CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A017000050001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 11, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 26, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
State Department review completed
26 August 1970
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No. 0204/70
26 August 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Cambodia: The situation has eased at Prek Tameak.
(Page 1)
North Vietnam: The regime is calling for greater
manpower mobilization. (Page 2)
Japan-Cuba: Tokyo is liberalizing its policy on
trade with Cuba. (Page 3)
Czechoslovakia: The Husak regime appears to be in
its strongest position to date. (Page 4)
Iceland: The ruling parties have agreed to continue
their coalition government. (Page 5)
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Brazil-France: Aircraft sales (Page 7)
North Korea - Sudan: Credit (Page 7)
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CAMBODIA: Current Situation
Sikoun f,-iPra~y,To[ s ) l
Kompong~yp.T417ie,.~e
Kompong Som0
(Sihanoukville)
Princ,pal city (10,000 or over)
Population over 125 per sq. mi.
Communist-controlled area
1-- 1
d
a rey V
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Cambodia: The situation has eased at Prek
Tameak, a village some 12 miles northeast of Phnom
Penh, following the enemy's latest abortive attack.
I the
multibattalion Communist force that a ace three
government battalions defending the village on the
night of 24-25 August has pulled back to the east.
The Cambodians sustained losses of eight killed and
22 wounded; enemy losses are unknown. This marks
the second time in the past week that major Commu-
nist forces have attempted to overrun Prek Tameak.
The continuing attacks on the village under-
score the importance the Communists attach to main-
taining pressure on Phnom Penh's eastern defensive
perimeter. At the same time they were hitting Prek
Tameak, other Communist units were attacking two
government battalions dug-in along the Mekong River
some 15 miles south of the capital. The Cambodians
have reported large numbers of enemy troops in this
area for the past several days.
The military situation elsewhere in Cambodia
continues to be fairly quiet. Government positions
at Tonle Bet, across the Mekong from Kompong Cham
city, came under mortar fire yesterday, but no
losses were reported. The Cambodians have been an-
ticipating a major attack on Kompong Cham for sev-
eral weeks, but so far the only significant enemy
actions have been at Skoun and Prey Totunc, west of
the city on Route 7.
26 Aug 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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North Vietnam: The regime is calling for
greater manpower mobilization.
Defense Minister Vo Nguyen Giap reminded party
leaders at a conference on local military affairs
in mid-August that Hanoi's "people's war" strategy
implies wide mobilization; he enjoined the populace
to support a buildup of North Vietnam's military
establishment. The conference report stressed that
the North must "meet all of the frontline's require-
ments" and urged that the :militia and reserves be
enlarged and maintained in readiness, even while
their personnel continue to carry on their day-to-
day tasks. These high-level exhortations, which
obviously are partly rhetorical, have been supple-
mented by increased propaganda in recent weeks
urging young North Vietnamese from the provinces
to sign up. Moreover, Radio Hanoi reports that
Party First Secretary Le Duan, early this month,
told high-ranking army officers to strengthen the
armed forces.
Recruitment drives of this kind are not new,
but it appears that this one is receiving more at-
tention and heavier emphasis than usual from the
authorities in Hanoi. The North Vietnamese could
be expanding their military manpower base in anti-
cipation of a more intense level of fighting over
the short run, but it seems more likely that their
concerns are longer-range.
They probably expect that the personnel needs
implicit in their commitment to a protracted strug-
gle in much of Indochina could become quite heavy
at some point. By pulling more people into organ-
izations like the militia, they help ensure the
availability of suitable manpower for the military
over the long haul, without significantly reducing
the present size of the I civilian labor force.
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Japan-Cuba: Tokyo is liberalizing its policy
on trade with Cuba.
The Japanese Government has approved an export
license and deferred payments for a substantial sale
of buses to Cuba and may soon permit major sales of
trucks, bulldozers, and other items under similar
terms. Japanese suppliers and trading companies are
apparently financing the sales from their own re-
sources.
