CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A024100090002-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 16, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 1, 2005
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: March 31, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
State Department review completed ..`
NAVY review(s) completed. Na .~
31 March 1973
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SECRET
No. 0078/73
31 March 1973
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
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USSR-SWEDEN-FINLAND: Kosygin and Podgorny will
visit Nordic states next week. (Page 3)
INDONESIA: Cabinet shake-up appears to bring modest
improvements. (Page 4)
LAOS: Souvanna optimistic on new government (Page 5)
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USSR-SWEDEN-FINLAND: Premier Kosygin and Pres-
ident Podgorny will go to Sweden and Finland, re-
spectively, next week.
Kosygin's visit will round out the Scandinavian
tour that he began with trips to Norway and Denmark
in late 1971. Kosygin's talks with Prime Minister
Palme are likely to include topics such as European
security arrangements, Vietnam, and mutual environ-
mental concerns.
The probable focal point of their talks, how-
ever, will be problems in bilateral economic rela-
tions. The Swedes plan to raise the matter of their
trade deficit with the USSR, and Kosygin will likely
point to the inadequate terms Stockholm has offered
in proposed extensions of credit.
Podgorny's state visit will be highlighted by
ceremonies marking the 25th anniversary of the Finn-
ish-Soviet Friendship Treaty on 6 April. The draft
Finland-CEMA economic cooperation agreement, ini-
tialed in Moscow earlier this month, may also be
signed during his visit. Foreign Minister Karja-
lainen will head a Finnish delegation to Moscow for
treaty celebrations there. The Finns probably will
seek to conduct in both capitals further discussions
regarding Soviet thinking on a Finnish-EC tie and
other issues.
31 Mar 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin 3
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INDONESIA: The new cabinet represents another
step in President Suharto's long process of re-
structuring Indonesia's government.
The role of experienced civilian technocrats
has been further enhanced, and that of the polit-
ical parties almost eliminated. Although there are
only three new faces, there was considerable re-
shuffling of responsibilities. The overall effect
is a modest improvement in the quality of the cabi-
net. Several corrupt or incompetent ministers have
been dropped or renamed to less critical posts.
The major change is the President's decision
to relinquish the defense portfolio to General
Panggabean, who now also becomes commander in chief
of the armed forces. Suharto probably now believes
his original goal of centralizing the armed forces
under army control has been achieved, thereby free-
ing him to concentrate on other problems.
Panggabean's appointment also paves the way
for his ambitious deputy, General Sumitro, eventu-
ally to become commander in chief. Sumitro, long
considered the second most powerful man in the coun-
tryl ]does
not, however, o a orma position in the command
structure commensurate with the degree of confidence
Suharto has in him. It seems likely that Panggabean,
after a short term as minister, will be named to a
major ambassadorial post to make way for Sumitro.
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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LAOS: Prime Minister Souvanna is optimistic
that a new government can be formed by mid-April.
Souvanna is encouraged by his recent meeting with
Pathet Lao negotiator Phoune Sipraseuth, who has
been empowered to negotiate the formation of the
new coalition government. Phoune, who had just
returned from a short visit to the Communist head-
quarters near Sam Neua, brought with him a friendly
letter from Communist leader Souphanouvong. In the
past, Phoune has not been authorized to enter into
any meaningful discussions with government leaders,
despite his public claims to carry full negotiating
powers. Several more meetings probably will be re-
quired to see if he is in fact authorized to nego-
tiate on vital issues.
(continued)
31 Mar 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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