CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 26, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: August 26, 1971
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110 180 oret
25X1
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
State Department review completed
N2 42
26 August 1971
Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
 25X1 Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
 Approved For Release 2004/04/tt.(qjtfgP79T00975A019800110001-0
No. 0204/71
26 August 1971
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
BOLIVIA: Some differences among the president's
backers. (Page 1)
CHINA-JAPAN: Visit of Peking official to Tokyo.
Page 2 )
EAST PAKISTAN: The distribution of foodgrains.
(Page 3)
TURKEY: Changes in the constitution. (Page 4)
AFGHANISTAN: Emergency relief aid. (Page 5)
SOUTH KOREA: Top military officials dismissed
(Page 6)
PHILIPPINES: Tensions eased somewhat (Page 6)
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS: Talks on cur-
rency revaluation (Page 7
CEYLON: Government fears of renewed insurgency
Page 7)
UGANDA-TANZANIA: Border clash (Page 8)
EQUATORIAL GUINEA: Arrests (Page 8)
Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
SECRET
 Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
SECRET
BOLIVIA: President Banzer is turning his atten-
tion to formulating national policies, although pock-
ets of resistance to. his government remain. In addi-
tion, differences among his backers are beginning to
appear.
In a press conference Tuesday, Banzer stressed
his desire to de-emphasize national differences and
work for national unity. He set no. date for elec-
tions, nor did he indicate whether he would call for
a new constitution.
Argentina,
an Uruguay already
nave recognize the Banzer government, and Brazil in-
tends to follow suit shortly.
some
Latin American countries have indicated that they do
not believe the question of recognition arises and
consider their relations with the new government a
continuation of previous ones.
The two political parties that support President
Banzer are traditional rivals, and some strain is be-
ginning to show. One faction of the Nationalist
Revolutionary Movement (MNR) has called on the party
to leave the coalition in protest over government ac-
tion against leftist students resisting in the uni-
versity. MNR members in the government probably will
be reluctant to withdraw after so many years out of
power. This type of bickering, however, could com-
mand a lot of Banzer's attention.
Rivalries and jealousies within the armed forces
could also cause him problems.
26 Aug 71
Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
SECRET
 Approved For Release 2004/04/1 95 f1AR 9T00975A019800110001-0
CHINA-JAPAN: Japanese attention to the China
issue will be increased this week with the visit to
Tokyo of Peking official Wang Kuo-ch'uan. A long-
time specialist on Japan, Wang,will attend funeral
services today for Kenzo Matsumura, a persistent
advocate of closer Sino-Japanese relations.
Wang reportedly will remain in Japan for about
a week after the ceremonies and.has been besieged
with requests for meetings from opposition politi-
cians in Japan. Prime Minister Sato,, the major
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) contenders for the
prime ministership, and other top government officials
have also expressed a desire to meet with Wang. Sev-
eral meetings reportedly took place last spring be-
tween influential Japanese and the Chinese officials
who accompanied Peking's table tennis team during
its tour of Japan.
Peking's decision to send an official of Wang's
stature to Tokyo suggests that the Chinese hope to
capitalize on the prevailingly favorable "China mood"
in Japan and possibly strengthen it. Wang almost
certainly is prepared to meet with important Japa-
nese officials, possibly including members of Sato's
cabinet, but it is not clear how he will handle the
request for discussions with Sato himself. The
visit will increase.pressure on the Sato government
from elements in the LDP, opposition parties, and
the media to take new initiatives toward improving
Tokyo's relations with Peking. It also could affect
current discussions in Japan on approaching the ques-
tion of Chinese representation in the UN.
26 Aug 71
Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
25X1
Approved For Release DD7T00975AO
T", I
 Approved For Release 2004/04/ i11fE 1 79T00975A019800110001-0
EAST PAKISTAN: The government is still fight-
ing an up it attle distributing foodgrains.
The food plan for August-December providing
for the distribution of one million tons falls short
of the estimated 1.4 million tons of imported food-
grains required to feed the population adequately.
Moreover, the August target for shipments of 200,000
tons to the interior is not likely to be reached.
