CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 19
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 5, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 7, 1970
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved Forease 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP79T00975401730103
25X1
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
52
7 October 1970
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17300060001-3
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17300060001-3
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17300060001-3
 Approved ForQalease 2003/O DP79T0097.W17300060001-3
No. 0240/70
7 October 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
SOUTH VIETNAM: The ARVN has begun its new offensive
perations in the delta provinces. (Page 1)
operation-S-17-n-
UN-JORDAN : UNRWA reports heavy damage to a refugee
camp in the Amman area. (Page 2)
EAST GERMANY - BERLIN: Pankow has heightened its
war of nerves against travelers, (Page 4)
AUSTRIA: Recent by-elections give Chancellor Kreisky's
government a little more breathing room. (Page 5)
BOLIVIA: A military junta has assumed power, but se-
rio usighting could develop. (Page 6)
BRAZIL-UK: The UK has made a large sale of military
equipment to Brazil. (Page 7)
JAMAICA: Labor strife has grown into a touchy polit-
ical problem for the prime minister. (Page 8)
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC - FRANCE: Paris may be
forced to react to anti-French moves. (Page 9)
TUNISIA: Prime Minister Ladgham's absence is delaying
governmental reorganization. (Page 10)
PHILIPPINES: Monetary reform has been set back by
suspension of foreign exchange trading. (Page 11)
EGYPT: Cease-fire extension (Page 13)
CAMBODIA: Military situation report (Page 13)
ROMANIA: Maurer accident (Page 14)
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17300060001-3
 25X1
Approved FotIease 2003/02/ jP79T009A17300060001-3
CAMBODIA
'Minh Loog
VIN.H
PhuVinhp
(Tra Vinh).
VI:NH B IN H
BAS--..XUYE
Khanh..HUn
(Soc Trang)
BAC LIEU $(BacLieu
Vinh LO,)
KIE
Rach Gia.
l.,ong0
au)
SECRET
Chau Phu
(Chao Doc)
GVN MR-4
Major Enemy Base Areas
Moc Hoa --~
KIEV -.TUONG
PHONG \
Base Area 4
OCao Lanh
c, WA U..- D O C
Seven Mountal
Area Longo
Xuyen
A N G I A N G
Sa Decd
Can Tho
PHONG
OINH
1CHUONG THIEN
U Minh forest /
v ,V.y
~GaCOng
CONG
CON '071
(Admivsrrered Iron Soigon)
50 Miles
25X1
Approve or a ease - -
 Approved Forlld1ease 2003/00PZ~kit-fDP79T00975"17300060001-3
SOUTH VIETNAM: LThe South Vietnamese Army
(ARVN) has begun its new offensive operations
against lopg-time Communist base areas in the delta
provinces
,Senior officers of the ARVN 7th and 9th divi-
sions recently reported that they have already be-
gun implementing some of the aggressive tactics of
the new Military Region 4 commander General Truong.
Employing Truong's fire support base concept, two
regiments of the 7th Division have been tasked with
the establishment of permanent positions deep within
the Communists' Base Area 470 in the swampy region
of western Dinh Tuong and eastern Kien Phong prov-
inces. In Chau Doc Province, the 9th Division has
also dispatched upwards of three regiments into the
inhospitable Seven Mountains area with the objec-
tive of driving the North Vietnamese 18B Regiment
and supporting units from this key enemy safehaven
on the South Vietnamese - Cambodian border._]
Although the enemy's forces are not up to full
combat strength and food and supply shortages have
increased in recent months, the terrain offers a
defensive advantage for the enemy. The South Viet-
namese commanders, including General Truong, ac-
knowledge that these operations will be costly, but
believe that aggressive operations will b st the
morale of government forces in the area .'7
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 ? C DP79T00975A017300060001-3
SEC2.
UN-JORDAN: IThe UN Relief and Works Agency
(UNRWA) reports teat 25 percent of all dwellings
in the largest refugee camp in the Amman area were
damaged beyond repair during the recent fighting,
and the rest suffered some damage d
UNRWA estimates that it will cost $2 million
to provide adequate shelter for the Amman camps.
It believes that. the situation is not as serious
at camps it has not yet visited. For replacement
of equipment and repair of schools and other in-
stallations in Jordan, UNRWA estimates it will
need about $1 million. These expenses would ac-
centuate UNRWA'S chronic deficit and would almost
exhaust its cash reserves-1
C5ecretar`y General Thant in August issued a
special UNRWA report that contains a request for
an additional $5 million to sustain the agency.
Members of the UN generally have been unresponsive
to such appeals, and debate at the current General
Assembly session will probably be acerbic and un-
productive. Concern has been expressed over the
ability of the fedayeen to use the camps--and, im-
plicitly, UNRWA services--to further their cause.
