CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A025900140002-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 17, 2004
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: January 4, 1974
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
Central Intelligence Bulletin
State Department review completed
Approved For Release 20
RETURN TO ARCHIVES RECORDS CENTER
Top Secret
47
T
January 4, 1974
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January 4, 1974
Central Intelligence Bulletin
EGYPT-ISRAEL: Differences remain over guidelines
for disengagement.
OPEC-OECD: Effort under wa
the two organizations.
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C EGYPT-ISRAEL: ISRAELI AND EGYPTIAN MILITARY
NEGOTIATORS WERE AGAIN UNABLE TO RESOLVE THEIR DIF-
FERENCES OVER THE GUIDELINES FOR A DISENGAGEMENT
AGREEMENT WHEN THEY MET AT GENEVA ON JANUARY R.
THE TWO SIDES WILL CONTINUE THEIR DISCUSSIONS TODAY,
BUT UN GENERAL SIILASVUO, WHO SUPERVISES THE MEET-
INGS, FEARS THAT THE NEGOTIATING ATMOSPHERE WILL
BEGIN TO SOUR IF THE NEGOTIATORS DO NOT SOON SHIFT
THEIR FOCUS FROM GENERAL PRINCIPLES TO SPECIFIC
PROPOSALS.
THE CHIEF OBSTACLE TO AGREEMENT CURRENTLY CEN-
TERS ON ISRAEL'S DEMAND THAT ANY ISRAELI WITHDRAWAL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY A RECIPROCAL EGYPTIAN CONCESSION.
FOLLOWING THE EGYPTIAN DELEGAT aS REJECTION OF THIS
CONCEPT AT WEDNESDAYOS MEETING
THE ISRAELI -
GATE OUTLINED OF OdRECIPROCITY."
NOTING THAT THE DEPTH OF ANY ISRAELI WITHDRAWAL EAST
OF THE SUEZ CANAL WOULD DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF
THE EGYPTIAN FORCES REMAINING ON THE EAST BANK, THE
ISRAELI INSISTED THAT THERE MUST BE SOME THINNING
OF THESE FORCES. AGREEMENT IS ALSO NECESSARY, HE
SAID, ON EXACTLY HOW MANY DIVISIONS AND HEAVY
WEAPONS THE EGYPTIANS WILL BE PERMITTED TO HAVE.
ALTHOUGH GENERAL SIILASVUO EXPRESSED SOME PES-
SIMISM AT THE PROGRESS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS THUS FAR,
THE PROPOSALS BY THE ISRAELIS FOR A THINNING OF
EGYPTIAN FORCES APPEAR MORE FLEXIBLE THAN THEIR
PUBLIC STATEMENTS. THE FORMER CHIEF ISRAELI NEGO-
TIATOR AT THE KILOMETER 101 TALKS INDICATED IN A
WEEKEND NEWSPAPER INTERVIEW, FOR INSTANCE, THAT A
MERE THINNING OF FORCES WOULD NOT BE SUFFICIENT AND
THAT, IF ISRAEL WITHDRAWS TO THE EAST BANK, THE
EGYPTIANS SHOULD NOT BE PERMITTED TO RETAIN ANY MIL-
ITARY FORCES THERE. THE EGYPTIANS APPARENTLY DID
NOT COMMENT ON THE ISRAELI PROPOSALS AT THE JANUARY
2 MEETING, BUT THEY HAD INDICATED AT THE EARLIER
KILOMETER 101 TALKS THAT THEY MIGHT ACCEPT SOME
THINNING OF FORCES.
(continued)
Jan 4, 1974
Central Intelligence Bulletin 1
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C A POSSIBLE CONFRONTATION OVER ISRAELI BLOCKING
OF SUPPLY CONVOYS TO THE EGYPTIAN THIRD ARMY IS BE-
ING THREATENED IN THE UN. ACCORDING TO UN REPORTS,
THE ISRAELIS HAVE NOT ALLOWED THE SUPPLY CONVOYS
THROUGH FOR TWO DAYS, AND THE EGYPTIAN REPRESENTA-
TIVE IS THREATENING TO CALL AN EMERGENCY MEETING
OF THE SECURITY COUNCIL TO CONSIDER THE ISSUE IM-
MEDIATELY. ASSISTANT SECRETARY GENERAL URQUHART
BELIEVES THAT AN ACRIMONIOUS SECURITY COUNCIL MEET-
ING IS IN PROSPECT IF THE CONVOY IS BLOCKED AGAIN
TODAY.
