CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025600110001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 12, 2004
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: November 20, 1973
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
Central Intelligence Bulletin
DIA and DOS review(s) completed.
Top Secret
C f
20 Nobr 1973
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
ARAB STATES - ISRAEL: Prisoner exchange continues.
(Page 1)
CAMBODIA: Capital returns to normal following bomb-
ink presidential compound. (Page 5)
GREECE: Government forces maintain calm in Athens.
Page 6)
EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES: Offer near on compensatory
tariff cuts. (Page 8)
FRANCE: French want eventually to increase naval
presence in Mediterranean. (Page 9)
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FOR THE RECORD: (Page :L9)
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C ARAB STATES - ISRAEL: Egyptian and Israeli rep-
resentatives held an unofficial meeting at Kilometer
101 yesterday, and, according to an Israeli military
spokesman, discussed the POW exchange, arrangements
for a battlefield search for missing and dead soldiers,
and the resupply of Suez city and the Egyptian Third
Army. Both sides agreed to hold a formal meeting on
22 November. The Egyptian-Israeli POW exchange con-
tinued yesterday. Eighty-five Israeli and fewer than
3,000 Egyptian prisoners remain to be repatriated.
The Egyptian and Syrian fronts remained quiet
yesterday except for some minor incidents in the Suez
Canal area; one Egyptian soldier reportedly was killed.
Israeli aircraft flew over the canal but drew no fire
from Egyptian air defense units. Beirut claimed that
the Israelis shelled southern Lebanon yesterday for
the second day in a row, wounding five persons.
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Central Intelligence Bulletin
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Soundings taken by Minister of State for Foreign
Affairs Saqqaf during his recent ten-day tour of Arab
capitals have led him to be concerned that next week's
Arab summit conference will be bullish and aggressive,
and that the Arab positions adopted there might set
back moves toward a peace settlement. Saqqaf told the
US ambassador to Saudi Arabia yesterday that he found
the mood of the Syrian Government to be extremely re-
alistic but also very self-confident. In both Syria
and Egypt, Saqqaf reported there are many who are
prepared to accept renewed fighting if there are no
prospects for a political solution soon.
Saqqaf suggested that Washington strengthen the
hand of Arab moderates at the conference by, for in-
stance, issuing a statement affirming the necessity
for an Israeli withdrawal to the cease-fire lines of
22 October or by getting Tel Aviv to make moves in
that direction. Iraq joined Libya yesterday in an-
nouncing that it would not attend the summit, and
Baghdad's and Tripoli's absence will make it much
easier for the more moderate Arab states to dominat
the session.
(continued)
20 Nov 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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C The Saudi petroleum minister warned Japan yes-
terday that it will face further oil cutbacks unless
Tokyo breaks diplomatic relations with Tel Aviv. The
minister said that this decision had been taken in
concert with other Arab oil-producing countries. The
Japanese ambassador to Jordan told the US ambassador
there that he 'thought Tokyo would give in to the Arab
pressure.
A politically independent Beirut newspaper, mean-
while, reported yesterday that secret discussions
were under way to establish diplomatic relations be-
tween Saudi Arabia and the Soviet Union. The paper
claimed that King Faysal had accepted an invitation
"in principle" to visit Moscow. Faysal exchanged
greetings with Soviet. leaders this year on Moscow's
October Revolution anniversary, giving rise to press
speculation of this kind. Most Arab commentators,
however, are reportedly treating the story with re-
serve because of Faysal's well-known and long-standing
hostility toward communism.
The Palestinian News Agency in Beirut announced
yesterday that Fatah and Palestine Liberation Organ-
ization head Yasir Arafat, together with leaders of
most of the other major fedayeen organizations, had
left on their oft-postponed trip to the Soviet Union.
The trip is designed to hammer out with Moscow a com-
mon position favoring fedayeen participation in a
peace conference and acceptance of a small Palestin-
2 0 Nov 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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CAMBODIA: Phnom Penh has returned to normal
following yesterday's bombing of the presidential
compound.
The government's chief reaction to the unsuc-
cessful attempt on Lon Nol's life has been to in-
crease the security force protecting his quarters.
The President himself appears to be taking the bomb-
ing attack calmly. Thus far, there are no signs
that Lon Nol is preparing another widespread crack-
down against suspected antigovernment elements in
the capital similar to the one carried out last
March, when the first bombing raid on his residence
occurred. The political witch-hunt conducted at
that time was largely instigated by Lon Nol's impetu-
ous brother, Lon Non, who has been in the US since
July.
