CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP79T00975A020000070002-0
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 7, 2003
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 16, 1971
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A020000070002-0.pdf154.92 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975Ab000070002-0 'Aw Top Secret DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin Top Secret C 197 25X1 16 September 1971 Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A020000070002-0 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 Approved For Rel 02W00070002-0 25X1 25X1 16 September 197-1 Central Intellzgence Bulletin EAST PAKISTAN: Guerrilla activity expected to in- crease. Page 1) 25X1 GERMANY-USSR: Brandt to seek Brezhnev's help in removing East German foot-dragging. (Page 5) 25X1 25X1 Approved For Rolease 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A02p000070002-0 Approved For 25X1 EAST PAKISTAN: Guerrilla activity in East Pak- istan is expected to increase with the ending of the monsoon by early October. E Mukti Bahini (East Pakistan Liberation Fighters) are scheduled to begin infil- trating into East Pakistan from India during the first week of October 25X1 ITnis gro p o ?, - crui a primari y rom ast Pakistani refugees, is described as the third and largest contingent of Bengali guerrillas to have received weapons and training in India prior to infiltration across the border. up to 10,000 25X1 guerrillas are a rea y operating in as Pakistan or staging cross-border raids. The ending of the monsoon. will facilitate counterguerrilla activities by the estimated 70,000 Pakistani troops in the East wing. On the other hand, the end of the rains will also increase the mobility.of the "liberation fighters," and the vir- tual doubling of the number of active guerrilla fighters would significantly increase difficulties for the martial law administration in retaining control over East Pakistan--both by permitting more frequent attacks on troops, government installations, 25X1 and collaborators and by demonstrating to the popu- lation the growing strength of the guerrilla move- 16 Sep 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For R~Iease 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A020009070002-0 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 Next 3 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 Approved For Re L GE_~NY-USSR: Continued East German footdrag- ging in thesecond phase" of the Berlin talks will be a major item on Chancellor Brandt's agenda in his talks with Brezhnev in the Crimea beginning to- day. Despite Western approaches to the Soviets for intercession last weekend, Pankow's negotiator Kohl remained adamant on 14 September in denying that the German-language text of the Berlin accord worked out by East and West German representatives on 3 Septem- ber can be the basis for the inter-German talks. On the same day, West Berlin Senat negotiator Mueller met with East Germany's representative Kohrt, but made no progress on substance or procedures. The next talks in both forums are set for 22 September, after the Brandt-Brezhnev summit. 25X1 25X1 Bonn is eager to conclude the inter-German talks, but not at the cost of acknowledging GDR legal pretensions leaving open obvious possibili- ties for future obstructionism. 25X1 25X1 (continued) 16 Sep 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For R~Iease 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975A0200000700024 25X1 Approved For R$ 25X1 Soviets will probably make a generally fa- vorable response to Brandt's requests. East German recalcitrance may be acceptable and even desirable to the Soviets as a short-term tactic, but it is doubtful that they will let it persist long enough to threaten their broader aims in Europe. 25X1 the only agenda item proposed ny e Soviets was a discussion of a Conference on Euro- pean Security (CES)--further evidence of the impor- tance they attach to this topic. Having come as far as they already have on Berlin, it is unlikely that the Soviets intend to let East German obstruc- tionism impede the accelerating movement toward a CES. 25X1 16 Sep 71 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved Forl Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 I 25X1 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 Next 6 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0 Approved For Rel$ode 2003/05/19: CIA-RDP79T00975A03&00070002-0 Top Secret Top Secret Approved For Release 2003/05/19 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO20000070002-0