Military activity fell off considerably yester-
,a 7I, fr%1 1 anal nrr i-hr~ hrn~ atTt7 firma reported on January 2.
Jan 4, 1974
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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OPEC-OECD: AN EFFORT IS UNDER WAY TO PROMOTE
A MEETING BETWEEN THE ORGANIZATION OF PETROLEUM EX-
PORTING COUNTRIES {OPEC} AND THE ORGANIZATION FOR
ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT {OECD}- SUCH
A DIALOGUE IS BEING SOUGHT BY SOME OECD COUNTRIES
TO RESOLVE THE PROBLEM OF SPIRALING OIL PRICES, AND
BY OPEC MEMBERS TO OBTAIN FAVORABLE TERMS FOR DEVEL-
OPMENT AND TRADE. INTEREST IN EARLY OPEC-OECD DIS-
CUSSIONS, IF ACTIVELY PURSUED, MIGHT PREJUDICE US
EFFORTS TO GIVE PRIORITY TO THE ESTABLISHMENT OF AN
ENERGY ACTION GROUP WITH A MORE RESTRICTED MEMBERSHIP.
BRITAIN REPORTEDLY IS SEEKING SUPPORT IN SEVERAL
CAPITALS FOR A POSITIVE RESPONSE TO THE SHAH OF
IRANdS PROPOSAL ON DECEMBER 23 FOR A MEETING BETWEEN
OPEC AND OECD. THE BRITISH BELIEVE IT IS IMPORTANT
THAT THERE BE A RESPONSE PRIOR TO JANUARY 7, WHEN
OPEC MEMBERS MEET IN GENEVA TO DISCUSS LONG-RANGE
PRICING POLICIES,
IRANdS MINISTER OF FINANCE SUGGESTED TO THE US
AMBASSADOR ON JANUARY 2 THAT THE OECD SECRETARIAT
INVITE OPEC TO ENGAGE IN TALKS. THE MINISTER EVI-
DENTLY THUS HOPES TO GET AROUND OPPOSITION BY IRAQ
AND KUWAIT TO OPEC!S TAKING THE INITIATIVE IN CALL-
ING FOR A CONFERENCE=
IN NEW DELHI, OPEC SECRETARY GENERAL KHENE
CALLED PUBLICLY FOR OECD-OPEC TALKS AIMED AT LOWER-
ING THE PRICES CHARGED BY THE INDUSTRIALIZED COUN-
TRIES FOR THEIR EXPORTS. KHENE CALLED THE OIL PRICE
RISE A PART OF THE DEVELOPING WORLD'S FIGHT AGAINST
dOECONOMIC AGGRESSION" AND SAID THE PRICE OF OIL
WOULD BE LOWERED IF THE INDUSTRIAL NATIONS LOWERED
THE COST OF THEIR EXPORTS.
THE OECD SECRETARIAT IS PREPARED TO BEGIN TALKS
WITH OPEC, BUT THE ATTITUDE OF THE MEMBER STATES,
WHO WOULD HAVE TO AUTHORIZE A RESPONSE, IS UNCERTAIN
AT AN OECD MEETING ON DECEMBER 281 ITALY ENDORSED
THE IDEA OF OECD-OPEC TALKS, NOTING THAT THEY SHOULD
NOT INTERFERE WITH MEMBER COUNTRIESO BILATERAL AR-
RANGEMENTS WITH OIL-PRODUCING COUNTRIES OR COOPERA-
TION IN OTHER INTERNATIONAL FORUMS THE FRENCH
DELEGATE, HOWEVER, STRESSED THE NEED AVOID HASTY
MOVES TO ESTABLISH CONTACT WITH OPECm
Jan 4, 1974
Central Intelligence Bulletin 6
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