NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A026800010044-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 9, 2012
• Sequence Number: 44
• Publication Date: August 12, 1974
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
National Intelligence
Bulletin
Top Secret
12 August 1974
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N2 631
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National Intelligence Bulletin
August 12, 1974
CONTENTS
SOUTH VIETNAM: Fighting continues in central highlands
and north of Saigon. (Page 1)
CYPRUS: Agreement at Geneva to exchange prisoners and
evacuate Turkish Cypriot enclaves. (Page 2)
EGYPT-LIBYA: Civilian personnel to stay but military
being withdrawn. (Page 7)
PORTUGAL - GUINEA-BISSAU: Draft agreement commits Por-
tugal to recognition before General Assembly reconvenes.
(Page 8)
ARGENTINA: Terrorism and political discord add to Pres-
ident Peron's problems. (Page 12)
PERU-CHILE: Santiago still concerned about Peruvian
military superiority. (Page 13)
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NORTH
Demilitarized Zone
ZLZ~/~J
QUANG NAM
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.Pleiku
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100
MILES
QUANG
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QUANG
NGAI
PHU
BON
BINH
DINH
PH U
YEN
CAM
:RANH
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National Intelligence Bulletin August 12, 1974
Fighting eased in northern South Vietnam over the
weekend. Communist attacks continue in the central high-
lands, and new activity is taking place in an area north
of Saigon.
No significant ground action developed in Quang Nam
Province, which has been the focal point of heavy Commu-
nist attacks in the northern provinces since mid-July.
The Communists did maintain pressure, however, against
South Vietnamese territorial forces and outposts in the
southern sector of adjacent Quang Tin Province.
In the central highlands, Communist forces kept up
intense pressure against the Ranger camp at Plei Me and
a number of South Vietnamese fire bases west of Pleiku
city.
Plei Me reportedly received several thousand
rounds
report,
of artillery, rocket, and mortar fire. At last
the garrison's 1,000 or so defenders were still
holding
their ground.
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Nearer Saigon, Communist forces this weekend launched
several rocket attacks against Bien Hoa air base. At
least 20 122-mm. rockets impacted on and around the base,
but casualties and damages were light. The shellings
were apparently in retaliation for allegedly heavy South
Vietnamese bombing raids against major Communist head-
populated areas in Bien Hoa and Binh Duong provinces.
quarters complexes north of Saigon as well as against
the North Vietnamese 7th Division. General Thuan, the
regional commander of the provinces around Saigon, be-
lieves that the shellings, and a series of localized
ground attacks which accompanied them, may also have been
designed to screen moves by the 7th Division closer to
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National Intelligence Bulletin
CYPRUS
August 12, 1974
Geneva conference sessions this weekend were marked
by long delays and a temporary Turkish walkout, but agree-
ment was reportedly reached on the exchange of prisoners
and the evacuation of Turkish Cypriot enclaves by Greek
Cypriot forces. Although little progress in solving the
constitutional issues was apparent, the Greek and Turkish
Cypriot leaders emerged from a meeting yesterday declaring
that there was "room for further contact and negotiation."
They said today's session would be "critical."
Greek Cypriot representative Glafkos Clerides and
Turkish Cypriot representative Rauf Denktash joined the
foreign ministers of Greece, Turkey, and Britain on Sat-
urday morning. The start of the meeting was delayed for
seven hours when the Turkish representative objected to
listing the Cypriots by their official titles as President
and Vice President-of the Cyprus Republic. This would
hate underscored the authority of the 1960 constitution,
which the Turks want to do away with. After a walkout
by the Turkish delegate, the issue was sidestepped by
eliminating official namecards for the Cypriots.
Britain halted a scheduled withdrawal of troops and
planes from its Cyprus bases on Saturday as a precaution-
ary measure against renewed Turkish military action on
the island. Turkish officials reportedly warned of new
fighting unless there was progress at the talks.
At a stormy session Saturday evening, Denktash in-
troduced officially the Turkish demand for an abandon-
ment of the 1960 constitution, coupled with a geographi-
cal separation of the two communities and complete local
autonomy. Clerides insisted that the constitution form
the basis of a solution and rejected the concept of geo-
graphical separation. He did agree to the principle of
local autonomy for Turkish Cypriots. In view of the
guarded optimism following their meeting Sunday morning,
the leaders of the two communities apparently adopted
a more flexible stance in their private discussion.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
August 12, 1974
In Cyprus, Greek Cypriot national guard forces be-
gan evacuating Turkish Cypriot enclaves Sunday and plans
were under way to begin the release of prisoners in ac-
cord with the agreement reached in Geneva. No signifi-
cant fighting was reported for thy third consecutive day.
Top military and political leaders met in Athens
and Ankara yesterday, probably to draw up contingency
plans in the event of a deadlock in the Geneva talks.
According to Athens radio, Greek leaders decided to
transfer certain military units from the capital.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
August 12, 1974
EGYPT-LIBYA
Egypt's withdrawal from Libya will include all armed
apparently wi e allowed to remain for the time being.
US officials in Tripoli have learned from the Egyp-
tian charge' that some 2,000 officers and men will depart,
a number that comes close to US estimates of the total
strength of Egypt's military mission.
