CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A019600030001-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
December 15, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 19, 2004
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 23, 1971
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A019600030001-1.pdf313.6 KB
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Approved For Release 2004/03/18: CIA-RDP79T00975A01960% t1 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin Secret State Department review completed N2 42 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18: CIA-RDP79T00975A01960r-11971 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/'1($,~DP79T00975A019600030001-1 No. 0175/71 23 July 1971 Central Intelligence Bulletin CONTENTS SUDAN: A countercoup has apparently succeeded. (Page 1) ARMS CONTROL: The Soviet draft treaty on biologi- cal weapons has accommodated substantially the changes desired by the US. (Page 2) JAPAN: Mounting criticism may cause Sato to re- sign later this year. (Page 3) FRANCE: The government is tightening its monetary policy. (Page 5) CHILE: The opposition Christian Democrats now hold the leadership of both houses of Congress. (Page 6) TURKEY: Martial law extension (Page 7) Approved For Release 2004/$ l'9 DP79T00975A019600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004//h'I,$kw. - DP79T00975A019600030001-1 C SUDAN: Forces loyal to General Jaffar Numayri apparently have successfully moved against the Com- munist-affiliated junta that ousted Numayri on 19 July. Tank and small-arms fire was observed through out Khartoum yesterday, according to the US Interests Section, as Numayri supporters regained control of the radio and television stations. Numayri announced by radio and television the restoration of his gov- ernment and directed the armed forces and the people to begin an all-out search for Communists. At night- fall the city had become quiet and only scattered shooting was being reported. Early yesterday the Libyan Government, which has a long-standing antipathy for Sudanese Commu- nists, forced the BOAC airliner carrying two members of the anti-Numayri government, Babakr al-Nur Uthman and Faruq Hamdallah, to land at Benghazi. The two men were removed from the aircraft by Libyan author- ities, an act that drew an angry British protest. Shortly thereafter, the shooting began in Khartoum and the leader of the anti-Numayri forces, Colonel Hashim al-Atta called for resistance to "foreign intervention." Numayri later announced that al-Atta had escaped. The chances of success for Numayri's counter- coup are enhanced by the fact that his opposition had only three days in which to consolidate their power. Numayri's plea for a roundup of Communists is in line with his efforts since last fall to re- move them from cabinet and other government posts. 23 Jul 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For Release 2004/0g/#t.*IA-PDP79T00975A019600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03~J pIE DP79T00975A019600030001-1 ARMS CONTROL: The USSR has substantially accommodated the changes desired by the US in the Soviet draft treaty on biological weapons (BW). Ambassador Roshchin, chief of the Soviet delegation to the Geneva disarmament talks, in- formed Ambassador Leonard Wednesday of Soviet acceptance of virtually all the proposed US re- visions. The Soviets have modified five of the US points, but even the modifications mark con- siderable movement toward the US position. The Soviet response could lead to agreement in Geneva this summer on a BW convention to be submitted to the UN General Assembly this fall. The door was opened for the current progress by Soviet presentation in March of a draft BW convention dropping Moscow's previous insistence on an all-embracing treaty to include chemical weapons (CW). Ambassadors Roshchin and Leonard will consult further in the days ahead on how to submit an agreed US-Soviet text to the other conferees in Geneva. Roshchin has indicated that the Soviets are flexible on this question, and that the basic Soviet desire is to handle it in a way that will develop maximum support among the nonaligned delegates. Although the latter still would prefer a joint BW-CW conven- tion and are urging rapid progress on CW, they deny any intention to obstruct agreement on a treaty limited to BW. Central Intelligence Bulletin 2 25XI Approved For Release 2004/0:N ftbP79T00975A019600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/W6 0fDP79T00975A019600030001-1 JAPAN: Mounting criticism over the China issue has a ecc impetus to speculation that Prime Minister Sato may resign later this year. Former foreign minister Ohira, a leading aspir- ant to succeed Sato, told the US ambassador on 20 July that the prime minister would probably step down following Diet ratification of the Okinawan re- version agreement in late fall. Other party leaders have also recently evinced a rising lack of confi- dence in the prime minister? whose unprecedented fourth consecutive term does not end until November 1972. 