CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A017500010001-6
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
15
Document Creation Date:
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
April 11, 2003
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 31, 1970
Content Type:
REPORT
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CIA-RDP79T00975A017500010001-6.pdf | 446.13 KB |
Body:
Approved For Release 2003/05/29: CIA-RDP79T00975A01750001Sec et
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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
50
State Dept. review completed
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No. 0261/70
31 October 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SOUTH VIETNAM: The Supreme Court's action on Tran
Ngoc Chau will embarrass Thieu. (Page 1)
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JORDAN: Serious incidents between the government
awe fedayeen may take place soon. (Page 3)
CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Husak is moving against his hard-
line critics. (Page 5)
CHILE: Marxists dominate Allende's cabinet. (Page 6)
PERU: The Velasco government has declared that four
US-held mining concessions have reverted to the state.
(Page 8)
SOUTH AFRICA: The opposition United Party made some
gains in the provincial elections. (Page 9)
YUGOSLAVIA: Price freeze (Page 10)
CONGO (KINSHASA): Elections (Page 10)
BOLIVIA: Guerrilla campaign (Page 11)
BAHAMAS: Prime minister in trouble (Page 11)
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SOUTH VIETNAM: The Supreme Court's action in
voiding the conviction of imprisoned Lower House
Deputy Tran Ngoc Chau will be a source of consider-
able embarrassment to President Thieu.
Under normal legal procedures, Chau should be
released within two weeks, but the government has
been looking for another way to keep him in jail.
Reflecting this attitude, a presidential aide
claimed that the deputy would never be set free as
long as Thieu was in office. The court, however,
has ruled that Chau cannot be retried unless his
immunity is lifted by a two-thirds vote in the
Lower House. The government thus far does not seem
to have hit upon any other way to hold Chau despite
the urgency placed on this matter by Thieu.
Chau's arrest and trial before a military court
last March for having contacts with Communists
raised a storm of criticism both in South Vietnam
and overseas. Because Thieu was the motivating
force behind Chau's conviction, the court's decision
is another clear assertion of its independence from
the executive.
31 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
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JORDAN: Serious incidents between the govern-
ment and the fedayeen may take place soon.
The "transition period" provided by the govern-
ment-fedayeen protocol'signed last week expires on
9 November, at which.point all the more restrictive
provisions of the agreements stemming from the crisis
are to go into effect.
major renewal of fighting between the two sides is
unlikely, at least for the time being. The larger,
more moderate groups--Fatah and the Palestine Libera-
tion Organization--appear to be willing to carry out
their end of the agreement and to do their best to
keep clashes from escalating. Although the two or-
ganizations have only limited control over the ac-
tivities of the radical groups, a full-scale con-
frontation is probably impossible without Fatah's
active participation.
King Husayn's appointment of the hawkish Wasfi
Tal as prime minister has served notice to the feda-
yeen that he intends to enforce the agreements
strictly. Tal went out of his way in his first
statements to make conciliatory gestures toward both
the fedayeen and the Egyptians, however, and fedayeen
reaction has been mixed.
31 Oct 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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oug Husayn
ias in the pas shown imsel t be vulnerable to
Arab opinion, he now seems to be in no mood to make
concessions to the fedayeen.
31 Oct 70
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CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Party boss Gustav Husak is
moving forcefully against his hard-line critics in
advance of November's central committee plenum.
A Western press report from Prague has revealed
an alleged plot by Husak's ultraconservative critics
to "make a bid for power." Other than former Czech
provincial interior minister Josef Groesser, and
General Otakar Rytir, the liaison officer to the
Soviet forces in Czechoslovakia--who were both dis-
missed last week--no names have been revealed.
The press report indicates, however, that none
of the alleged conspirators was from among the party
presidium, although "several" officials in relatively
high government and legislative posts are reported
to be due for dismissal. Although not necessarily
connected with the alleged plot, the dismissals of
Czech provincial Justice Minister Jan Nemec and Minis-
ter of Education Jaromir Hrbek have been rumored for
several weeks. The first vice president of the Czech-
oslovak Federal Assembly, who is an outspoken critic
of Husak's normalization policies, could also be in
danger.
The Czechoslovak party press also has stepped
up attacks on the hard-liners in recent days, a
development that together with the dismissal of of-
ficials and cancellation of the political trial of
the liberal "Pachman group" indicates that Husak now
feels confident that he can move further against his
opponents. He would not do so, however, unless he
felt assured of support 'from Moscow. 25X1
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C CHILE: The cabinet announced by Salvador Al-
lende yesterday is dominated by committed Marxists
in most of the key ministries.
The selection, delayed by a bitter power strug-
gle within the six-member Popular Unity (UP) coali-
tion, favors the president-elect's own extremist
Socialist Party. Allende's closest confidant, Jose
Toha, will be minister of interior, the post first
in succession to the presidency. Toha will also
control all police forces as well as the chief ex-
ecutives of Chile's 25 provinces. The Socialists
not only held out for this top choice, but also re-
ceived three other cabinet posts. The Foreign Min-
istry went to Clodomiro Almeyda, whose long dedica-
tion to Marxist theory and practice has led him to
close relations with both Havana and Peking. Ex-
perienced Socialists were also named as minister of
housing and secretary general of the government.
The Communist Party, chief architect and or-
ganizational core of the UP, named long-time stal-
warts in the ministries of finance, public works,
and labor. Pedro Vuskovic, appointed minister of
economy and development, was termed a "leftist in-
dependent,"
Vuskovic has
een Allende's ie economic planner in three of.
the latter's four presidential campaigns.