As was the case with the first incident, the
bombing apparently was an isolated act by a disaf-
fected Cambodian Air Force pilot. Little is known
as yet about the pilot's political background or
his motives for staging the bombing raid. When last
seen, his aircraft was heading away from Phnom Penh
in a southerly direction. It seems likely that he
will seek refuge in a Khmer Communist - controlled
area of Cambodia.
20 Nov 73 Central Intelligence Bulletin 5
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C GREECE: Athens was quiet yesterday as army
and security forces directed most of their efforts
at preventing groups of demonstrators from forming.
Martial law is still in force. President Papa-
dopoulos, still disturbed over the situation but
trying to salvage his efforts to restore political
normalcy, has given orders that no non-Communist
politicians be arrested.
The US Embassy reports that the government may
have to try a new approach to get its "politicaliza-
tion" program back on track. Given the visibility
of the army in putting down the disorders over the
weekend and the. strong criticism of politicians by
government spokesmen, it is even more unlikely now
that politicians such as former prime minister
Kanellopoulos would agree--or perhaps even be al-
lowed--to participate in elections. Most army of-
ficers are reportedly strongly opposed to the ex-
politicians, and Prime Minister Markezinis will
have the army and the hard-liners looking over his
shoulder to make sure that any initiative he may
take will not lead to new disorders.
In a strong statement on Sunday, a government
spokesman claimed that the recent troubles were
caused not by students but by anarchist elements
who had timed their activity to prevent the govern-
mAni- from annnunci ncr its elan for elections . I
Many construction workers stayed off their
jobs yesterday, and the government began arresting
construction union heads. This prompted the chief
Central .Intelligence Bulletin
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c
of the federation of construction workers to send
the government a cable dissociating the union from
the demonstrations.
The police have been making many arrests, inc u i.ng
leaders of the dissident. Greek Communist Party,
which split with the Moscow-backed faction. They
have also arrested two retired army officers, who
had be n members of an antire ime leftist organiza-
tion.
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EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES: The EC recently has made
rapid progress in drawing up an offer of compensatory
tariff cuts for export damage caused by EC enlarge-
ment, according to State Department reporting. France
has withdrawn its reservation on granting tariff con-
cessions on kraft paper, and Italy finally has agreed
to concessions on citrus fruits and tobacco. In
light of French and Italian concessions, Ireland
probably will drop its reservation on frozen meat.
The EC is likely to approve a formal offer at the
EC Council meeting on 3-4 December. The EC intends
its proposal to be a final offer that can be accepted
or rejected, but not modified.
The offer is expected to fall short of US de-
sires; if further US efforts fail to improve the
offer, the US is permitted under GATT rules to re-
spond by Withdrawing concessions on imports from
the EC.
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FRANCE: The French have long-range plans to
increase significantly their naval presence in the
Mediterranean.
The US defense attache in Paris reports that
Admiral de Joybert, head of the French Navy, pub-
licly stated in early November that it was "impera-
tive" for France to keep two equally strong naval
bases--one at Brest in the Atlantic and the other
at Toulon in the Mediterranean. The French naval
chief asserted that France has, plans to build up
its present Mediterranean fore in 1975 by sending
to Toulon ships now stationed'elsewhere.
De Joybert also said that France's second nu-
clear-powered attack submarine squadron will be
based at Toulon in the early 1980s. The first will
be stationed in Brest. The navy plans to request
funds in the 1974 budget for construction of the
first of these nuclear attack submarines. De Joy-
bert said last month that construction of the first
could start in January 1976 and that it could be
launched in 1978.
In order to accomplish nuclear basing at Toulon,
the French will have to construct a nuclear support
facility there. Such a facility could be used to
support French nuclear ballistic missile submarines
as well. De Joyber,t indicated this past summer that
French ballistic missile submarines would eventually
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Portuguese Guinea: The "Republic of Guinea
Bissau," proclaimed last September by anti-Portu-
guese insurgents, was admitted as the 42nd member
of the Organization of African Unity on 19 November.
0
*These items were prepared by CIA z~ithout eonsuZta-
tion with the Departments of State and Defense.
Central Intelligence Bulletin 19
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