25X6 The prime minister now faces a dilemma: his flexibility on China is somewhat limited by his right wing supporters' close political and economic ties with Taiwan, while rivals within the LDP are prepared to abandon his ship if it appears to be foundering over the China issue. Ohira claimed that the question of Sato's suc- cessor was far from settled. He suggested that dis- sident LDP members might be willing to join with op- position parties to elect an LDP leader as prime minister who was not the official party candidate. This was a reference to opposition within the party to Foreign Minister Fukuda, who is widely regarded as Sato's heir apparent. Ohira speculated that who- ever succeeds Sato would have to call general elec- tions promptly to seek a popular mandate. He claimed that the LDP would suffer a "substantial" loss in Diet strength as a result of such elections. 23 Jul 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/ 0gp * DP79T00975A019600030001-1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03/At& 79T00975AO19600030001-1 FRANCE: The government is tightening its mone- tary controls to slow inflation and squelch rumors of revaluation. The Bank of France has raised the reserve re- quirements for commercial banks by another percent, the third such increase in two months. The move, prompted by the recent strengthening of the franc on foreign-exchange markets and heavy inflows of funds into France, is aimed at slowing inflation by braking the rapid monetary expansion. It also is designed to suppress rumors that the government is considering revaluation as a means of coping with inflation. In the first three months of this year, the money supply was expanding at an annual rate of 30 percent. This has now been slowed to 15 percent, but it is still well above the growth of gross national product. Prices are rising at an annual rate of nearly seven percent. With wage rates rising at around ten percent a year, and with contracts in several of the public- sector industries pegged to the cost of living, a key political objective is to moderate the rate of inflation. Added pressures, however, will make this objective difficult to achieve. These include higher import costs stemming from the floating of the German mark and Dutch guilder and another substantial rise in French farm prices, scheduled for next month, which will bring them to the levels of those of its partners in the European Community. 23 Jul 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03 iTP79T00975A019600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/033164ftL P79T00975A019600030001-1 CHILE: Opposition Christian Democrats now hold the leadership of both houses of Congress. The election of Fernando Sanhueza as president of the Chamber of Deputies on 20 July gives the Christian Democratic Party (PDC) all three top posts there. The PDC won the leadership of the Senate earlier this year. Sanhueza was elected without the support of the conservative National Party (PN), but this probably does not indicate abandonment of the hard-won opposition cooperation that defeated the government in last week's legislative by-election. The PDC is still the largest political party in Chile; it has the largest congressional represen- tation, and with the PN and a smaller opposition party makes up a majority in both congressional houses. The leadership posts are not powerful, but they provide prestige and some procedural leverage that could be useful in implementing stronger op- position tactics against the government's Popular Unity (UP) coalition. Congressional opposition thus far has not been a serious obstacle to Allende. If trouble is cer- tain, as in the case of control of banking, he has bypassed the legislature. Now, however, the govern- ment faces increasing problems in transforming Chile into a socialist system. The UP may, therefore, proceed with its reported plans for a propaganda campaign to discredit the opposition, particularly the Congress, in an effort to emphasize the need for a unicameral assembly, which was part of Allende's campaign program. The UP believes that it can create such an assembly more responsive to its control and may use the constitutionally acceptable resort to a national plebescite to push the issue if the coali- tion decides it could win such a test. 23 Jul 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03CCV/4RpP79T00975A019600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/0 1 C RDP79T00975A019600030001-1 NOTE TURKEYS A second 60-day extension of martial law, due to expire on Monday, appears to be a vir- tual certainty. Eleven of Turkey?s 67 provinces, embracing all major cities and sensitive areas, were placed under military control on 26 April following a period of increasing violence by leftist radicals. The situation now is generally quiet and many known terrorists who have been arrested in recent months are being tried in military courts. Twenty-one al- leged terrorists under indictment face the death penalty; several other key figures remain at large. Although Prime Minister Erim has publicly declared his hope for an early end to martial law, he prob- ably will not press for it at this time. Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03I Y:`C1 ]-R P79T00975A019600030001-1 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1 Secret Secret Approved For Release 2004/03/18 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO19600030001-1