CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A015900080001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 16, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 4, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
Secret
51
4 April 1970
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No. 0081/70
4 April 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
South Vietnam: Unrest is growing among Saigon stu-
dents. (Page 1)
Korea-Japan: The exchange of propaganda barbs be-
tween North and South Korea could complicate resolu-
tion of the hijacking. (Page 2)
Guatemala: The likelihood of more kidnapings has in-
creased. (Page :3)
Ecuador: Violence has again erupted in Quito from
student t unrest. (Page 4)
Peru: Communist nations are interested in the con-
struction of a government-owned copper refinery.
(Page 5)
Iraq: A major figure in the Iraqi Government appears
to have been eclipsed. (Page 6)
Zambia: President Kaunda says he will deal harshly
wi ht politicians who threaten to split the ruling
party. (Page 7)
Korea: Infiltration effort (Page 8)
Dominican Republi_c: Political impasse (Page 8)
Austria: Coalition talks (Page 9)
IAEA: Safeguards committee (Page 9)
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South Vietnam: Despite government efforts to
calm the situation, unrest is growing among Saigon
students over the recent arrest of several for Com-
munist activity.
A student spokesman has announced that the nearly
total class boycotts that began yesterday. at Saigon
University would ]Last indefinitely unless the govern-
ment either releases the accused students. or brings
them to an early civil trial. According to the US
Embassy, strikes may spread to secondary schools.
On 1 April a number of student groups passed a
resolution accusing the government of oppression,
pledging to continue the strike until their demands
are satisfied, and calling for support from students
throughout the country. The groups are scheduled to
meet again this weekend to plan further action. Mean-
while, some students reportedly have. threatened to
immolate or maim themselves in support of the protest.
Further student protests are likely, especially
because the accused students must be tried by a mili-
tary field court, which is widely considered to be
overly severe. So far student dissent has been
restricted to passive forms of protest, and the
students will probably try to avoid any violence
that would provoke a government crackdown.
4 Apr 70
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Korea-Japan: The exchange of propaganda barbs
between North and South. Korea over the hijacked
Japanese airliner, now at Pyongyang, could complicate
resolution of the incident.
North Korea is clearly unhappy over playing host
to the hijackers and denies it had any part in the
affair or that it even welcomed the nine "Trotskyite"
students responsible. Pyongyang now claims., however,
that the exchange of the passengers for a Japanese
official as hostage has changed the situation, and
that it can no longer guarantee immediate release
of the plane and those on board.
North Korea might decide to provide sanctuary
for the hijackers, although its public attitude
remains ambiguous. The return of the Japanese of-
ficial, the three-man crew, and the plane probably
will be arranged, but not before Pyongyang exacts
what it can in terms of political tribute and pres-
tige. If necessary, Japan is in a position to exert
considerable leverage because it is an important:
source of North Korean imports.
For its part, South Korea is anxious to head off
domestic criticism for allowing the Communist hi-
jackers to escape with impunity. Seoul is playing
up its tough stand in demanding that the passengers
be spared a trip to "hell" before consenting at
Japan's behest to the plane's departure.
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Guatemala: The state of siege and the govern-
ment's resolve not to accede to leftist demands for
the release of the West German ambassador have in-
creased the likelihood of further incidents,
When the government announced that it would not
release the 15 subversives demanded by the pro-Cuban
Rebel Armed Forces (FAR), the kidnapers upped their
terms to 22 prisoners and $700,000 in ransom. These
actions appear designed to embarrass the government
and could lead to its overthrow.
In the meantime, the FAR has indicated that if
its demands are not met by 4 p.m. (EST) today, or
if the government begins counterterrorist measures,
it would execute Ambassador von Spreti.
If the FAR believes that the threats against
the ambassador are not sufficient to achieve its de-
mands, it may try to kidnap additional hostages from
the diplomatic community.
The situation has led to increased concern
within the diplomatic community in the past few days.
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Ecuador: Violence has erupted in Quito as
student unrest is again challenging government au-
thority.
The ostensible issue this time, which has sparked
violence of unusual intensity, was the closing of a
girls' high school after a month-long struggle over
the appointment of school administrators. Disciplined
student militants are taking advantage of the issue
to play up anti-Americanism, and the US-sponsored
binational center has come under repeated sniper and
bomb attacks. So far, seven students have been
wounded during clashes with the police, and some
military forces have been deployed to critical areas
of the city.
The secondary and university students in Ecuador,
historically highly critical of the government, are
being led by extreme leftist students dedicated to
bringing down the present regime. These leaders have
utilized the government's at times inept and overly
harsh reaction to student provocations to create the
emotional atmosphere needed to draw out broad student
support.
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Peru: Communist nations are interested in the
construction of a government-owned copper refinery
for Peru.
