CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A016100050001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 29, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: April 27, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
STATE review(s) completed.
Secret
50
27 April 1970
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No. 0100/70
27 April 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Laos: Enemy probes continue southwest of the Plaine
des Jarres, but there has been no significant fight-
ing. (Page 1)
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Egypt.-Israel: Cairo's recent military activity poses
a difficult decision for the Israelis. (Page 4)
Yugoslavia: Belgrade will have to import wheat to
meet next year's domestic needs. (Page 5)
Japan: Okinawa Day demonstrations (Page 6)
Trinidad: Revolt continues (Page 6)
Haiti: Revolt ends (Page 7)
Colombia: Situation calm (Page 7)
Argentina: Labor problems (Page 7)
Egypt_: Cabinet changes (Page 8)
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AREA OF
MAIN MAP
Na
Khang
Bouam
Long
Muong P , INE Norig pet
soul
Major enniny r
Tiepg, supply point
EVang Vieng
Xieng
houangville
? Government-held location
? Communist-held location
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Laos: Communist forces continued to probe gov-
ernment positions southwest of the Plaine des Jarres
over the weekend, but no significant fighting devel-
oped.
The enemy's offensive against Vang Pao's head-
quarters complex has been gradually building up over
the past several weeks. Aerial observers recently
spotted the tracks of some 25 trucks heading into a
major supply point on the western edge of the Plaine,
indicating that the logistics buildup is continuing.
Government forces, meanwhile, are taking advan-
tage of the temporary hiatus in large-scale enemy
activity to strengthen and consolidate their defenses
in the Long Tieng - Sam Thong sector. Four 105-mm.
howitzers are being airlifted from Long Tieng to Sam
Thong to beef up that garrison's fire-support capa-
bility. In addition, Vang Pao is moving several bat-
talions to staging areas in preparation for a new
round. of offensive operations northe - of Sam Thong
in the Ban Na - Phou Long Mat region. 25X1
(Map)
27 Apr 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt
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Egypt-Israel: The recent increase in Egyptian
military activity will force Israel to make some
difficult decisions.
During the past nine days, Cairo has launched
a number of air and ground attacks against Israeli
positions in occupied Sinai. Egyptian aircraft have
been employed with unusual frequency, including a
rare strike last Saturday deep into the Sinai by
IL-28 light bombers. Ground action along the Suez
Canal has also increased recently, and Egypt has re-
ported that it carried out two commando raids against
the Israelis yesterday.
In spite of losses incurred--90 Egyptian air-
craft have been downed since the 1967 war--Cairo be-
lieves it must continue to oppose the Israeli occupa-
tion of the Sinai. Israeli air raids into Egypt,
particularly those causing civilian casualties, in-
crease the pressures on Nasir to act. The recent
introduction of the Soviet-operated SA-3 air defense
system into Egypt has probably contributed to Cairo's
bravado by providing what it believes are areas of
at least partial sanctuary from Israeli reprisals.
The Israelis are now faced with the problem of
trying to discourage or curtail Egyptian military
activity while attempting to avoid a direct confron-
tation with Soviet forces in Egypt. They are ex-
tremely reluctant to allow the Egyptians to hide un-
der any form of Soviet umbrella, but are also hesi-
st from at-
tant to risk the losses that might r ul
tacks against these protected areas.
27 Apr 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 4
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Yugoslavia: Belgrade probably will have to
import about 600,000 tons of wheat during 1970-71
to meet its domestic needs.
Current prospects are. for a sharp. decline in
the wheat crop this year. An extended drought last
fall caused a 10-percent reduction in the area
seeded to winter wheat. Plants failed to develop
adequately prior to_the first snows, and a late,
wet spring, which waterlogged some fields, further
delayed growth. Moreover, it is now too late to
replant spring wheat in the extensively damaged
fields.
The lower acreage, combined with prospects for
lower yields, could mean a harvest this year of no
more than 402 million tons, or 15 percent less than
in?:L9690 Last year, a record 409 million tons were
harvested, which permitted Yugoslavia to be self-
sufficient in wheat for the first time in recent
years.
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Japan: Police expect some disturbances during
annual Okinawa Day demonstrations on 28 April, but
far fewer than a year ago. The demonstrations will
be the first significant ones by the left since Prime
Minister Sato departed for the US last November and
are aimed at the immediate and unconditional return
of Okinawa. They are not expected to generate much
support, however, in view of the general popular sat-
isfaction with the Okinawa reversion agreement. Most
radical groups participating in the demonstrations
are sticking to a nonviolent line, but a few small
extremist student groups may try to stage some spec-
tacular guerrilla-style incidents.
Trinidad: The government appears to have es-
tablished tenuous control over the rebel stronghold
at Teteron Bay by appointing a new regimental com-
mander acceptable to the leaders of the revolt.
About 40 mutineers are believed to remain in the
hills surrounding the base, however, and the govern-
ment apparently still doubts its ability to settle
the issue by force. The administration seems to be
prolonging the talks designed to end the week-old
insurrection in the hope that the last rebels will
surrender. In a private meeting with the US ambas-
sador on Saturday, Prime Minister Williams indicated
that he intends to arrest the ringleaders of the
rebellion as soon as the remaining dissidents and
their arms are in custody. If this violates any se-
cret agreement with the rebels, it could lead to
further disorders.
(continued)
27 Apr 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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Haiti: The coast guard rebellion apparently
ended yesterday when the three mutinous cutters fled
to the US base in Guantanamo, Cuba. They were
scheduled to depart under escort las night for the
Roosevelt Roads Naval Station, Puerto Rico. I In
Port-au-Prince, where a state of siege and weekend
curfew had been declared, activity in general ap-
pearsnearly normal. Additional militia units have
been brought to the capital from outlying districts,
and a further roundup of suspected plotters is ap-
parently under way. President Duvalier has requested
US intervention several times since the revolt began
on Friday.
I Colombia: Apart from minor terrorist incidents,
the country remains calm. There is still a possibil-
ity, however, that further violence could occur as a
result of the contested presidential elections of 19
April. The National Electoral Registry has not re-
leased final returns, but unofficial figures give
National Front candidate Pastrana a lead of some
66,000 votes--a seemingly conclusive margin--over
former dictator Rojas Pinilla. A general strike
called late last week by leftist workers did not
materialize. In view of the state of siege and the
strict curfew the pros ects f r large-scale walkouts
appear dim at present.
Argentina: The Ongania government has weathered
a major challenge to its economic stabilization pro-
gram. Government leaders are confident that the
general strike, held on 23 April without major inci-
dent, has given them additional time to work out a
solution to labor's demands for increased wages.
The generally peaceful outcome of the strike was a
setback for extremists in the labor movement, who
have been urging a showdown with the government and
the military. Their failure to attract much support
among workers will temporarily ease pressure on the
moderate national labor leaders now cooperating with
the government.
27 Apr 70
(continued)
Central Intelligence Bulletin 7
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Egypt: The more important of the cabinet
changes announced yesterday appear to formalize the
status of two of Nasir's trusted associates. The
influence of Sami Sharaf, long a shadowy figure in
the presidential office, was acknowledged by his ap-
pointment as a minister of state. Another Nasir
confidant, the well-known editorialist Muhammad Hay-
kal, was made minister of national guidance in an
apparent attempt to improve Egypt's propaganda ef-
forts. The former minister of national guidance was
named minister of state for foreign affairs. The
shifts probably will not result in any significant
policy changes.
27 Apr 70
Central Intelligence Bulletin 8
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