The Egyptian mission apparently is made up of some
1,700 air force personnel, most of whom are attached to
a MIG training mission in Benghazi; more than 300 naval
personnel primarily with a three-ship patrol squadron;
and about 300 advisers with the Libyan army. Although
the Egyptian naval squadron and MIG training mission--
well over half of those being withdrawn--are not essen-
tial to the Libyans, the other Egyptian advisers and
technical experts perform key functions.
Egyptian diplomats in Tripoli would not talk about
the status of Egyptian civilians assigned to the Libyan
government, except to say that teachers whose contracts
have not expired will remain. According to the Libyan
Foreign Ministry, however, Cairo has decided that exist-
ing contracts will not be renewed and that the stipulated
period of service will be reduced from four to two years.
No new contracts will be signed.
Between 150,000-200,000 Egyptian civilians hold
jobs in Libya; the majority are laborers hired by Egyp-
tian contractors. Other key categories include: sec-
ondary and university teachers, who virtually run the
Libyan educational system; physicians and medical support
personnel; and the professionals and technicians who hold
key posts in almost all Libyan ministries. Egyptians are
crucial to many Libyan institutions. Cairo, for its part
profits from: the alleviation of its unemployment problems
and from the remuneration received for its services.
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National Intelligence Bulletin August 12, 1974
Tripoli apparently has accepted an aareemnnt ' h
Cairo-
reported straightforwardly. Qadhafi and his colleagues
seem to be facilitating a calm and orderly withdrawal,
if only to prevent an exodus by the Egyptian community.
US officials in Tripoli are worried that, when
Libya's reaction finally comes, Qadhafi may accuse the
US of collaborating with, if not prompting. Sadat's de-
~-to halt provocative
press exchanges. Thus far, Egypt's withdrawal has been
cision.
PORTUGAL - GUINEA-BISSAU
ferring power have been worked out.
A draft agreement between Portugal and the rebel-
proclaimed government of Guinea-Bissau was initialed
yesterday during talks held in Algiers, according to a
Foreign Ministry official in Lisbon.
The agreement, which requires ratification by the
two sides, does not constitute Portuguese recognition
of the Republic of Guinea-Bissau. The official, however,
claimed it does commit Portugal to recognize the new gov-
ernment before the opening of the UN General Assembly.
A wire service claims that agreement was reached at
the talks not to include the Cape Verde Islands in the
new state, until now one of the most serious points of
contention between Portugal and the rebel government.
The Portuguese ambassador to the UN will submit a
letter from Foreign Minister Soares to the UN Security
Council tomorrow. A Foreign Ministry communique issued
on Saturday says the letter will pledge Portuguese rec-
ognition as soon as the administrative details of trans-
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National Intelligence Bulletin
August 12, 1974
Terrorism and more conventional political discord
are posing ever more serious problems for President
Peron's administration, now six weeks old. Yesterday,
the country's chief guerrilla organization, the People's
Revolutionary Army, carried out its most ambitious
operation since the new regime took office.
Guerrillas dressed in army uniforms, according to
press reports, attacked a military munitions factory in
Cordoba Province and a police station in Catamarca Prov-
ince. The raiders captured two army officers at the
factory and got a large haul of arms, munitions, and
uniforms. The two incidents reportedly left at least
five people dead and several wounded. Manhunts are now
under way in both provinces.
The impending federal take-over of Mendoza Province
will give the Peron administration another headache.
Mendoza has been embroiled for months in a controversy
between the former governor, a left-wing Peronist who
resigned under a cloud of scandal, and his right wing
Peronist opposition.
The government's proposal forced a bitter partisan
debate in Congress and antagonized the major opposition
party, the Radicals, at a time when President Peron
needs all the political tolerance she can muster. Fed-
eral interventiorL in Mendoza, like that in Cordoba last
spring, will also increase divisions among Peronists;
even the right-wing Peronist labor organization in the
province is against it.
One Peronist senator told the US embassy that the
move was a political mistake, probably attributable to
poor advice from the interior minister. The continued
inability of the police to suppress the guerrillas could
also weaken the minister's position. Dissatisfaction
with this minister may cause his removal in an impending
cabinet shuffle.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
August 12, 1974
Public assurances by President Velasco that his coun-
try does not have aggressive designs on Chile have not
convinced leaders in Santiago.
In his press conference on August 8, President
Velasco sought to calm Chile's concern over Peruvian in-
tentions heightened by Peru's show of military force dur-
ing its Independence Day parade on July 29. Velasco said
that neither the Chilean government nor its people should
believe that Peru has aggressive intentions. He described
rumors to the contrary as a ploy of big powers seeking to
provoke confrontations. He maintained that the Soviet
tanks and other arms shown in the parade were merely to
replace obsolete equipment.
In their public response to Velasco, Chilean author-
ities strongly endorsed the view that neither side desires
war. The feeling within the Chilean government and armed
forces, however, continues to be one of suspicion re-
garding Peruvian motives and intentions. Chilean offi-
cials are expected to continue to respond in kind to any
Peruvian overtures of friendship, but they are not likely
to lower their guard or concern over the imbalance of
military strength that favors Peru.
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Top Secret
Top Secret
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