CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A017900040001-9
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
March 4, 2003
Sequence Number:
1
Case Number:
Publication Date:
December 29, 1970
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
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Body:
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D
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
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No. 0311/70
29 December 1970
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
SPAIN: The military has gained as a result of the
trial of the Basque nationalists. (Page 1)
THE NETHERLANDS: Battle lines are being drawn for
next April's elections. (Page 2)
CUBA: Deactivation of SAM sites (Page 3)
GUINEA: Continued vigilance (Page 3)
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SPAIN: The trial of Basque nationalists which
ended with death verdicts for six defendants yester-
day has produced at least a temporary shift in the
balance of forces within the regime in favor of the
military.
Political maneuvering in connection with the
trial has given the more conservative elements a
new opportunity to gain ground at the expanse of the
Opus Dei group, which is often described as Catho-
lics interested in greater economic liberalism. This
group had gained ascendancy in the cabinet a year
ago. Adherents of the Falange and the military have
been able, against the wishes of the cabinet, to or-
ganize unexpectedly successful proregime rallies
throughout Spain. The military appears to have af-
firmed once again its role as the arbiter of Spain's
politics.
Commutation of the death sentences, if they are
confirmed by the regional army commander, is a pre-
rogative reserved to Franco, who has always been re-
luctant to make concessions under pressure. In
1963, when a case involving the death penalty
aroused considerable adverse international comment
as this case has done, the verdict was carried out.
In dealing with the Basques, Franco's decision may
be influenced by the reported opposition of some
key army figures to the death penalty.
I I
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THE NETHERLANDS: Political battle lines are
already being clearly drawn for next April's parlia-
mentary elections.
The opposition Labor Party announced on 23 De-
cember that it will not participate in a coalition
with the three religious parties after the elections.
In November, the religious parties, which with the
right-wing Liberals makeup the present government,
agreed once again to campaign on similar platforms
and to stay together either in the next government
or in the opposition.
The next coalition will almost certainly in-
clude the religious parties, but before last week
there had been some question whether they would re-
constitute their coalition with the Liberals or seek
a broader based government with Labor. The Labor
Party's decision not to cooperate with the religious
parties appears to guarantee that the present coali-
tion will be revived, albeit with some new faces in
important positions.
The major campaign issue will be inflation,
and the gulf in thinking between the religious par-
ties and Labor on this problem was accentuated ear-
lier this month. The government was forced at that
time to back down on its plan to institute a six-
month wage freeze in the face of opposition by the
Labor Party and the labor-oriented wings of the
religious parties.
By favoring wage increases, Labor hopes to win
some votes from the religious parties as well as to
buttress the authority of the labor unions which
last summer showed some signs of erosion, evident
by the eruption of a series of wildcat strikes. For
their part, the religious parties appear to be bank-
ing on the appeal of their slogan of restraints to
the largely traditional-minded Dutch electorate.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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NOTES
CUBA: The six SAM sites that protect the east-
ern portion of the island have been deactivated.
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activation of these SAM sites is not known, but in
any event it has left the eastern portion of Cuba
poorly defended.
some of the SAM equipment may have been moved to the
Havana area.
GUINEA: The state of armed vigilance that has
prevailed since last month's commando raid is being
maintained. Security forces are extending their
roundup of persons--both African and European--sus-
pected of antiregime activities. Even the arrival
of two Soviet destroyers in Conakry has not allayed
President Toure's continued fears of attack. Toure
is personally directing the "mobilization" of the
country; he has even established a "war room" and a
"high commando"
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Deactivation of SAMs in Eastern Cuba
w Deactivated site
Operational site
re0 to function as SAM
t
bIv area a as of Oct. 1970
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