Another uproar may ensue because UNRWA has pointed
out in the report that refugees made homeless by
the Jordanian conflict could occupy the UNRWA
housing vacated when refugees fled the Israeli-held
West. Bank territory in 19671
A Jordanian Government official is consider-
ing the feasibility of assuming much greater con-
trol over camp operations, a move which could re-
lieve UNRWA of some of its financial and other
problems. Heretofore, Arab host governments have
not wanted to move in this direction, viewing any
diminution in UNRWA's role as de facto recognition
that the Palestinians will not return to their
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 Approved For., Iease 2003/ "1`C A RDP79T0097317300060001-3
homeland. Moderate Arab states are working with
Amman on means to provide assistance to the refu-
gees and may now favor a strong assertion of Jor-
danian sovereignty over the cam s as one way of
dealing with the feda een.
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 Approved FortIease 2003/02 CP79T009717300060001-3
EAST GERMANY - BERLIN: The East Germans have
moved up a notch ch their war of nerves against ci-
vilian travelers between West Germany and West
Berlin.
The actions taken so far have been intermit-
tent and seem intended more to engender a nervous
atmosphere than to interfere seriously with access
to the city, Such actions also appear designed to
influence the four-power talks on Berlin, where
access is a key issue under discussion, by calling
attention to East German interests in any settle-
merit.
East German officials, citing military "ma-
neuvers," are telling barge captains that river
traffic to the city will be closed off and on un-
til 8 October. Highway travelers report that they
too have been told to expect delays, and according
to press reports, the East Germans closed the
Berlin-Helmstedt autobahn for 15 minutes yesterday.
In the past, military maneuvers in East Ger-
many have resulted in temporary closures of some
access routes to West Berlin; this time they may
be in response to troop movements accompanying
the forthcoming Warsaw Pact "Comrades-in-Arms"
exercise.
Bus traffic was also subjected to unusual de-
lays of up to five hours for three days last week,
ostensibly because of "'personnel shortages" at
East German control points. Nevertheless, the
number of persons refused transit to or from West
Berlin during the last three months is only
slightly above the total for a comparable period
last year, and it does not seem that a eriod of
major harassment is in the offing.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
SECRET
 Approved For, lease 2003/0 $IT2 lV- DP79T0097W17300060001-3
AUSTRIA: Sunday's parliamentary by-elections
in Vienna gave Chancellor Kreisky's minority So-
cialist government a little more breathing room,
but it still faces a tough budget fight later this
month.
The by-elections were required as a result of
a right-wing extremist party's fraudulent activity
in the national elections last March. The Social-
ists have now captured one seat from their main
opponents, the People's Party, but are still one
short of a majority.
Kreisky's budget problem is to keep the deficit
near last year's level, while providing promised
tax relief and additional funds for such programs
as education and pensions. Whatever formula Krei-
sky produces, he can anticipate a strong People's
Party attack, and the debate will constitute his
government's first major test in parliament.
Kreisky's post-election statement suggests
that the Socialists received a psychological boost;
he has even threatened new elections should his
budget fail. The People's Party, by way of con-
trast, is in some disarray, having failed in its
unaccustomed role of opposition to find a unifying
force for its heterogeneous elements--farmers, labor,
and business. The party received an additional blow,
also on 4 October, when the Socialists cut into its
majority in provincial elections in the Tyrol.
The elections possibly have relegated to the
back burner the thoughts the Socialists once enter-
tained of trying again to form a "grand coalition"
with the People's Party. The head of the small
Liberal Party, on the other hand, suggested after
the elections that Kreisky can win Liberal support
for his budget--if he is willing to deal. I
Central n elligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 Approved For lease 2003/02 ()R43 JDP79T0097 17300060001-3
25X1
BOLIVIA: A military junta has assumed power,
but forces backing General Juan Jose Torres could
still provoke serious fighting.
Rallying troops that had remained loyal to
President Ovando, Torres is contesting the take-
over of the government by a junta composed of the
commanders of the three services. Torres was re-
moved as armed forces commander last July because
of General Miranda's objections to his leftist
tendencies. From his refuge at El Alto Air Force
Base just outside La Paz, Torres yesterday demanded
that he be recognized as the president of a "revo-
lutionary government" to succeed Ovando. He also
directed the bombing and strafing of the presiden-
tial palace that caused little damage but demon-
strated that he could and would use force.
The junta was announced by General Miranda
when he presented his resignation only hours after
Ovando resigned. The junta consists of General
Sattori and Admiral Albarracin, the commanders of
the air force and navy, as well as General Efrain
Guachalla, who apparently succeeds General Miranda
as army commander. The officers have said that the
junta will rule until a president can be selected,
and they declared that elections will be held by
the end of 1972. An all-military cabinet has been
named, and the new government has indicated that it
will not seek to retract: actions taken by Ovando.
