CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A018300070001-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 12, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: February 22, 1971
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N? 041
22 February 19 7 1.
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No. 0045/71
22 February 1971
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
NORTH VIETNAM: Hanoi is pushing its campaign to
bring more men into the armed forces. (Page 1)
LAOS: The Communists are continuing to nibble away
at government strongpoints near Long Tieng. (Page 3)
MIDDLE EAST NEGOTIATIONS: The Israelis continue to
be evasive on specific aspects of a settlement.
(Page 4)
INDIA: The assassination of a leading politician
in Calcutta may lead to cancellation of elections
in West Bengal. (Page 5)
TURKEY: Violence sparked by radical students has
increased. (Page 7)
POLAND-USSR: The new Soviet credit will increase
Poland' s~economic dependence on Moscow. (Page 8)
URUGUAY: The Tupamaros have released Brazilian
Con s- u=Dias Gomide. (Page 9)
BURMA: Ne Win's health (Page 10)
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NORTH VIETNAM: Hanoi is pushing its months-old
campaign to bring more men into the armed forces.
Radio Hanoi announced on 18 February that the
Communist Party's central committee has convened a
conference to review the regime's efforts to mobilize
more women for tasks normally performed by men in
the economy and at home. The announcement was spe-
cific enough to leave the clear impression that the
mobilization effort is designed to free more men for
duty at the front. According to the broadcast,
party head Le Duan and Premier Pham Van Dong ad-
dressed the meeting.
Gatherings of this kind aimed at mobilizing
the North Vietnamese masses for one purpose or an-
other are standard fare, but this one seems more
than ordinary on a number of counts. The central
committee does not usually sponsor run-of-the-mill
conferences, nor do leaders from Hanoi's top echelon,
particularly Le Duan, normally show up at routine
affairs. Moreover, the timing of this meeting seems
important; it obviously is more than coincidence
that the subject of manpower availability is touched
on at this high level in public so soon after the
Laotian operation began and within weeks of a central
committee plenum that almost certainly weighed the
possibility of such an allied move and Hanoi's re-
action to it.
This conference doubtless is part of the ac-
celerated recruitment and conscription drive that
has been under way in North Vietnam for several
months. In light of recent events in Indochina,
however, a fresh effort to exhort women to take up
the plow and simultaneously run the household could
signal a period of even more intense manpower mobi-
lization for the front lines as well as for North
Vietnam's home guard.
22 Feb 71
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Beuam Long
Sala Pho
Khouni
XiengKhouangviII j
\1?
Government-held lohation
?. Communist-held 'location
?* "I r
MuongSouf`
Enemy shelli
6g co'ntinues
ComnmLnist Ban Na
probes
Sa~" Tha Tam Bleuhg,
0
Thgng o 0
\ 0
l\ \ NVA'overrun
Long Tien`g Govt outpost
NORTH
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LAOS: The Communists are continuing to nibble
away at government strongpoints commanding the ap-
proaches to yang Pao's headquarters complex at Long
Tieng.
of the headquarters. (Ma )
Meanwhile, in the immediate Long Tieng area,
government irregulars beat back several small-scale
ground probes against outposts within a mile radius
North Vietnamese forces this weekend attacked
and overran four Lao irregular outposts northeast
of Long Tieng in the vicinity of Tha Tam Bleung.
The. outposts were garrisoned by elements of two guer-
rilla battalions which withdrew to the southwest
after sustaining casualties of eight killed and 25
wounded. Enemy losses are unknown. Three of the
outposts were considered of vital importance to the
over-all defense of the Long Tieng sector. The ir-
regular base at Tha Tam Bleung itself was also sub-
jected to enemy ground probes.
Ban Na, another linchpin in the defense of Long
Tieng, remains under strong pressure. The base,
which contains vital artillery emplacements, was
shelled on at least a dozen occasions during the
weekend. Small-scale ground clashes were also re-
ported around its defensive perimeter as well as
around the nearby base at Sam Thong. Despite the
intensity of enemy shelling, the airstrip at Ban Na
has been reopened, and medical evacuation and resup-
ply missions are once again under way.
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C MIDDLE EAST NEGOTIATIONS: Although the Israelis
have attempted to avoid the appearance of a negative
response in their reply to Egypt's latest proposal,
they have continued to be evasive on specific aspects
of a settlement.
In a communique following yesterday's cabinet
meeting, the Israelis officially welcomed Egypt's
readiness to reach a peace agreement and expressed
their own readiness for meaningful negotiations on
all subjects. The government, however, rejected
what it termed as Egypt's demand for total withdrawal
and stated that Israel would not withdraw to the pre-
June 1967 lines. Referring to an Israeli statement
on 4 August 1970 in response to the US peace initia-
tive, the communique indicated that Israel's position
remains that it will be prepared to discuss the with-
drawal of Israeli forces to secure, recognized and
agreed borders to be determined in peace agreements.
A reference in the communique to the Israeli desire
for the continuation of discussions under the aus-
pices of Ambassador Jarring "in negotiations between
the governments concerned" would appear to be a re-
iteration of Israel's long-standing demand for direct
negotiations which the Arabs have consistently re-
fused.