Only two of the remaining seven ministers are
influential or even well known. The Radical Party
received three posts--defense, education, and mining.
The choices for the first two apparently appear to
be non-Marxist window dressing which will be by-
passed in exercising control in these two areas of
importance to Allende. New Minister of Mines Or-
lando Cantuarias, however, is a leftist Radical
leader close to Allende who will have a key role in
the promised takeover of Chile's vast copper indus-
try.
(continued)
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C The three smaller non-Marxist UP members had
to share the other four posts. Most important is
Minister of Agriculture Jaques Chonchol, a leftist
Christian Democrat who broke with that party last
year after playing a major role in President Frei's
controversial agrarian reform program. Chonchol
had earlier served for several years as a UN agri-
cultural adviser to Fidel Castro. According to the
US Embassy, President Frei reportedly reacted to
the undisguised Socialist-Communist control of the
cabinet by stating that "Chile is dead."
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PERU: The Velasco government declared yester-
day that four US-held mining concessions have lapsed
and will revert to the state.
The Ministry of Mines issued a directive stating
that the four medium-sized copper concessions, held
by the US-owned Cerro de Pasco Corporation, do not
have proven ore bodies and therefore do not qualify
for development under the mining law issued last
August. Cerro de Pasco had submitted development
schedules for the concessions on 30 September in
compliance with the law, and company officials since
had been negotiating a development contract in which
the government and a Japanese company were to have
shared.
Company officials had believed that the nego-
tiations were progressing well and that the govern-
ment's demand for substantial participation in the
venture had been met by the company's latest pro-
posals. The excuse given for the government take-
over is rather thin; at least one of the concessions
has proven high grade ore.
It is not clear what the Velasco government
plans to do with the concessions, but a state mining
corporation recently was established to increase
Peruvian participation in the exploitation of min-
eral deposits. The government has also been talking
with the Japanese and East Europeans on the develop-
ment of Peru's min in industry, now dominated by US
mining companies.
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SOUTH AFRICA: The opposition United Party made
some gains in the provincial elections held last
Wednesday, although the ruling National Party retained
control of three of the four provincial councils.
Many observers, particularly within the United
Party, have portrayed these elections as a test of
whether the party would be able to sustain the momen-
tum it gained after winning nine seats from the Na-
tionalists in last April's general election. United
Party press supporters are likely, therefore, to play
up the results as further evidence of a voter shift
from the extreme right toward moderation.
The outcome, however, seems to reflect a con-
tinuing dissatisfaction with the Nationalist govern-
ment among its traditional supporters rather than a
significant increase in United Party popularity.
Many National Party supporters apparently abstained,
thus helping the United Party to pick up a few seats
in three of the provincial elections and to reduce
the winning margin of many Nationalist candidates.
Whether Prime Minister Vorster will interpret the
results as a sign that he must provide more vigorous
leadership in order to recapture the support of
ordinary National Party adherents remains to be seen.
F__ I
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NOTES
YUGOSLAVIA: The government has announced a
"temporary" price freeze on most products and com-
munal services as a major first step in an economic
stabilization program designed to halt inflation and
improve the balance of payments. Prices of manu-
factured goods, most foodstuffs, public utilities'
services, and rents will remain frozen until Belgrade
decides that other measures have strengthened the
economy so that price controls can be removed with-
out harmful effects. The government also will re-
quire enterprises to pay a deposit in advance of im-
porting goods to slow down rapidly increasing im-
ports. Other restrictive measures announced at the
current party conference include tighter control,
on consumer credit. 25X1
CONGO (KINSHASA): The Congolese go to the
polls this weekend for the first time since Presi-
dent Mobutu seized power in 1965. They will cast
their votes today and tomorrow for president and
on 14-15 November for candidates to the National
Assembly. Mobutu is the sole candidate for presi-
dent and the assembly candidates are also unopposed.
Mobutu's personal political party, the Popular Rev-
olutionary Movement, has made an intensive effort
to whip up public enthusiasm for the elections, but
it apparently has failed to generate much grass-roots
interest. Voting is mandatory for all persons over
18, however, and a substantial voter turnout will
create the impression that the regime en 'o s nation-
wide support.
(continued)
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BOLIVIA: The pro-Chinese Communist Party
(PCB/C) has opened its guerrilla campaign. Party
members recently seized a large plantation in the
eastern part of the country and turned it over to
peasant groups. Two hostages were released after
a government commission and the plantation's owner
agreed that the property would be turned into a
cooperative. Local business interests, however,
have threatened to use force if the land is not re-
turned to its owner by 1 November. The PCB/C ac-
tion was designed to gain the sympathy of the peas-
ants and to establish a base of support for the
party's guerrilla activities, which apparently will
be independent of those sponsored by the pro-Castro
National Liberation Army. F__ I 25X1
BAHAMAS: Opposition forces will probably oust
Prime Minister Pindling through a vote of no confi-
dence next week. Recent cabinet resignations, in
particular that of Education Minister Wallace-Whit-
field, have seriously weakened Pindling's position
within his own party. Wallace-Whitfield's support-
ers believe they have sufficient strength to carry
the vote of no confidence in the 38-man House of
Assembly, and, though reluctant to engage in an
electoral campaign at this time, believe Pindling
has left them no alternative. Under the Bahamian
constitution new general elections must be held
within 90 days after the legislature is dissolved.
Pindling may, however, decide to call general elec-
tions himself and carry his case to the people, wit
whom he is still popular. 25X1
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