CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 12, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: September 23, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2004/03/17: CIA-RDP79T00975A017S1-7
25X1
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
OGA and DOS review(s) completed.
Secret
.5 0
23 September 1970
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/OM'C]KIR-BDP79T00975A017200030001-7
Nom 0228/70
23 September 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
JORDAN: The army is giving a good account of it-
self in the north. (Page 1)
CAMBODIA: Government forces did not make signifi-
cant contact with the enemy yesterday. (Page 5)
LAOS: Government forces have improved. their defen-
sive position. (Page 7)
25X1
FRANCE: Premier Chaban-Delmas' election victory
was a triumph for the Gaullist party. (Page 10)
SWEDEN: Social Democrats have retained power de-
spite their loss of a majority in the parliamentary
elections. (Page 11)
BOLIVIA: The situation. remains volatile following
student and police clashes. (Page 12)
LIBYA: Oil price agreement (Page 13)
25X1
TRINIDAD-TOBAGO: Party leader resigns
BOLIVIA: Oil shipments (Page 14)
SECRET
(Page 14)
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/071 -'DP79T00975A017200030001-7
JORDAN: Current Situation
Tiberia
Enst~har
Caruu`
Jordan talk/ ! Rdport~ed`~`
atii7ery firs / lyde~i probes
a; 1
Hebron
25X1
SECRET
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/gFt7,R "DP79T00975A017200030001-7
C JORDAN: The army seems to be giving a good
account of itself in the north.
Jordanian armored
units are doing im-ch better an had been expected
against the Syrians. Yesterday morning some 43 tanks
of the 88th Syrian Brigade renewed an attack south
toward Sarih and west toward Irbid. After an ad-
vance of less than two miles, the Syrians came under
Jordani artillery fire and began to with-
draw.
i ==J
Syrian attempt to move south from Ir i wou
be complicated by the hilly terrain; this would re-
strict tanks to the roads where Jordanian antitank
fire could be more effective. If the Syrians tried
to mount a flank attack through the Jordan Valley
or Mafrag, they would have to pass through concen-
trations of Iraqi forces, whose attitude remains in
doubt.
Iraqi tanks advance westwar from a raq owar
the Ramtha junction
stopped when they came un er Jordanian
artillery e, but to have continued their robes
.westward yesterday morning.
I iSo far, the Iraqis have avoided any involve-
ment of real significance, but as the fighting con-
tinues they will come under increasing pressure to
demonstrate that their highly vocal support of the
d
hd
a
fedayeen was not mere rhetoric. Radio Bag
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
SECRET
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
 Approved For Release 2004/,1A-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
25X1
25X1
C broadcast a statement from the Palestine Liberation
Organization (PLO) yesterday that more than 300 of-
ficers and men from regular Iraqi units in Jordan
have joined the "revolution" with their weapons.
Elsewhere in Jordan, according to a communique
by Governor General Majali, the army is registering
gains. The armed forces were said to be in control
of all parts of Zarqa. Salt was said to be calm.
Israeli Military Movements
more Israeli mili-
tary traffic heading north
Baghdad's Voice of the PLO
Central Committee is already complaining about "vast
Zionist military movements" in the area and alleging
Jordanian-Zionist collaboration.
In Amman, meanwhile, there was fairly heavy
fighting involving heavy machine guns, small arms,
and recoilless rifles, as well as some shelling.
In some areas the army was reported cordoning off
streets and conducting house-to-house searches.
Army tank fire was apparently concentrated near the
Husayn refugee camp. Wahdat camp was said to be in
flames.
A Red Cross representative has confirmed ear-
lier estimates of very heavy casualties in Amman.
Most of the injured have been unable to obtain medi-
cal care. The official described the general health
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
SECRET
C situation as "dreadful" but said the most pressing
need was for food. An estimated 10,000 homeless,
4,000 of whom are said to be close to starvation,
are camped out at the Amman railroad station. The
Red Cross has begun relief flights from Beirut, but
its efforts are hampered by sniping.
There is no further word on the hostages. Talks
between Red Cross representatives and fedayeen lead-
ers in Beirut have broken no new ground; British and
Israeli representatives said yesterday that they
seriously doubt that the commando leaders involved
in the talks--although normally influential--are
now in any position to secure the release of the
Summit Conference Postponed
The Arab summit conference that was to have
convened in Cairo yesterday has been postponed in-
definitely, possibly because neither King Husayn
nor fedayeen leaders were prepared to attend. A
delegation composed of Sudanese President Numayri,
Tunisian Prime Minister Ladgham, Kuwaiti Defense
Minister Saad al-Sabah, and Egyptian Chief of Staff
Sadiq arrived in Amman yesterday, however. The four
apparently intend to meet with King Husayn and Yasir
Arafat in a new Arab League attempt to arrange a
settlement. (Map)
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/03/%CRBCIP79T00975A017200030001-7
Current Situation
THAILAND
Kortip'31}g
--,7kjan
PursatO
Kompong
Chhnang
0 Tana
Government forces moving K??