The junta apparently still hopes to negotiate
a settlement with Torres, but plans are in effect
to seize El,-Alto`,Aik:-F.Oar:ce Base Eby. f6az?:ce,-i_f: ne.ces4..
sary. The balance of military strength appears to
be in favor of the junta, but labor and students
have announced their support of Torres. If these
civilian groups take to the streets the outcome
would be in doubt,
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
 Approved ForVi lease 2003/0 / f 16-fDP79T0097 17300060001-3
BRAZIL-UK: The purchase by Brazil of six
frigates is t e largest sale of military equip-
ment to a developing country by Great Britain in
recent years
[A high-level Brazilian delegation signed a
contract in London last week for six frigates at
a price of approximately $240 million, according
to press reports considered substantially correct
by US military group officers in Brazil. The
frigates are to be of a new "Mark-10" design and
will have a very modern fire system. They will
be armed with "Seacat" sea-to-air missile systems.
In addition, the four that will be outfitted es-
pecially for combating submarines will carry anti-
submarine missile systems. All components except
US torpedoes will be British-designed.]
ayment is to be made over eight years at
5 l/Ppercent interest; a British firm reportedly
has agreed to finance 80 percent of the price.
The contract contains a provision whereby the
Brazilian team that will supervise the construc-
tion may request modifications during the design
period, which ends in 1972. The price, therefore,
may be adjusted accordingly. Four of the ships
will be built by Vosper Thorneycroft's yards in
Portsmouth. The other two will be built in Brazil
with British technical assistance. Delivery of
all is to be completed by 19793
This purchase and. contracts alread signed
with Great Britain for sub-
marines and with West Germany for minesweepers
represent the major share of the navy's purchases
in the armed forces' modernization program. The
air force's key purchase was supersonic Mirage
fighters from France. The army is seeking pri-
marily US a ment, although no purchases have
been made
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 7
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17300060001-3
25X1
25X1
 Approved Fo tIease 2003/0:SVC- qJK- bP79T00975t17300060001-3
25X1
JAMAICA: Continued labor strife has grown
into a touchy political problem for Prime Minister
Shearer.
A six-week-old labor dispute and occasional
violence at an Alcoa bauxite site have led to a
strike and a shutdown of construction operations.
The conflict centers on a jurisdictional struggle
between the country's two major unions--the Bus-
tamante Industrial Trade.Union (BITU), which is
the labor arm of the prime minister's party, and
the opposition National Workers Union (NWU).
Prime Minister Shearer, who is also president
of the BITU, has assumed a partisan role in the
dispute. A defeat of Shearer's Union would be a
stinging political setback in a country where the
two major parties, which are labor based, are so
evenly matched. It would be especially embarras-
sing to Shearer, whose parliamentary constituency
is the site of the difficulties. The BITU has
used strong-arm tactics in the struggle, apparently
fearing a representational poll of the workers.
The Alcoa management, which is now anti-BITU
partly as a result of the violence instigated by
the union, has shifted to a hard line. The com-
pany has sent. personnel back to the US and an
Alcoa official has suggested that the company is
considering closing down operations permanently.
The bauxite/alumina industry is of critical im-
portance to the economy because it.supplies half
the nation's exports. Although Jamaican govern-
ments have traditionally been over-responsive to
labor pressure, Shearer probably will now try to
promote some compromise solution as long as he
does not jeopardize his political position. The
prime minister has been a moderate in his approach
to foreign industry and has consistently worked to
foreign investment.
.promote
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 8
SECRET
 Approved For4golease 2003/Q DP79T0097W17300060001-3
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC - FRANCE: President
Bokassa has irritated his French patrons to the
point where they are considering action to show
their displeasure
The CAR's current tiff with France began last
July with the French ambassador's apparently unof-
ficial denunciation of Bokassa's leftist foreign
policy. Bokassa has replied in kind with spirited
defenses of his policies and attacks on "neocoloni-
alists." In September, he suddenly expelled 70
French agricultural advisers and then stripped the
French ambassador of his deanship of the local dip-
lomatic corps contrary to an agreement signed at
the time of independence
The French long ago adopted a detached and
tolerant approach to the erratic Bokassa except
when their interests were directly threatened, an
attitude that has enabled Paris to weather numerous
storms in the past. French officials realize that
overreacting now would only jeopardize their com-
mercial interests and worsen already difficult re-
lations, but Paris apparently feels compelled to
respond to Bokassa's latest anti-French moves. One
proposed course, that of making no new aid commit-
ments but continuing existing projects, has been
approved and others are being examined. Any last-
ing shut-off in the CAR's largest source o aid
would have a disastrous economic effect.
