CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A024400040001-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 4, 2003
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: May 7, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2003/08/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO24400040 1-6
ecret
Central Intelligence Bulletin
Secret
N2 040
7 May 1973
Approved For Release 2003/08/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO24400040001-6
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Approved For Release 2003/08/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO24400040001-6
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No. 0109/73
7 May 1973
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
LEBANON: A third cease-fire agreement. (Page 1)
MEXICO: Government will pay new ransom demand of
80,000, in addition to meeting other terms for
US consul general's release. (Page 2)
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LEBANON: Further outbreaks of fighting in
southeastern Lebanon late on 4 May and again the
following day have led to a third cease-fire
agreement, to which both, sides have generally
adhered. Beirut has been quiet since an earlier
truce was agreed to at dawn on.4 May. The capital
has received a steady flow of mediators from other
Arab states to assist in working out a new govern-
ment-fedayeen modus vivendi.
The conflict has highlighted a dilemma for
each side. The government, although reluctant to
face a full confrontation with the fedayeen, is
unwilling to allow armed fedayeen the run of its
cities. It will probably press for tighter con-
trols over the commandos, even though it will be
under pressure from the other Arab states to ease
its policy toward the Palestinians. The fedayeen,
on the other hand, are apparently divided on their
strategy. Fatah leader Yasir Arafat's actions
have indicated that he wants to avoid provoking
a confrontation, apparently because he fears his
control over the fedayeen movement might be weak-
ened and because he hopes that a forthcoming at-
titude on his part will dissuade the Lebanese
from imposing new restrictions on the fedayeen.
Others in the movement, however, are pressing for
a return to the arrangement of 1969, which allowed
the fedayeen relative freedom of movement through-
out the country.
The negotiations are therefore likely to con-
tinue for some time. Although the violence appears
to have abated, the differences among the fedayeen
and between them and the government are such that
lasting accommodation is unlikely.
7 May 73
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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MEXICO: CThe government will pay an $80,000
ransom, in addition to meeting an earlier demand
by flying 30 prisoners to Cuba, to gain the release
of US Consul General Leonhardy.
The prisoner list gives few clues as to the
identity of the kidnapers, who went under the name
of the "Peoples Revolutionary Armed Forces." Mex-
ican security officials believe that a guerrilla
family with a long history of leftist agitation or
a bank-robbing group to which five of the prisoners
belonged may have been behind the abduction. An-
other possibility, according to the official, is
Lucio Cabanas' group. This group, which recently
executed a kidnap victim and last. summer ambushed
army troops, normally operates in mountains north-
west of Acapulco, but is thought to have support
networks elsewhere.
President Echeverria, by complying with the
kidnapers' demands, has followed his government's
policy of making all reasonable efforts to accede
to terrorist demands when lives are at stake.
Echeverria is reported to be very concerned over
the incident, which he considers to be a "blow
below the belt" to his efforts to conciliate stu-
dents, leftists, and other alienated sectors of
Mexican society. The kidnaping is also embarrass-
ing to the government because Secretary of State
Rogers is scheduled to visit Mexico City next week.
7 May 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin 2
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Secret
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Approved For Release 2003/08/27 : CIA-RDP79T00975AO24400040001-6