
dhi is anxious to avoid making another political
blunder.
The Marxists may ultimately be willing to work
out some sort of modus vivendi with their partners
in order to salvage the coalition. Any such agree-
ment is unlikely to bring about long-term stability,
however.
10 Mar 70
Central Intelligence Bulletin 4
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El Salvador: Preliminary returns point to a
landslide victory for the government in last Sunday's
congressional and municipal elections.
They indicate that the official Party of Na-
tional Conciliation has won more than 60 percent of
the congressional seats and control of local govern-
ments in 12 of the 14 department capitals. The
"victory" over Honduras last July and the continued
border incidents worked in the government's favor,
but government pressure on the voters was probably
also a factor in the unexpectedly good showing of
the official party.
The government will face the immediate problem
of countering charges by the Christian Democratic
opposition of voting irregularity. It also will
have to decide whether to push ahead with the legis-
lative reform program begun last November after the
Christian Democrats joined with dissident members
of the government party to overthrow the unprogres-
sive Assembly leadership.
10 Mar 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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USSR-Sudan: Moscow has reneged on trade com-
mitmeRT-g-175M?Iast November but seems to be moving
ahead with its economic assistance progratn
The Soviet press has reported, however, that
the Soviet minister of foreign trade is expected to
go to Sudan in the near future to negotiate a trade
agreement for 1970-75.
Economic assistance agreements made in Novem-
ber, however, apparently are being implemented.
Twelve Soviet experts recently arrived to advise
on ways to better utilize Sudanese railways
10 Mar 70
Central Intelligence Bulletin 7
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Abidjan
?
I '\
Oil drilling rig badly \
damaged by explosives \
? -4"-?
-
I
Cape Town _
Saboteurs Damage Drilling R g En Route to Israel
Equal-Area Projection
97825 3-70 CIA
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NOTES
Communist China: Party Chairman Mao Tse-tung
and his designated heir Lin Piao have once again
disappeared into the shadows; this time they have
not been noted in public for five months. In fact,
they have appeared only three times, at ceremonies
last October, in the past ten months. Infrequent
public appearances have become a style of leader-
ship in China; although Mao may well be slowing down
because of his advanced years, there have been no
r
reports that hi most recent absence has been caused
by ill health.
Israel-Egyvt: The sabotage in Abidjan of the
Canadian oil drilling rig under contract to Tel Aviv
could invite an Israeli reaction. According to the
US Embassy in Abidjan, the rig was badly damaged
below the waterline by explosives reportedly set by
three frogmen. The Israelis will probably suspect
a link to the Egyptians in the operation and could
strike a retaliatory blow, possibly at some oil-
related facility in Egypt.
(continued)
10 Mar 70
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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