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 9
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 Approved Folease 2003/0DP79T00917300060001-3
TUNISIA: The continued absence of Prime Min-
ister Ladgham, who is chairing the three-man Arab
committee overseeing the Jordanian-fedayeen cease-
fire, is delaying the projected governmental reor-
ganization.]
JEarly last month, President Bourguiba decided
to replace Ladgham with another long-time associate,
Minister of State for Economic Affairs Hedi Nouira.
The change, which may involve other ministerial re-
placements, was slated for late last month when
Nouira returned from the International Monetary
Fund and World Bank meeting. The governmental
shake-up had to be deferred, however, when Ladgham,
who represented Bourguiba at the Arab summit hast-
ily convened in Cairo to consider the Jordan crisis,
was tapped to chair the peacekeeping mission
Bourguiba is reported to be fretting at Ladg-
ham''s prolonged absence. The President not only
wants to get on with the governmental change, but
also has been annoyed by the favorable international
publicity Ladgham has been receiving. An exception-
ally vain man, Bourguiba does not easily share the
limelight. He is reported to have sent word to
Ladgham to return to Tunis as soon as diplomatically
=qsibl
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
 Approved Fo lease 2003/(i&iATRDP79T009 17300060001-3
PHILIPPINES: The suspension of foreign ex-
change trading raises doubts about Manila's sin-
cerity in following through on its monetary reform
program.
Since February the international value of the
peso has been largely determined by free market
forces. This has been in keeping with Manila's
monetary stabilization program, set in motion
chiefly at the insistence of the International
Monetary Fund (IMF). The decision to suspend for-
eign exchange trading beginning on 5 October, taken
apparently because of a drop in the peso's value
during the past two weeks, is contrary to the spirit
of the government's agreement with the IMF.
Primarily because of the monetary reform pro-
gram, foreign creditors have been willing to coop-
erate in refinancing the country's huge short-term
external debt. Current debt rescheduling plans are
unlikely to be affected by the suspension, but
doubts about Manila's seriousness in solving the
balance of payments problem will make an future
arran ements more difficult.
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 roved For ease 2003/QJ DP79T0097M 17300060001-3
Current Situation
THAILAND
:,S iel
4R 6a
Phnom?
Penh
Population over 125 per sq. mi.
Communist-controlled area
SECRET
Saigon
E T N A M
pproved-f r eease
 Approved For-- please 2003/0S/ ..aI&E DP79T0097W17300060001-3
EGYPT: Cairo's announcement of its willingness
to accept a three-month extension of the cease-fire
suggests that Egyptian leaders are seeking a breath-
ing period in which to adjust to their new circum-
stances without Nasir. Foreign Minister Riad's
statement indicated that the extension depends upon
continued efforts to implement the UN Security
Council resolution on the Middle East of 1967, and
on the resumption of UN mediator Jarring's mission.
Many Egyptians are not anxious to see a resumption
of active hostilities with Israel. Moreover, an
extension of the cease-fire would put off having
to decide whether or not to resume Nasir's war of
attrition until the political situation in Cairo
is somewhat
CAMBODIA:" Government troops have fought off
a Communist attack against elements of the Route 6
task force positioned near Tang Kouk, inflicting
substantial losses on the enemy. Several Cambodian
positions near the task force were also attacked
the same day
Lin rice-rich Battambang Province, the Commu-
nists may be preparing for an assault against the
town of Moung, which is on Route 5 and the Phnom
Penh - Battambang rail line. The Communists have
been increasingly active in the area for several
weeks, and recently ove an two villages within
15 miles of the town.
7 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 13
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017300060001-3
 Approved Fo tIease 2003/0f. BI r-DP79T00975A1717300060001-3
ROMANIA: The government, in announcing the
automobile accident in which Premier Ion Gheorghe
Maurer was injured on 5 October, reported that he
was in a state of shock but that his condition was
improving. Maurer's recovery may be slow, however,
because he is 68 and. his health has not been good
for several years. There have been indications in
the past that he was considering retirement for
reasons of health; thus if he fails to resume his
duties now, the leadership will probably not be un-
prepared. Maurer is President Ceausescu's most
trusted and respected adviser and his loss would
be a great personal blow. It would not result in
basic policy changes, however. Unless Maurer's
condition worsens significantly, the accident is
not likely to alter Ceausescu's plans to attend the
commemorative session of the UN next week in New
York. _F I
7 Oct 70 Central intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
 Secrftproved Foi elease 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T0097t17300060001-3
Secret
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17300060001-3