CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A023100020001-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 9, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: October 30, 1972
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N2 041
30 October 1972
Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO23100020001-2
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No. 0260/72
30 October 1972
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
LAOS: New Communist action in the south. (Page 1)
CHILE: Negotiations with the strikers break down.
Page 2)
THE YEMENS: Agreement on major issues. (Page 3)
GUATEMALA: Leftists are being cautious. (Page 4)
USSR: Industrial production still lagging (Page 5)
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Ma Gia
pass
San Karai
PPass
j Dong
Senb _-aene
Co
LAOS
Cho Ban Lao
ed a Ngan
tiovt
Bolovens
Plateau
CAMBODIA
angTri
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LAOS: The Communists for-the first time have
occupiedKeng Kok, an important town some 30 miles
southeast of Savannakhet in south Laos.
Combined North Vietnamese and Pathet Lao forces
drove the Lao Army.garrison from the town on 28 Oc-
tober and then pushed west toward Route 13, a major
north-south road. Four missionaries, three US and
one Canadian, were captured during the attack.
Villagers report that as many as two enemy battal-
ions are now building a bunker system within Keng
Kok.
The increase in activity in the central pan-
handle seems designed to forestall any government
push west to capture important towns along Route 9.
The Communists no doubt are also interested in gain-
ing as much territory as possible in anticipation
of a cease-fire in the near future.
The Communists are faring less well farther
south in the panhandle. Irregular troops this week-
end drove the last North Vietnamese troops out of
Saravane while other irregulars occupied Ban Lao
Ngam, just north of the Bolovens Plateau. Lao Army
units have been unable to retake Khong Sedone to the
west., however.
Military activity remains light in north Laos
as Vang Pao continues to regroup the task force that
was driven off the southern Plaine des Jarres on 26
October. Government forces suffered heavy casual-
ties in this fighting: 100 were killed 200 wounded
and several hundred are still missing.
30 Oct 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
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P ssure from the Socialist Party has
HILE . re
for President Allende to reject the latest settle-
ment terms offered by the truck owners association
to end the protest movement, now in its 21st day.
On 27 October, Allende abruptly broke off nego-
tiations with protest leaders, after having accepted
their settlement offer as a basis for discussion.
The Socialists all along had been opposed any
concessions, but they reportedly have at last been
able to convince the Communists that now is the time
to determine if it is to be the government or its
opponents who rule Chile. The continued firm sup-
port offered by the army to the government during
the strike period--in spite of grumbling from the
air force--may have convinced the government parties
that they can afford a waiting game.
Minor demonstrations continue to agitate San-
tiago. Incidents of sabotage havehnoticeased, but
remis s ac e capability or a major act of
destruction. The radio stations are broadcasting
normally, following a finding that the compulsory
network was illegal. This gain for the opposition
was countered by the government's decre dissolving
the striking truck owners association.
30 Oct 72
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ErTHE YEMENS: The prime ministers of Sana and
Aden announced settlement of most major differences
on 28 October.
The heads of state of Sana and Aden are sched-
uled for a summit meeting on 25 November in Libya
to ratify an agreement on unification which will
take place after one year. The unity formula pro-
vides for special committees to plan the merger and
draft a new constitution; it was prepared by dele-
gations from Sana and Aden who have been meeting
in Cairo under Arab League auspices since 21 Octo-
ber.
A joint statement issued by Sana Prime Minister
Muhsin al-Ayni and Aden Prime Minister Ali Nasir
Muhammad indicated that the two sides had also
agreed to reopen their borders, ban terrorist ac-
tivity, repatriate Adeni exiles in Yemen (Sana) who
wished to return home, withdraw troops from areas
occupied after 26 September, and close "training
camps"--sites in Yemen (Sana) used by the National
Unity Front, the umbrella organization of anti-
Adeni dissidents. The text of the agreement does
not specify that Sana's troops will, in fact, with-
draw from Aden's Kamaran Island which was occupied
in early October.
Many obstacles to the implementation of the
agreements reached between the two Yemens are still
to be overcome, not the least of which is the ideo-
logical gulf between Aden's extreme leftist govern-
ment and Sana's traditionalist regime. In addi-
tion, Sana Prime Minister al-Ayni is likely to en-
counter opposition from those tribal and military
leaders who opposed a cease-fire and,favored en-
largement of hostilities with Aden.
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GUATEMALA: Leftist forces have reacted cau-
tiously so far to the disappearance last month of
the top Communist Party leaders.
The extreme left has hesitated to retaliate
against the government, probably fearing to provoke
an all-out campaign against the already weakened
insurgency movement. The Communist Party long has
been convinced that infiltration of labor unions
and student movements and alliance with the legit-
imate political parties offered a better opportunity
for ultimate success than continued reliance on ter-
rorism. The acting Communist leadership probably
has given up hope that the captured men will turn
up alive, but in order to head off rank-and-file
demands for immediate revenge, they are trying to
hold out the hope that a propaganda effort will
gain the release of the Communist leaders.
The pro-Castro Rebel Armed Forces (FAR), the
major terrorist organization, has also maintained
a wait-and-see attitude. The FAR recently suffered
a setback of its own when security forces rescued a
kidnap victim and in the process captured or killed
six FAR members. The FAR may prefer to wait until
the government's alard has been lowered before making
a major move.
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USSR: Civilian industrial production continues
to lag, despite a slight improvement in the third
quarter. Overall. industrial performance is dis-
appointing, with output during January-September
growing by an estimated five percent over the com-
parable period last year. This is the lowest nine-
month growth rate since 1969. A Pravda editorial
stresses that Soviet industry will have to produce
considerably more in the next two months if the
industrial output plan for 1972 is to be met. The
impact of diverting labor and trucks from the in-
dustrial sector to support harvest operations was
not severe and the rate of industrial production
accelerated during the eriod July through Septem-
ber.
30 Oct 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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Secret