NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A026700010012-2
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
11
Document Creation Date:
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date:
January 4, 2005
Sequence Number:
12
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 24, 1974
Content Type:
REPORT
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CIA-RDP79T00975A026700010012-2.pdf | 271.44 KB |
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National Intelligence Bulletin
June 24, 1974
CONTENTS
USSR-US: Soviet press continues to play up US sup-
port for detente on eve of summit. (Page 1)
AUSTRIA: Kirchschlaecrer wins narrow victory in presi-
dential election. (Page 3)
AUSTRALIA: Final election results confirm Labor gov-
ernment's loss of Senate. (Page 6)
SOUTH VIETNAM: Communists again suspend military
talks in Saigon. (Page 7)
FOR THE RECORD: (Pagee 8)
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National Intelligence Bulletin June 24, 1974
The Soviet press on the eve of the summit is stress-
ing the strength of US support for detente.
Izvestia chief editor L. N. Tolkunov, who recently
wrote a favorable commentary on the visit to the US
last month by a Supreme Soviet delegation, has composed
an optimistic piece focusing on the prospects for prog-
ress in arms limitation. Noting the increase in economic
cooperation, he called for concomitant movement in the
"delicate area" of military detente, which he said would
provide an opportunity for further steps.
Tolkunov, who was one of the delegates making the
trip, said President Nixon had concluded that most Amer-
icans support the US-Soviet dialogue and desire early
limitation of strategic arms and peaceful resolution of
all bilateral problems. Vice President Ford was quoted
as being optimistic that the President and Brezhnev can
continue cooperation, despite problems.
Picking up a'theme found in other recent Soviet
commentaries, Tolkunov stressed the bipartisan character
of US support for further Soviet-American detente. Sena-
tors Mansfield and Scott were said to have assured their
Soviet guests that the presidential candidates in 1976
will "without doubt" continue the policy of detente.
Senator Mansfield was quoted as saying, in addition,
that both nations can cooperate in limiting arms and that
the American people support such limitation.
Tolkunov claimed to have found considerable congres-
sional opposition to the activities and plans of the
"Pentagon and its chief, Schlesinger," especially to
their new targeting doctrine and the size of the US
defense budget--favorite targets of Soviet criticism.
This article by Tolkunov, like the preceding one,
offers a relatively detailed and sophisticated view of
the diversity of American political opinion. Its primary
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objective is to show that: the policy of detente has
strong support in the US and that its critics are a
'motley coalition" opposing better relations.
In repeatedly offering such assurances, the Soviets
reveal continued concern about the effect that political
developments in the US might have on detente. Their
sensitivity to US developments affecting the future of
arms limitation in particular was demonstrated anew on
Sunday when Tass quickly reported official US denial of
allegations that the SALT' accords of 1972 involved secret
agreements.
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National Intelligence Bulletin June 24, 1974
Foreign Minister Rudolf Kirchschlaeger survived a
closing surge by opposition People's Party candidate
Alois Lugger to win the Austrian presidency for a six-
year term. His narrow victory was a relief to the gov-
erning Socialists, who had feared they might lose the
presidential post for the first time since the war.
The closeness of the vote--less than a 4-percent
difference--was partly the result of a tactical error
by Kirchschlaeger. The career diplomat, who has no for-
mal ties to any party, failed to inform Chancellor
Kreisky that he had been a member of a rightist organi-
zation during the Nazi period and of the People's Party
briefly after the war. Subsequent disclosures embit-
tered many Socialists, who felt Kreisky made a mistake
in hand-picking a man with Kirchschlaeger's conservative
and Catholic background,
Lugger's showing has given his party a large psy-
chological boost. The charismatic mayor of Innsbruck
campaigned effectively, focusing on the government's
inability to control inflation., In view of the opposi-
tion's strong showing, Kreisky has indicated he probably
will not call parliamentary elections before his term
ends in October 1975.
Peter Jankowitsch, Austria's representative to the
UN, will replace Kirchschlaeger as foreign minister.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
June 24, 1974
The completion over the weekend of vote-counting
for the national election five weeks ago ended the most
drawn-out election process in Australian history.
Final Senate results have the Labor government tied
with the Liberal-Country opposition, Two independents,
former Liberals who are expected to vote with the oppo-
sition, hold the balance of power. Final results for
the lower house, which were completed earlier, gave Labor
a five-seat majority there.
Although the Whitlam government failed to capture
the Senate and had its House majority reduced somewhat,
a constitutional provision offers some hope that legis-
lation blocked by the previous Senate will still be en-
acted, Prime Minister Whitlam can call a joint sitting
of both houses--in which Labor would have a majority of
three--to consider this legislation. He cannot use this
tactic, however, to promote new bills,
Labor's tight position in Parliament may in time
lead to the same kind of roadblocks that rom ted Whit-
lam to call the elections last month.
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National Intelligence Bulletin June 24, 1974
SOUTH VIETNAM
Hanoi and the Viet Cong have again suspended the
military talks in Saigon on implementing the cease-fire
and searching for missing servicemen.
As one of the main reasons for the suspension, Com-
munist spokesmen cited the South Vietnamese government?s
refusal to sign a formal statement guaranteeing Communist
delegates diplomatic privileges and immunities? They
also cited as contributing factors the recent sinking of
a North Vietnamese cargo vessel off the coast of Quang
Tr. Province? stepped-up "land-grabbing" operations by
Saigon, and a statement by the US embassy in Saigon as-
sailing Hanoi."s continuing violations of the Paris ac-
cords,,
Although no date has been set for resuming the talks,
the Viet Cong and North Vietnamese delegations have care-
fully avoided suggesting that they have any intention of
scuttling them completely or of pulling out of Saigon,
The Communists probably believe that President Thieu took
the initiative to resume the Saigon talks earlier this
month partly with an eye to the US congressional delib -?
erations on foreign aid? and they certainly do not want
to facilitate Thieu?s efforts in this direction?
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Israel-Syria: Israel withdrew on schedule yesterday
from the remainder of the 'Syrian salient captured in the
war last October, Israeli troops turned over the final
three-mile-wide strip of land to troops of the UN disen-
gagement observation force. The separation of forces is
to be completed by June 26.
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