Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
Release Decision: 
Original Classification: 
Document Page Count: 
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 9, 2003
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 15, 1972
Content Type: 
PDF icon CIA-RDP79T00975A022100060001-9.pdf306.87 KB
Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A02210 r t DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin Secret State Department review completed N2 42 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A02210006D90S-18ne 1972 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08/22EeA 79T00975A022100060001-9 No. 0143/72 15 June 1972 Central Intelligence Bulletin VIETNAM: Situation report. (Page 1) CIVIL AVIATION: Soviets will support UN statement on air piracy. (Page 3) UK: Rail settlement is another setback for Heath's wage policy. (Page 4) YUGOSLAVIA: New vice-president will be selected next month. (Page 5) CHILE: New electoral regulations (Page 6.) Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022100060001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/08/218] RI"9T00975A022100060001-9 CVIETNAM: The Communists are maintaining pres- sure on government positions in the northern Mekong Delta area, but there is a general lull throughout the remainder of the country. Heavy fighting continues around Tuyen Binh District town in Kien Tuong Province for the third straight day, and casualties are high on both sides. Elements of the Communist 5th Division, which re- cently moved into this region, apparently are in- volved in the fighting in Kien Tuong as well as in nearby Kien Phong Province. Enemy forces in Dinh Tuong Province directed several mortar rounds against the provincial capital of My Tho early yes- terday, causing numerous civilian casualties. Government forces have cleared enemy units from much of An Loc and have reoccupied the airstrip on the northern edge of the town. Government reinforce- ments are meeting little resistance while moving from landing areas just outside of An Loc, but the main elements of the relief column remain stalled south of the town. North Vietnam's leadership is raising the pros- pect of an indefinite extension of the war. Writing in the daily newspaper on 1 June, an unknown offi- cial named Hong Ha calls for the reorganization of society "so that we can wage a protracted war." He insists that a Communist victory does not require all the heavy equipment and materiel which the US has at its disposal. The article makes no reference to Soviet or Chinese aid,. but its boastful claims about the country's ability to survive on its own serves implicitly to minimize the importance of such assistance for Hanoi's war effort. (continued) 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3 Approved For Release 2003/08/2gtek 79T00975AO22100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08F&P79T00975A022100060001-9 C Hong Ha gives the impression that the regime has only recently decided on the political line he articulates. He alludes to an "assessment" of a "new situation" in respect to Vietnam--presumably that created by great power summitry, developments in the Communist offensive, and the US interdiction campaign against Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08gt?P79T00975A022100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08/SE(E;R-RW79T00975A022100060001-9 CIVIL AVIATION: The UN Security Council may take some action on aviation security by the end of this week. The Soviet representative at the UN has been instructed to support a Security Council consensus statement on air piracy. US representatives have been consulting with the Soviet Union and the UK on the possibility of such a statement, which could be issued without.a formal meeting or debate. The statement would call upon states to deter, prevent, or suppress acts of hijacking or other interference with air travel and to ensure the prosecution of those who commit such acts. Security Council adoption of a consensus state- ment probably would cause the International Federa- tion of Airline Pilots Association to call off the 24-hour. strike it has threatened for 19 June. UN Secretary-General Waldheim will try to find out what the association means by its request for "ef- fective action" by the Security Council when he meets with representatives of the pilots this after- noon. A Security Council consensus statement might also facilitate the adoption of the resolution the US has been circulating among members of the Council of the International Civil Aviation Organization. That resolution, among other things, urges states to implement the security measures which the ICAO has adopted and to become parties to the Tokyo, Hague, and Montreal conventions on air piracy. More important, it provides for resuming the prepa- ration of a convention that would establish pro- cedures for taking joint action, within the ICAO framework, against countries that fail to deal with hijackers. 