CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A018300010001-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 12, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 13, 1971
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
13 February 1971
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No. 0038/71
13 February 1971
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
SUDAN: Numayri is responding to army pressure in
attacking Sudan Communists. (Page 1)
ARGENTINA: Levingston's tenuous position may be
strengthened by disagreements within the military.
(Page 2)
CHILE: The government has made a deal with the
Christian Democrats. (Page 3)
CAMBODIA: No cabinet change likely (Page 4)
JAPAN: Oil "cartel" (Page 4)
UGANDA: Nationalization (Page 4)
NATO: Integrated European division (Page 5)
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SUDAN: President Numayri's sharp attack against
the Sudanese Communist Party yesterday was the latest
move in response to army pressure to neutralize Com-
munist influence in the government.
Numayri's major policy speech was preceded by
a two-day meeting of the ruling Revolutionary Com-
mand Council (RCC) during which the role of Commu-
nists in government as well as the continued eco-
nomic deterioration were presumably discussed. In
a parallel move, the RCC has reportedly purged three
Communist ministerial undersecretaries. The dismis-
sal last November of two ultraleftist members of the
RCC who supported Sudanese Communist Party Secretary
General Mahjub was also apparently designed to pla-
cate armed forces officers who chafed at the Commu-
nist. influence in the Khartoum government.
It is by no means certain that the military has
been appeased by Numayri's ostensible effort to cir-
cumscribe Communist power. While the brunt of his
crackdown has been borne by the orthodox Mahjub
wing of the party, a rival faction still holds sev-
eral cabinet posts, including the sensitive foreign
minist
ry portfolio.
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ARGENTINA: 'President. Levingston's position
may be strengthened by the growing dissatisfaction
of middle-grade officers with the armed forces'
commanders .1
',.The discontent with the military hierarchy,
and particularly with army commander General Lanusse,
is stimulated by political differences as well as by
complaints on personnel policies. Officers at the
colonel level have come increasingly to believe that
the military has not justified its take-over of the
government in 1966 and that changes must be made to
ensure progress in dealing with Argentina's serious
political and economic problems.
1,,A strongly nationalistic approach is favored by
an increasing number of military officers, and Pres-
ident Levingston has appeared in recent weeks to be
purposely playing on this sentiment. Indications of
an impending clash between Levingston and General
Lanusse have increased recently, and it is likely
that Levingston is using the nationalism issue to
attract support from within the military for the
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CHILE: The government and the Christian Demo-
cratic Party (PDC) have reached a deal that epito-
mizes the Chilean proclivity for compromise.
The government is backing off for now from its
insinuations that members of the previous administra-
tion were involved in the plot that ended in the
death of army commander in chief Schneider last
October. In return, the PDC apparently will lie
low on certain sensitive issues, even though it
will remain in general opposition to the government.
An additional factor is the agreement between the
PDC-controlled publishing house Zigzag and the gov-
ernment that will transform the company into a state
agency while permitting Zigzag to retain some of its
publications. Zigzag had been facing bankruptcy
because of pressure from its Communist-controlled
unions and a general credit squeeze.
This arrangement illustrates President Allende's
policy of avoiding direct clashes with opposition
interests where possible. In addition, it typifies
the desire of most Chileans to reach an accommoda-
tion rather than to make a strong stand on a matter
f principle.
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SECRET
NOTES
CAMBODIA: Lon Nol has indicated that no cabi-
net changes are to be made for the time being. The
striken Cambodian leader has reportedly informed
Acting Prime Minister Matak and General Sak Sutsak-
han, Cambodian Army chief of general staff, that he
does not wish to make any ministerial changes for
at least the next three months in order to maintain
national unity. The last major cabinet reshuffle
occurred last summer, and since then Lon Nol has
resisted periodic suggestions that certain incompe-
tent or corrupt ministers be replaced.
JAPAN: Japanese oil companies are seeking gov-
ernment permission to set up a "cartel" to conduct
negotiations with Western companies supplying crude
oil to minimize the anticipated price hikes. The
permission, which probably will be granted, would
strengthen Japan's bargaining position with foreign-
owned suppliers who may try to pass on increases
demanded by OPEC. This is the latest of several
Japanese moves in recent years to gain greater con-
trol over oil imports. Western oil suppliers are
concerned about the pressure such a "cartel" could
apply, since Japan is the world's leading crude oil
importer and one of their fastest-growing petroleum
markets.
UGANDA: The new government of Uganda appar-
ently will not reverse Obote's nationalization meas-
ures with regard to Western-owned firms. Negotia-
tions between the government and these companies
will continue as before. This position was set
forth by the government's new finance minister at a
meeting with local representatives of foreign-owned
oil companies operating in Uganda. With the excep-
tion of the US-owned Mobil Oil Company, which has
never seriously negotiated with the government,
all principal Western-owned firms have accepted
government participation.
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NATO: Bonn has directed its NATO mission to
sound out the other Allies on the idea of creating
an "integrated European division." Legislators of
the NATO countries meeting as the North Atlantic
Assembly last November, in their declaration on the
future of the Alliance, proposed such a unit to act
as a "standing emergency force" that would complement
the Allied mobile force. The West Germans, in fol-
lowing up the proposal, apparently view it as one
way of increasing the European share of NATO defense
responsibilities and a logical follow-on to the
recommendations of the recent study of Allied de-
fense problems in the 1970s. A Bonn foreign office
official believes that, to be a qualitative gain
for the Alliance, the division would have to be
created out of forces not already committed to NATO.??
13 Feb 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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