By mid-August only 43,000 tons had cleared the ports
because of internal transport disruptions. Contin-
uing sabotage of rail and road bridges places an ex-
traordinary burden on water transport, which is now
handling about twice its normal volume. Moreover,
sabotage operations to be carried out by guerrillas
at the ports may further curtail foodgrain shipments.
Although food shortages are evident, there have
been no reports of starvation. AID officials who
visited the coastal area devastated by last Novem-
ber's cyclone report that increasing food relief
shipments are permitting stocks to be.built up.
Food rations distributed under relief auspices,
which practically ceased in May, are now up to about
half of requirements established by relief authori-
ties.
Harvest of the fall rice crop has begun, which
will help alleviate food shortages at least until
November. The Food Department estimates less than
100,000 tons of rice have been lost in monsoon flood-
ing compared with at least a half million tons last
year.
26 Aug 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
Approved For Release 2004/04/1 'C1,9T00975A019800110001-0
J J
 Approved For Release 2004/04/1M M''9T00975A019800110001-0
TURKEY: The way has been cleared for substan-
tial changes in the 1961 constitution.
Thirty-four of the 154 articles are to be
amended, and ten new temporary articles will be added
in a major effort. to strengthen the executive branch
and to clear the way for land reform. The changes
are also designed to restrict activities aimed at
undermining the government and to establish the le-
gitimacy of the military intervention last March.
In a surprising show of cooperation, all the prin-
cipal political parties are sponsoring the omnibus
bill, which reportedly has been signed by two thirds
of the members of parliament.
Although early passage is thus assured, the
bill must still go through the prescribed process
of parliamentary review, which requires the approval
of both houses and takes a minimum of four weeks.
Some partisan dissent emerged during the considera-
tion of the proposed amendments, but Prime Minister
Erim is generally accorded high marks for accomplish-
ing the difficult task of promoting interparty coop-
eration. Awareness of the considerable military in-
terest in the proposed amendments also probably en-
couraged the disparate politicians to be more coop-
erative than usual.
The pending changes represent a marked depar-
ture from the philosophy of the framers of
the 1961
constitution, who were primarily intent on
protect-
ing the citizen from the potential abuse of
execu-
tive authority.
25X1
26 Aug 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 4
Approved For Release 2004/04/1
 Approved For Release 2004/04/11ft"79T00975A019800110001-0
AFGHANISTAN: Kabul's request for emergency re-
lief aid to eease difficulties stemming from prolonged
drought has met with mixed results.
The government's appeal for animal fodder, the
most immediate need, has been largely unfulfilled
because of lack of surplus supplies in nearby coun-
tries and high transportation costs. Afghanistan
needs at least 650,000 tons. Existing fodder sup-
plies reportedly are sufficient only until the be-
ginning of autumn, and efforts to export sheep, the
only real alternative, have met with little success.
Only Iran has committed funds for the purchase of
Afghan sheep while the Soviets have indicated they
may purchase one million of the country's 22 million
sheep.
On the other hand, the response for emergency
food supplies has been rapid and pledges for half
the foodgrain requirements already have been received.
In addition to 100,000 tons of US PL-480 wheat, the
Soviets are sending 25,000 tons, and lesser amounts
have been promised by Communist China and Canada.
Afghan proposals for a debt moratorium are re-
ceiving sympathetic consideration. The World Bank
reportedly will act favorably on an informal request
that it chair a meeting of creditors next month.
Debt renegotiations with the USSR reportedly are at
an advanced stage and at least a partial moratorium
may be announced at the end of the King's visit to
Moscow in September.
26 Aug 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/04/1 Qjf
9T00975A019800110001-0
jeff F
 Approved For Release 2004/04/19E.N f 79T00975A019800110001-0
SOUTH KOREA: President Pak has dismissed three
top military officials in the wake of the govern-
ment's embarrassment over the mishandling of a mu-
tiny by special forces trainees on 23 August. He
has replaced the defense minister, air force chief
of staff, and the head of the Counterespionage Com-
mand in an effort to blunt criticism that handling
of the incident revealed significant military short-
comings. The mutineers, who were originally mis-
taken for North Korean infiltrators, were able to
fight their way from a remote training site near
Inchon to the outskirts of the capital. Although
the opposition political party, attempting to get
maximum mileage from the incident, has called for
the resignation of the entire cabinet, additional
top-level changes are unlikely.