~Ko pongd
Cha"
Phnom
Penh
Svey
Rierlg
Kompong Sam0
(Sihanoukville)
ampot
Cambodia
0 Principal city (10,000 or over)
Population over 125 per sq. mi.
Communist-controlled area
25X1
0Prey Verjg
SECRET
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 CIA-
` Kratiee
LAOS
S 0 U T H
V / E
Saigon
iN A M
 Approved For Release 2004RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
CAMBODIA: Although press accounts claim
that Cambodian Army elements have retaken Tang
Kouk, a US aerial observer was unable.to spot any
government forces there yesterday. An additional
infantry battalion joined the three government
battalions pushing northeast from the main column
on Route 6. This force made no significant con-
tact with the enemy yesterday, but the main column
was harassed with rocket and recoilless rifle
fire. Government troops reportedly are now also
moving out along the column's west flank.
Meanwhile, the government's second river
convoy to Kompong Thom city returned to Kompong
Chhnang city without incident on 21 September
with 1,200 Vietnamese refugees. The-deputy chief
of staff of the Cambodian Army told -the US ambas-
sador on 20 September that the success of the
river operations has temporarily eased the pres-
sure on Kompong Thom and, consequently, there is
less urgency attached-to the effort to reopen
Route 6 to the-city.
(Map)
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
SECRET
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/0311 J DP79T00975A017200030001-7
25X1
L'overnment Irregulars Advance On Enemy Positions
Ban No euotg
'_.
T'N
10 20 Kilometers
SECRET'
Approved For Release 2004/0311
Government-held location
* ? ommunist?held location
 Approved For Release 2004/03SC 4E1415P79T00975A017200030001-7
LAOS: Government forces near the Plaine des
Jarres are making some headway in what could be the
last major effort to improve their defensive position
before the rainy season ends.
Three guerrilla battalions have driven to within
three miles of Ban Na, a key hilltop position guard-
ing a major Communist infiltration route south of the
Plaine. To the southeast, two government battalions
which were airlifted to Khang Kho on 16 September are
now advancing toward Muong Pot.
The government is also making progress in the
Muong Soui area where some 1,200 irregulars are clos-
ing in on the deserted town. A substantial force of
Pathet Lao and North Vietnamese troops is known to
be in the area, but so far has offered only scattered
opposition. Although it lies astride Route 7, Muong
Soui, as a major Lao neutralist headquarters in the
past, has more political than strategic importance.
The purpose of these operations continues to be
to forestall, or at least delay, an expected Commu-
nist dry season drive toward the Long Tieng complex
and west toward the Route 7 and 13 road junction.
For their part, the Communists have been determined
to maintain a presence south of the Plaine this sum-
mer to frustrate what they might have believed to be
a threat of the government's repeating last year's
major success during the rainy season. This would
also enable them to mount any attacks south from
advanced positions.
It still seems likely that the Communists will
push south and west as soon as the rains stop and
they have pre-positioned sufficient supplies.
(Map)
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
 Approved For Release 200tpl4k.f -RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
FRANCE: Premier Jacques Chaban-Delmas' im-
pressive first ballot win in the Bordeaux parlia-
mentary by-election was both a personal victory
and a triumph for the Gaullist party.
Although Chaban-Delmas campaigned not as a
national Gaullist political leader but as a long-
time deputy and mayor who had served his constitu-
ency well, the Gaullist Union of Democrats for the
Republic (UDR) is claiming the 63.5 percent of the
vote as a party victory. UDR secretary general
Robert Poujade's characterization of the election
as a "success for the Fifth Republic" is echoed
in numerous other statements by Gaullist leaders
and by the progovernment press.
The premier himself, clearly looking toward
the municipal elections scheduled for next March,
has termed the election a vote of confidence for
his government's policy of "overture"--the in-
vitation to opposition parties and individuals
to join the majority in building a "new society."
Gaullist success in exploiting this theme with
provincial leaders would be particularly signi-
ficant in view of the fact that the Gaullist party
has never succeeded in building firm grass roots
support.
The severe setback suffered by leftist leader
Jean-Jacques Servan-Schreiber, who polled less
than 17 percent of the vote rather than the 25-30
percent he had hoped for, points up starkly the
problems of the divided opposition. His last-
minute entry into the race was the consequence of
his failure to muster non-Communist support for
a joint candidate. As a result, the opposition
failed even to win the same over-all percentage
of votes as it had in previous elections. Servan-
Schreiber's options clearly are now more limited
and his efforts to rally the opposition around
him will be more difficult. He is certain to
continue his efforts to challen e the majority
at every opportunity, however.