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/g :~-1P79T00975A022100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08/2$Eb'F79T00975A022100060001-9 UK: The inflationary settlement of the rail dispute marks another setback for Prime Minister Heath's wage and industrial relations policies. After several months of work slowdowns and negotiations, British Railways and-three labor un- ions reached an agreement calling for wage increases of more than 13 percent. This is the second major blow to Heath's efforts to hold average wage in- creases at about nine percent. Earlier this year, a 20-percent wage hike was granted to the coal miners. Furthermore, the government is faced with intransigence from the dock workers in the Trans- port and General Workers' Union (TGWU) over pay and working conditions. The leaders of the union have just postponed a national port strike for six weeks. In the first test of the new Industrial Rela- tions Act, the rail dispute demonstrated that the act could neither keep labor on the job nor prevent an inflationary settlement. The government, through the National Industrial Relations Court (NIRC), ordered a cooling-off period and a compulsory ballot on whether to continue the slowdowns. After the compulsory ballot produced overwhelming support for the unions' tactics, the leaders felt they had no reason to compromise. The Industrial Relations Act has been further undermined by a court ruling on 13 June that ab- solves the TGWU of responsibility for actions of its shop stewards and sets aside fines levied on the union by the NIRC. The unions regard this ruling, which strikes at the heart of the govern- ment's industrial relations policies, as a monu- mental victory. The Heath government has not yet proposed any alternative to the act, but it may be forced to explore other avenues, such as-arbi- tration, conciliation, or even some sort of incomes policy--a measure opposed by Heath up to the pres- - 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin Approved For Release 2003/08gtiCR lDP79T00975A022100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08/2?p79T00975A022100060001-9 YUGOSLAVIA: A Muslim from Bosnia-Hercegovina probably will become the next vice-president for one year beginning on 2 August. The constitution provides that the vice-presi- dent be elected for a one-year term on a rotating basis from among the members of the collective pres- idency--three from each republic and two each from the provinces of Vojvodina and Kosovo. The position is important in the governmental structure because the incumbent automatically takes over as a care- taker president if Tito resigns or dies. By virtue of his post, the caretaker will play an important role in post-succession politics, but he will not dominate the collective presidency. Presidents after Tito will be elected by their peers on the collective presidency for a one-year term according to the rotational system. Tito's title of president-for-life is a specific constitutional exception that future leaders are unlikely to achieve. The leading candidate in the election on 15 July among the Bosnian-Hercegovinian members of the collective presidency is Hamdija Pozderac. He is a 49-year-old Muslim ex-professor who has been described as a dedicated advocate of Yugoslavia's self-management system and policy of non-alignment. His election would pose one problem. The present premier, Dzemel Bijedic, is also a Muslim from Bosnia-Hercegovina. His and Pozderac's joint terms in office would create a nationality imbalance at the top level of the government. Bosnian Muslims represent only 3.5 percent of the Yugoslav popula- tion. The rotation for the five following years will be Slovenia in 1973, then Serbia, Croatia, Monte- negro, and the province of Vojvodina in that order, according to Krste Crvenkovski, the current vice- president, who represents Macedonia. 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975A022100060001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/08/21S.W9T00975A022100060001-9 CHILE: New electoral regulations that author- ize fed- ations of political parties to offer common lists of candidates improve the prospects for Pres- ident Allende's coalition in the 1973 congressional elections. The requirement that federations be registered by 7 July poses problems for the opposi- tion Christian Democrats in particular. Party lead- ers must now commit themselves quickly on the thorny issue of close cooperation with conservative parties, the surest way to avert a coalition majority in the Congress. Such action, however, would be anathema to the Christian Democratic left and would abandon the party's hope of forging a leftist political bloc with moderate breakaway Radicals. The Popular Unity coalition won the 1970 presidential elections by exploiting such a split in its opposition. According to press reports, Allende will an- nounce his long-awaited new cabinet today. The ad- justed ministerial lineup will probably be the first indication of the changes that will be made in eco- nomic policies as a result of the recent prolonged m ti ee ng of the Popular Unity parties. 15 Jun 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/0?t' RI AfDP79T00975A022100060001-9 Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22100060001-9 Secret Secret Approved For Release 2003/08/21 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO22100060001-9