CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A017900120003-8
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 15, 2003
Sequence Number: 
3
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
January 8, 1971
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A017900120003-8.pdf114.79 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A01790Oret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin State Department review completed 25X1 Top Secret 25X1 8 January 1971 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : JIA-RDP79T00975A017900120003-8 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 8 January Central Intelligence Bulletin TSRAEL: UN mediator Jarring is likely to be iitt ~e encouragement in Tel Aviv. Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 ISRAEL: PRELIMINARY INDICATIONS OF THE ISRAELI NEGOTIATING POSITION SUGGEST THAT UN MEDIATOR JARRING IS BEING GIVEN LITTLE ENCOURAGEMENT IN TEL AVIV. ~=,A MEMORANDUM GIVEN AMBASSADOR BARBOUR BY FOREIGN MINISTER EBAN ON WEDNESDAY, MAKES IT CLEAR NOT ONLY THAT ISRAEL ADHERES FIRMLY TO ALL ITS PREVIOUS POSI- TIONS REGARDING A SETTLEMENT, BUT THAT THE ISRAELIS ARE NOT WILLING TO ENTER SERIOUS TALKS ON SUBSTANTIVE PROBLEMS UNLESS THE EGYPTIANS STOP CREATING AN OOUL- TIMATIVE SITUATION"'--I.E., STOP THREATENING NOT TO RENEW THE CEASE-FIRE AFTER 5 FEBRUARY. EBAN EVEN SAID HE WAS CONSIDERING TELLING JARRING THAT A FUR- THER EXTENSION OF THE CEASE-FIRE IS A CONDITION FOR ISRAELIS ENTERING TALKS. THE ISRAELI MEMORANDUM STATES FLATLY THAT NO ISRAELI TROOPS WILL BE WITHDRAWN FROM ANY POSITION PENDING AN OVER-ALL SETTLEMENT, THAT ISRAEL WILL NOT RETURN TO ITS PRE - JUNE 1967 BOUNDARIES, AND THAT A UNIFIED JERUSALEM WILL "OF COURSE" REMAIN THE CAPITAL OF ISRAEL, THOUGH WITH ARRANGEMENTS FOR THE ""SPIRITUAL"r INTERESTS OF OTHERS. IF PRIME MINISTER MEIR TAKES A LINE AS BLUNTLY TOUGH AS THIS IN HER TALKS WITH JARRING, THE MEDI- ATOR WILL RETURN TO NEW YORK IN EFFECT WORSE THAN EMPTY-HANDED. BARRING SOME UNFORESEEN BREAK IN THE SITUATION, SUCH A DEVELOPMENT ALMOST CERTAINLY WOULD CAUSE THE EGYPTIANS SERIOUSLY TO CONSIDER CALLING FOR A MEETING OF THE SECURITY COUNCIL BEFORE THE CURRENT CEASE-FIRE EXPIRES. Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Approv4d For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A017900120003-~ 25X6 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Next 5 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 FEDAYEEN-LEBANON-ISRAEL: FEDAYEEN ACTIVITY ALONG THE LEBANESE-ISRAELI BORDER IS LIKELY TO IN- CREASE AS. THE COMMANDOS ATTEMPT TO DISRUPT THE JARRING NEGOTIATIONS. F_ I ISR L THE US AMBASSADOR AVIV THAT TENSION IS AL- READY BUILDING UP ALONG THE BORDER AS FEDAYEEN FROM JORDAN MOVE INTO SOUTHERN LEBANON. I THE SEPARATE EFFORTS OF THE LEBANESE AND ISRAELI ECURITY FORCES ARE MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO KEEP ANY NEW ACTIVITY IN CHECK. MOREOVER, THE WEAKENED STATE OF THE COM- MANDO MOVEMENT RENDERS IT HIGHLY UNLIKELY THAT IT CAN MOUNT ANY SIGNIFICANT CROSS-BORDER OPERATIONS. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 (continued) Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Appro d For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Top qeCp d For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8 Top Secret Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO17900120003-8