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
-NOOM
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
 Approved For Release 2004/0301 P79T00975A017200030001-7
SWEDEN: The minority Social Democratic govern-
ment returned to power in the recent parliamentary
elections can expect to be buffeted by parties-on
both the left and the right.
Preliminary computer analyses of the 20 Sep-
tember election returns show that there was virtu-
ally no change in the balance between the parties
of the left and right from 1968 to 1970, but within
each of these groupings, significant shifts did
take place. The Communists recovered nearly all
the ground they lost to the Social Democrats in
1968 as a result of the Soviet invasion of Czecho-
slovakia, while the Center Party made significant
gains at the expense of the internally divided
Conservatives.
The Social Democrats, despite the loss of
their only postwar parliamentary majority, are
confident that they can continue their role as
the governing party. There is ample precedent
for Communist parliamentary support of the Social
Democrats, and both parties realize that the only
alternative would be a bourgeois coalition. At
the same time, Prime Minister Olof Palme will
follow precedent and not invite the Communists
into the cabinet.
Although Palme and his party managed to re-
tain power, they do not deny the seriousness of
their setback at the polls and are already plan-
ning changes in the party machinery and. in the
political arm of the closely affiliated trade
union movement. Neither their election program
nor their campaign promises have committed the
Social Democrats to any controversial plan of
action. As the Swedish economy cools down in the
coming months and new collective bargaining agree-
ments are negotiated, however, the new Palme
government can expect the opposition parties to
make the most of its difficulties as they attempt
to enhance their own voter appeal.
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
25X1
 Approved For Release 2004/03,(aIP79T00975A017200030001-7
BOLIVIA: The situation remains volatile
following student and police clashes that have
resulted in casualties on both sides.
Since the initial student protests over the
exile of five leftist clergymen began last week,
martyrs have been created on both sides and the
workers have been incensed by an attempt to ar-
rest labor leader Juan Lechin. The four hostages
being held by the students and the unfounded
charges in the press that student demonstrators
were shot by US Embassy personnel on Monday are
contributing to an atmosphere in which violent
confrontations could erupt at almost any time.
President Ovando has maintained a tough line
regarding the deportation of the clergymen and the
need for law and order, but at the same time has
announced that security forces will respect uni-
versity autonomy. Military and police officials
are likely to press Ovando to allow them to inter-
vene in the university to free the hostages and
avenge the death of the policeman slain on Monday,
however. Such a move would assure violent clashes
with students and might prompt labor to join the
conflict.
y sign that the President is
we ening in the face of student violence could
create a political crisis.
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2004/03/17: CIA-RDP7 T 09 5A01
25X1
 Approved For Release 2004/03 Cd P79T00975A017200030001-7
LIBYA: The agreement signed by Occidental
with the Libyan Government earlier this month
apparently has set the precedent for settlement
by Western oil companies. According to recent
information, three of the four Western partici-
pants of the Oasis Oil Company have agreed to
the same increase in the posted price that formed
the basis of the agreement with Occidental. As
was the case with Occidental, the increased posted
price will not be retroactive, but the tax rate
will be raised instead. The agreements with Oc-
cidental and members of Oasis, which cover about
half of current Libyan crude output, will raise
revenues by at least $115 million annually.
(continued)
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
25X1
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
 Approved For Release 20 $,gI CIA-RDP79T00975A017200030001-7
11, -
TRINIDAD-TOBAGO: A.N.R. Robinson, the
second-ranking leader in the ruling National Move-
ment (PNM), resigned this week in a continuation
of his running battle with Prime Minister Williams.
Robinson's surprise move followed a victory for
him in party councils last week when Williams was
forced to withdraw a controversial bill from con-
gress in the face of growing popular and party
opposition led by Robinson. Williams, however,
apparently still retains control of the party
hierarchy. The PNM general council unanimously
"expelled" Robinson after he submitted his resig-
nation. Whether Robinson will attempt to woo rank-
and-file support from the prime minister by found-
ing a new party or by linking u with an existing
organization is not yet clear.
BOLIVIA: The government is scheduled to re-
sume oil shipments from the Chilean port of Arica
on 25 September, one day before the Ovando regime's
first anniversary in power. This shipment, the re-
sult of the recent agreement between Gulf Oil Com-
pany and the Bolivian Government, will be the first
since Gulf's subsidiary in Bolivia was nationalized
in October 1969. The oil may be destined for Gulf's
refinery in California.
23 Sep 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For elease 2 04/ 11 CIA-RDP79T 6975A-0-f7_20-036
25X1
25X1
 Secrdf proved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7
Secret
Approved For Release 2004/03/17 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17200030001-7