Encouraged by increasing Cuban pressure to buy
Japanese goods, Tokyo would like to improve its ad-
verse balance of trade with Havana caused by large
purchases of sugar. Recently Japan polled its am-
bassadors in Latin America on the issue and appar-
ently got a favorable response. A visit to Japan
in late July by the Cuban foreign trade minister
probably was also a stimulus. Tokyo has long been
interested in easing restrictions on trade in non-
strategic goods with Cuba, but had avoided such a
move out of deference to the US.
Current US-Japan trade problems, particularly
the textile issue, have strengthened sentiment
within the government to diversify Japan's export
markets, including those in Communist countries.
The general climate of detente reflected in the
SALT talks and the recent West German - Soviet pact
apparently has influenced Tokyo's policy shift, as
has the belief that sanctions against Cuba have
lost support in some Latin American countries.
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Czechoslovakia: The Husak regime appears to
be in its strongest position to date as a result of
the calm passage of last week's invasion anniversary.
An official party commentary has cited the ab-
sence of boycotts and other public demonstrations
last Friday as proof that the party has re-estab-
lished its control over the country's affairs. The
article virtually declared victory over the regime's
liberal opponents, claiming that their public influ-
ence had ended.
Although the article is obviously self-serving,
the regime's success in weathering the anniversary
was an important victory for Husak, whose leadership
had yet to pass a test of this kind. By demonstrating
his control, Husak now appears to be in a better po-
sition to seek Soviet approval for his policies and
concessions on the Soviet presence in Czechoslovakia.
The pending publication of Husak's wartime reminis-
cences, which reportedly emphasize his patriotism,
suggests that he would like to play down his reputa-
tion as a Russian stooge, a necessary step toward
increasing his popular support.
In addition, Husak probably has gained leverage
in his efforts to quiet his conservative critics at
home and to pursue more pressing matters such as the
faltering economy. With next year's party congress
and national elections entering the planning stage,
Husak may now feel tempted to begin restructurin
the leadership more to his own ]Liking,
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Iceland: The conservative Independence Party
and the Social Democratic Party have agreed to con-
tinue the coalition government until the legally re-
quired date for general elections in May 1971.
The leaders of the Independence Party had in-
tended to use elections this October to force the
calling of a party congress which would resolve the
succession problem arising from the accidental
death of its leader, Prime Minister Benediktsson.
They maintained, however, that the party would not
dissolve the coalition without the consent of the
Social Democrats. By holding early elections, the
Independence Party believed that it could capitalize
on the currently generally favorable economic sit-
uation of the country.
The Social Democrats, however, judged that
early elections might work to their disadvantage
and refused to go along. This decision was reached
over the objections of a faction which argued that
the party's position would be weakened if general
elections were held off until next year. The poor
performance of the Social Democrats in local elec-
tions last spring probably contributed to this fac-
tion's belief.
Though the coalition government has managed to
hold together for the time being, relations between
the governing parties have further soured as a con-
sequence of the debate over the election issue.
This will probably lead to a period of indecisive-
ness in Iceland's domestic and foreign policies and
will result in intensive maneuvering within and
among Iceland's five political parties as the 1971
elections approach.
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A team is now in Brazil trying to negotiate
the sale of coastal patrol aircraft, and a French
firm is competing with a US company for a major con-
tract for an air control radar network. If the
French win these contracts, they will have estab-
lished a firm base for their aircraft and related
industries in Brazil.
North Korea - Sudan: At the end of his visit
to North Korea and Communist China, President Numayri
of Sudan announced that North Korea has extended
$11.5 million in credit to Sudan. This is the largest
credit ever given by Pyongyang. Communist China ear-
lier had agreed to provide Sudan with $42 million in
assistance. Over the past seven years North Korea has
extended small amounts of aid to Congo (Brazzaville),
Mali, Syria, and Southern Yemen.
26 Aug 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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