PHILIPPINES: The government's restraint in
rounding up suspects in the bombing of an opposition
Liberal Party campaign rally has eased tensions
somewhat in Manila. The approximately 40 individ-
uals arrested have been promptly released following
their investigation. President Marcos appears to
be concentrating his energies on building a case
of complicity in the bombing against Benigno Aquino,
a Liberal senator who was not present at the rally
and whom Marcos sees as a potentially serious pol-
itical rival. Continued incidents of terrorism
since the bombing, however, have prompted Marcos
to reiterate his threat of martial law. The rad-
ical left, which would like to nudge Marcos into
taking this unpopular step, is likely to do its
Dart to contribute to disruptive action.
26 Aug 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
(continued)
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/04/1 Ff79T00975A019800110001-0
 Approved For Release 2004/04/1~j f&? 79T00975A019800110001-0
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS: The chair-
man of the Group of Ten continues to urge that the
Committee of Deputies meet to discuss currency re-
valuation prior to the Group's proposed meeting of
finance ministers in London in mid-September. The
aim of the London conference reportedly is to draft
recommendations for changes in exchange rates for
the annual meeting of the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) in Washington later in the month. Reports
of an IMF staff working paper on revaluation received
a stormy reception in. Europe. Suggested revaluations
of 15 percent for the yen, 13 to 14 percent for the
mark, and seven percent for the French franc and for
the pound sterling were rejected by European offi-
cials as being excessively high. In related develop-
ments, the dollar continued to weaken slightly against
most European currencies yesterday. The Japanese yen
closed higher as commercial banks reversed themselves
and purchased dollars to comply with the government
requirement that they maintain certain dollar bal-
ances.
25X1
CEYLON: Government fears of an increase of in-
surgent continue to build. An eight-hour
night curfew has recently been imposed to cover four
additional administrative districts; a five-hour
nightly curfew is already in effect in the Western
Province, which includes the capital city of.Colombo.
Although no official reason.has been given for the
new curfew regulations, 25X1
insurgent groups have stepped up their
ac :ivi i.es and have added kidnaping in order to ob-
tain guns and money. 25X1
the Colombo rumor
mill is going full force and complete government
news censorship remains in effect. 25X1
(continued)
26 Aug 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin
Approved For Release 2004/04/19F 1 f"79T00975A019800110001-0
 Approved For Release 2004/04/1g179T00975A019800110001-0
UGANDA-TANZANIA: Both countries have announced
that their troops clashed in a border incident on
24 and 25 August, but the official accounts conflict,
with each country accusing the other of touching off
the fracas. Ugandan President Amin is also claiming
Communist Chinese involvement with the Tanzanians,
and reportedly displayed the body of a Communist
Chinese military adviser whom he said had accompanied
the Tanzanian troops. So far, however, the US Em-
bassy in Kampala has been unable to confirm this re-
port. Although the border incident was probably a
chance encounter, it has brought the already poor
relations between Uganda and Tanzania to a new low
and increases the chance for further confrontations.
EQUATORIAL GUINEA: The widespread arrests in-
itiated suddenly last week by President Macias. are
continuing and the island capital of Fernando Po
remains tense. The government is still refraining
from publicizing the roundup or levying any accusa-
tions against those imprisoned. Circumstantial evi-
dence suggests that Macias is reacting to plotting
that has been going on for some time by tribal foes
on Fernando Po. The Guinean ambassador to Cameroon,
was among ose
arrested last week; he reportedly has been killed.
Macias is directing the crackdown from mainland Rio
Muni, where his tribesmen predominate.
26 Aug 71
Central Intelligence Bulletin
25X1
25X1
Approved For Release 2004/04/' GR-]R fP79T00975A019800110001-0
 Secreted For Release 2004/04/19: CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0
Secret
Approved For Release 2004/04/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A019800110001-0