CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A016900090001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 11, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 17, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
17 August 1970
State Department review completed
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No. 0196/70
17 August 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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Israel - Arab States: The Israeli attacks in Jordan
will compound Husayn's difficulties with the fedayeen.
(Page 2)
Communist China - USSR: Peking apparently has agreed
to accept a Soviet ambassador. (Page 3)
Uruguay: The fate of the Tupamaros' two hostages
remains uncertain. (Page 4)
USSR-Peru: Moscow has canceled the trouble-plagued
airlift. (Page 5)
Pakistan: Elections postponed (Page 6)
Guyana-USSR: Diplomatic relations (Page 6)
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Israel - Arab States: Israeli attacks against
military installations inn northwest Jordan on Fri-
day will compound King Husayn's difficulties in
reining in the fedayeen.
The Israeli military command publicly admitted
the strikes, claiming that they were in retaliation
for Jordanian Army assistance to the fedayeen during
earlier attacks against Israeli border settlements.
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Allegations that SAM missiles have been moved
closer to the Suez Canal in violation of the cease-
fire have produced a strong emotional response in
Israel, put Mrs. Meir's government on the defensive
domestically, and changed the atmosphere from one
of cautious optimism regarding peace prospects to
one of nervousness and pessimism. The press is
unanimous in holding the US responsible for restor-
ing the situation. Foreign Minister Eban in a radio
interview on 13 August suggested that if a roll-back
of the SAMs cannot be accomplished, Israel will
"demand its right to defensive equipment." Other
officials in the Foreign Ministry and in the Knesset
have suggested that Israel may delay Tel Aviv's
participation in the Jarring talks.
I I
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Communist China - USSR: The Chinese apparently
have finally agreed to accept a Soviet ambassador.
The Chinese charge in Moscow told foreign dip-
lomats this week that formal agrement has been
granted to the Soviet nominee, Vasily Tolstikov.
Tolstikov is a long-time party official with no
diplomatic experience, who currently is the boss of
the important Leningrad party apparatus. Thus far
there has been no firm indication of when he will
leave for Peking or when the Chinese will send an
ambassador of their own to Moscow. In a published
interview last week, however, Premier Kosygin said
that a Soviet ambassador would be leaving "shortly"
for Peking.
Peking's acceptance of Tolstikov brings to an
end China's four-month delay in responding to strong
Soviet efforts to accredit an ambassador to Peking.
Chinese officials in the past had voiced fear that
Moscow intended to use the appointment to downgrade
the diplomatic importance of the crucial Peking bor-
der talks to the ambassadorial level. The arrival
Saturday of Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Ilichev
as the new head of the Soviet delegation to the
talks suggests that Moscow is reassuring the Chinese
it will continue the border discussions at the cur-
rent level. In any case, Peking has almost certainly
judged that further delay over the ambassadorial is-
sue would be counterproductive and would open China
to charges that it is the "intransigent" party in
the dispute.
The acceptance of Tolstikov is clearly a hollow
gesture by China and almost certainly reflects no
basic change in the status of either the deadlocked
border talks or the frozen relations between the
two states.
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Uruguay: The fate of the Tupamaros' two hos-
tages remains uncertain,.
The government's efforts to secure the release
of the US agricultural adviser and the Brazilian
diplomat held by the terrorists thus far have not
succeeded.
n II
I An aura of confusion surrounds whatever ne-
gotiations may be taking place between the Pacheco
administration and the abductors. One channel being
used may be captured Tupamaro leader Raul Sendic,
who was escorted to a jail for a meeting with other
members of the organization.
A serious problem for the Uruguayans has been
to determine the authenticity of purported Tupamaro
communique"s. One message found on 16 August in
Porto Alegre, Brazil, indicated that the Brazilian
diplomat would be killed unless his government de-
manded that the Uruguayan administration released
183 prisoners within 72 hours.
According to press reports, the Uruguayan Gov-
ernment is seeking a special meeting of the Organ-
ization of American States to endorse its refusal to
exchange the prisoners for the two hostages. The
Uruguayan stand has already received unofficial back-
ing from some Latin American government officials.
The Guatemalan congress adopted a resolution lauding
the Uruguayans for "refusing to exchange diplomats
for common criminals," while Argentine President
Levingston said that "It is impossible to negotiate
with criminals who practice blackmail As a form of
pressure." F77 I
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USSR-Peru: Moscow has canceled the trouble-
plagued airlift to Peru following a three-week pause
in flights.
A Soviet Embassy official in Lima has announced
that materials that were to be flown to Lima now
will be delivered by one or more ships. Although
no reason was given for the cancellation, the So-
viets were having both bureaucratic and technical
difficulties in making the planned 65 relief flights
to Peru. Since the airlift began on 9 July, only 21
of the flights were completed. The most dramatic
setback was the loss of an AN-22 over the Labrador
Sea on 18 July.
The cancellation probably will be the final
blow to whatever political capital Moscow had hoped
to achieve from the aid effort. The many delays,
which have received wide and pointed coverage in the
Lima press, already have largely negated Moscow's
hope of overshadowing its initial failure to res and
to the 31 May earthquake.
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Pakistan: President Yahya's announcement on
15 August elections for the constitutional con-
vention will be postponed from 5 October to 7 Decem-
ber is unlikely to bring significant adverse reac-
tion. Except for the front runners in both East and
West Pakistan and a few others, all political parties
had urged an election delay in the hopes that extra
campaign time would improve their chances at the
polls. Yahya, however, apparently is sincere in his
belief that serious flooding in East Pakistan has
made it impossible to adhere to the original sched-
ule. He has rescheduled elections at the earliest
practical time; Ramadan, the Muslim month of fasting,
occurs in November this year and effectively rules
out an election date then.
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Guyana-USSR: Prime Minister Burnham apparently
has decided to accept the recommendation made by last
week's conference of diplomatic heads of mission and
accede to the Soviet initiative to establish diplo-
matic relations. The move could come before Burnham's
departure on 2 September for the nonaligned summit
conference in Lusaka. His decision probably was an
attempt to display his independent policy in inter-
national relations and enhance his standing at the
conference. The agreement will bring to twelve the
total number of countries in Latin America having
diplomatic relations with the USSR, with Paraguay
as the only exception on the South American conti-
nent. F7 I
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