According to a leftist newspaper, Peru has re-
ceived an offer from Yugoslavia. Talks on this as
well as other projects probably were conducted by a
Peruvian economic mission that recently visited Com-
munist countrieso
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US mining companies strongly oppose a govern-
ment-owned refinery, to which they would be forced
to sell their output. Such a refinery, particularly
one built with Communist aid, would jeopardize pros-
pective investments by US mining companies, includ-
ing the recently signed $355-million contract for
development of the Cua-one deposit in southern Peru.
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Iraq: SA major figure in the Iraqi Government
appears to have been eclipsed by his civilian rival
in the additional cabinet changes announced yesterday.
Lieutenant General Hardan Tikriti, formerly
minister of defense and acting commander of the air
force, has been moved up into a previously vacant
vice presidential post, as was the former minister
of the interior who had already ceased to exercise
any real power.
`I
The change is probably a further move in the
continuing struggle for power among the regime's
leaders, particularly between the military and
civilian factions of the Baath Party. Last week's
cabinet reshuffle had already eliminated two of
Hardan's closest supporters.?
The loss of the Defense ministry could propel
Hardan into a coup attempt while he still has some
control over the army and air force. He is apparently
extremely popular with the Iraqi Army, although the
units considered most loyal to him have been posted
away from Baghdad.'\
iThe new appointments probably represent a victory
for Saddam Tikriti, a doctrinaire Baathist who is
considered more anti-US, more leftist, more obstinate,
and more ruthless than the pragmatic Hardan. Saddam's
ascendancy may not significantly affect Iraq's basic
policies. The new ministers of defense and interior
are considered to be yes-men who will pose no chal-
lenge to the gontinued control of President Bakr
and Saddam.
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Zambia: President Kaunda has again served
notice that he will deal harshly with politicians
who threaten to split the ruling United National
Independence Party (UNIP).
In a mid-March speech, he attacked tribally
oriented politicians in the Copperbelt, Zambia's
industrial center, for endangering efforts to build'
national unity. He also ordered extensive person-
nel changes that affected almost all officials hold-
ing top government and party posts in this region,
Kaunda's actions may have been directed pri-
marily at Vice President Kapwepwe's aggressive Bemba
following, which is the focus of tribal factionalism
in Zambia. Kapwepwe forces have been especially ac-
tive in tribal Politics in the Copperbelt ntlye
the
'-personnel changes removed several officials involved
in organizing Bemba tribesmen in the Copperbelt3
Kaunda carefully avoided giving the anti-
Kapwepwe forces a complete victory, however. In
one Copperbelt center, he warned the local party
unit to purge itself of tribal attitudes or face
a ban on political activity. Members of this unit
had earlier charged Kaunda with favoritism toward
the Bembaa
Kaunda's moves are a partial answer to the
doubts that were raised about his determination
to crush tribal politics when he assumed personal
control of UNIP last August. Although he cannot
halt divisive tribalism, he may eventually induce
party officials to keep factionalism down to man-
ageable proportioU in order to protect their own
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NOTES
Korea: Pyongyang's infiltration effort is con-
tinuing. A North Korean agent vessel was intercepted
and sunk by a ROK patrol craft about 100 miles south-
west of Seoul yesterday, in an area that experienced
considerable infiltration by sea last year. Another
infiltration apparently occurred on the southeast
coast early last month. Two agents, who probably
landed in a boat found beached there, were killed by
South Korean Marines on 30 March. These incidents
seem to have involved political agents ordered to
develop an underground party structure in the South
rather than to conduct sabotage or terrorism. There
has been no known landing of paramilitary agents
since March 177 1
positions.
The
seven parties have reiterated their determination
to abstain from the elections in May in the face of
Balaguer's flat refusal to resign. The opposition
may now seek new forms of pressure, perhaps by
threatening a labor strike in the capital. Extremist
elements will continue to provoke the street demon-
strations that have plagued the country in recent
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Dominican Republic: Both President Balaguer
and the opposition have hardened their bargaining
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Austria: Coalition talks are proceeding slowly
between 'EhiSocialists, victors in the parliamentary
election on 1 March, and the People's Party. A new
government is not likely to be formed before late
April at the earliest. Negotiators are still dis-
cussing programs, the thorniest of which appears to
be electoral reform. The allotment of ministerial
portfolios has not. yet been considered. Chancellor
designate Kreisky is warning publicly that if the
People's Party proves intransigent, his Socialists
may form a minority government with the support of
IAEA: The International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA has established a safeguards committee to
consider its responsibilities under the Nonprolif-
eration Treaty (NPT). The committee will consider
the proper IAEA position in the forthcoming nego-
tiations with the nonnuclear-weapons states who are
party to the NPT on safeguards arrangements required
by the treaty. The terms of reference for the com-
mittee are not clear, and the Soviets are expected
to press for strict adherence to the IAEA's so-
called draft mode]. agreement with Finland. In
doing so, they would be seeking an application of
safeguards that would give the IAEA a comprehensive
inspection role. The EURATOM powers, on the other
hand, do not want the IAEA to take any action that
could infringe upon EURATOM's own safeguards system.`1
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