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December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
July 9, 2003
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October 30, 1972
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Approved Felease 2003/08/05: CIA-RDP79T009023S*1-2 25X1 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Central Intelligence Bulletin Secret N2 041 30 October 1972 Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO23100020001-2 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO23100020001-2 Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO23100020001-2 Approved For I ase 2003/ REATRDP79T00975 3100020001-2 No. 0260/72 30 October 1972 Central Intelligence Bulletin CONTENTS LAOS: New Communist action in the south. (Page 1) CHILE: Negotiations with the strikers break down. Page 2) THE YEMENS: Agreement on major issues. (Page 3) GUATEMALA: Leftists are being cautious. (Page 4) USSR: Industrial production still lagging (Page 5) SECRET Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO23100020001-2 Approved Fftelease 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00 023100020001-2 SECRET Ma Gia pass San Karai PPass j Dong Senb _-aene Co LAOS Cho Ban Lao ed a Ngan tiovt Bolovens Plateau CAMBODIA angTri SECRET r v For" elease 200 /b / 5 1 -F D 79Tb09 5Ab2310b07 Approved For Lase 2003/%Wklff DP79T009753100020001-2 LAOS: The Communists for-the first time have occupiedKeng Kok, an important town some 30 miles southeast of Savannakhet in south Laos. Combined North Vietnamese and Pathet Lao forces drove the Lao Army.garrison from the town on 28 Oc- tober and then pushed west toward Route 13, a major north-south road. Four missionaries, three US and one Canadian, were captured during the attack. Villagers report that as many as two enemy battal- ions are now building a bunker system within Keng Kok. The increase in activity in the central pan- handle seems designed to forestall any government push west to capture important towns along Route 9. The Communists no doubt are also interested in gain- ing as much territory as possible in anticipation of a cease-fire in the near future. The Communists are faring less well farther south in the panhandle. Irregular troops this week- end drove the last North Vietnamese troops out of Saravane while other irregulars occupied Ban Lao Ngam, just north of the Bolovens Plateau. Lao Army units have been unable to retake Khong Sedone to the west., however. Military activity remains light in north Laos as Vang Pao continues to regroup the task force that was driven off the southern Plaine des Jarres on 26 October. Government forces suffered heavy casual- ties in this fighting: 100 were killed 200 wounded and several hundred are still missing. 30 Oct 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 1 SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975A023100020001-2 Approved F^i elease 20gy0,$/iJJA-RDP79T00^023100020001-2 P ssure from the Socialist Party has HILE . re for President Allende to reject the latest settle- ment terms offered by the truck owners association to end the protest movement, now in its 21st day. On 27 October, Allende abruptly broke off nego- tiations with protest leaders, after having accepted their settlement offer as a basis for discussion. The Socialists all along had been opposed any concessions, but they reportedly have at last been able to convince the Communists that now is the time to determine if it is to be the government or its opponents who rule Chile. The continued firm sup- port offered by the army to the government during the strike period--in spite of grumbling from the air force--may have convinced the government parties that they can afford a waiting game. Minor demonstrations continue to agitate San- tiago. Incidents of sabotage havehnoticeased, but remis s ac e capability or a major act of destruction. The radio stations are broadcasting normally, following a finding that the compulsory network was illegal. This gain for the opposition was countered by the government's decre dissolving the striking truck owners association. 30 Oct 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 SECRET Approved For FWase 2003/08ftpP79T00975J3100020001-2 r ErTHE YEMENS: The prime ministers of Sana and Aden announced settlement of most major differences on 28 October. The heads of state of Sana and Aden are sched- uled for a summit meeting on 25 November in Libya to ratify an agreement on unification which will take place after one year. The unity formula pro- vides for special committees to plan the merger and draft a new constitution; it was prepared by dele- gations from Sana and Aden who have been meeting in Cairo under Arab League auspices since 21 Octo- ber. A joint statement issued by Sana Prime Minister Muhsin al-Ayni and Aden Prime Minister Ali Nasir Muhammad indicated that the two sides had also agreed to reopen their borders, ban terrorist ac- tivity, repatriate Adeni exiles in Yemen (Sana) who wished to return home, withdraw troops from areas occupied after 26 September, and close "training camps"--sites in Yemen (Sana) used by the National Unity Front, the umbrella organization of anti- Adeni dissidents. The text of the agreement does not specify that Sana's troops will, in fact, with- draw from Aden's Kamaran Island which was occupied in early October. Many obstacles to the implementation of the agreements reached between the two Yemens are still to be overcome, not the least of which is the ideo- logical gulf between Aden's extreme leftist govern- ment and Sana's traditionalist regime. In addi- tion, Sana Prime Minister al-Ayni is likely to en- counter opposition from those tribal and military leaders who opposed a cease-fire and,favored en- largement of hostilities with Aden. Central Intelligence Bulletin SECRET 25X6 Approved For Release 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T00975A023100020001-2 Approved Felease 2003/,5RC;#2DP79TOOA023100020001-2 GUATEMALA: Leftist forces have reacted cau- tiously so far to the disappearance last month of the top Communist Party leaders. The extreme left has hesitated to retaliate against the government, probably fearing to provoke an all-out campaign against the already weakened insurgency movement. The Communist Party long has been convinced that infiltration of labor unions and student movements and alliance with the legit- imate political parties offered a better opportunity for ultimate success than continued reliance on ter- rorism. The acting Communist leadership probably has given up hope that the captured men will turn up alive, but in order to head off rank-and-file demands for immediate revenge, they are trying to hold out the hope that a propaganda effort will gain the release of the Communist leaders. The pro-Castro Rebel Armed Forces (FAR), the major terrorist organization, has also maintained a wait-and-see attitude. The FAR recently suffered a setback of its own when security forces rescued a kidnap victim and in the process captured or killed six FAR members. The FAR may prefer to wait until the government's alard has been lowered before making a major move. Central Intelligence Bulletin 25X1 SECRET Approved For tease 2003/1CPDP79T0097ff23100020001-2 USSR: Civilian industrial production continues to lag, despite a slight improvement in the third quarter. Overall. industrial performance is dis- appointing, with output during January-September growing by an estimated five percent over the com- parable period last year. This is the lowest nine- month growth rate since 1969. A Pravda editorial stresses that Soviet industry will have to produce considerably more in the next two months if the industrial output plan for 1972 is to be met. The impact of diverting labor and trucks from the in- dustrial sector to support harvest operations was not severe and the rate of industrial production accelerated during the eriod July through Septem- ber. 30 Oct 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5 SECRET Approved For Release 2003/08/05 CIA-RDP79T00975AO23100020001-2 Approved Fd eIease 2003/08/05 : CIA-RDP79T009 023100020001-2 Secret Secret