Yesterday's communique may not be Israel's
fina r answer to the Egyptian proposal. Cairo's ex-
pression of readiness to enter into a peace agree-
ment caught the Israeli Government by surprise and
any decision on what would constitute acceptable
borders as part of any final settlement will be
reached only after considerable debate within
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INDIA: The assassination of a leading politi-
cian in Calcutta on 20 February probably presages
more violence and may lead to cancellation of sched-
uled elections in the state of West Bengal.
The fatal stabbing of Hemanta Basu, respected
chairman of the small left-of-center All-India
Forward Bloc, climaxes two months of increasing
violence in West Bengal. The press reports that at
least 189 political assassinations have occurred in
the state since January. Other candidates in the
state and national elections scheduled for 10 March
have had unsuccessful attempts made on their lives.
The police have refused publicly to blame any
party or group for Basu's murder. The Communist
Party of India/Marxist (CPM)--the largest and more
extreme of the two major Communist parties in West
Bengal--has, however, initiated a campaign of vio-
lence and intimidation in connection with the elec-
toral campaign that makes it suspect in the eyes of
.the public. CPM spokesmen, aware of the public re-
action to the latest killing, have denied responsi-
bility for the assassination and have sought to
blame it on the US Central Intelligence Agency.
Some police officials reason that the CPM has
long sought elections in West Bengal in anticipation
of winning a major victory and thus would be reluc-
tant to risk the cancellation of the poll that might
follow Basu's murder. They suspect that the killers
were members of the extremist, pro-Maoist, Naxalite
movement. The Naxalites, unlike the CPM, are pub-
licly committed to forcing cancellation of the elec-
tions.
The parties opposing the CPM in the elections
are attempting to stir up public feeling against
the Marxists, and a mass rally to protest the kill-
ing of Basu, scheduled for 24 February, could lead
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to new and widespread violence. Army units previ-
ously brought into the state to assist the police
in trying to maintain order may now be augmented.
The chances of restoring order appear slim, however,
and postponement or even cancellation of the elec-
tions is becoming increasingly likely.
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TURKEY: Violence sparked by radical leftist
student groups has increased and has spread to out-
lying provinces.
Ankara police fought a seven-hour battle on 19
February with hundreds of defiant students defending
their barricaded dormitories with small arms, ex-
plosives, and firebombs. About 200 of the students,
many of them girls, were arrested. A large crowd
which had gathered at the scene was barely prevented
by police from lynching one of the students.
Following this struggle a large number of bomb-
ings, attempted bombings, and hit-and-run gunfire
attacks took place in Ankara. Bombings were also
reported in Bursa and Gaziantep. Students from an-
other university protesting the police action blocked
a main highway into Ankara for several hours until
dispersed by gendarmerie troops. A faculty group
sympathetic to the leftist students appealed to the
chief of the Turkish General Staff for military in-
tervention.
In a marathon meeting with leading members of
his Justice Party, Prime Minister Demirel charged
that the student disorders were fomented and sup-
ported by "outside, international sources." He
called for an increase in the government's consti-
tutional power to deal with such outbreaks.
The survival of the Demirel government may well
depend on the success with which it handles the
present rash of disorders, which are beginning to
assume the dimensions of urban guerrilla warfare.
The military have thus far refrained from acting on
their own initiative, but they can hardly tolerate
further disintegration of the government's authority.
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POLAND-USSR: The apparently substantial Soviet
credit that was recently announced will increase
Poland's economic dependence on Moscow and leaves
the USSR with a strong stake in the Gierek regime.
Two Polish Government sources did not specify
the total amount of aid but have said the credit
includes some hard currency. Part of the credit
probably will be used to :increase Polish purchases
of food and other consumer goods. Any hard-currency
portion is likely to be used in part to help defray
costs of imports of livestock feed and meat, items
that Warsaw is anxious to procure in the West for
immediate delivery. This new aid supplements an
earlier Soviet commitment to supply two million tons
of grain on an accelerated delivery s
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URUGUAY: The Tupamaros reportedly made good
on their promise to release the Brazilian consul
when emergency security measures ended by freeing
Dias Gomide yesterday in exchange for a claimed
$1-million ransom paid by his family.
No details about his six-and-one-half-month
captivity or further information concerning the two
hostages still held--British Ambassador Jackson and
US agronomist Fly--were available last night. The
Tupamaros have repeatedly indicated the desire to
release Fly in exchange for a concession by the
Uruguayan Government; although President Pacheco
has refused to negotiate, the private nature of the
Gomide transaction sets a precedent for a possible
nonofficial deal for Fly.
Any prospective trade for Fly, however, may
rest on whether the government attempts to reimpose
security measures. The terrorists have previously
indicated that such an action would make the atmos-
phere unacceptable for bargaining.
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NOTE
BURMA: General Ne Win's hurried trip to London
this weekend for medical treatment suggests a serious
health problem. The General, who had returned from
a medical checkup in the UK on 9 January, looked fit
at that time. Last week he canceled a state visit
22 Feb 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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