CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A027100010008-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 21
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 21, 2007
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: October 22, 1974
• Content Type: REPORT

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To Secret
National 1 ntel 1 igence
~Iletin
Top Secret
N? 639
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National Intelligence bulletin
October 22, 1974
CONTENTS
ARAB STATES; Foreign ministers meet today to draw
up agenda for heads of state conference bega.nning
Saturday. (Page 1)
JAPAN: Rally to protest alleged presence of nuclear
weapons fell short of sponsors?. goals. (Page 4)
FRANCE: Paris plans to construct military base on
Comoro Islands . (Page 7 )
ITALY: Socialists stiffen economic demands in bar-
gaining with Fanf ani. (Page 8)
PORTUGAL: New electoral law incorporates most views
held by the left. (Page 10)
LEBANON: Salam abandons effort to form new govern-
ment. (.Page 11)
ETHIOPIA: Uncertainties create leadership problems
in the armed forces. (Page 14)
FOR THE RECORD: (Page 17)
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National Intelligence Bulletin
October 22, 1974
Arab foreign ministers meet today in Rabat. to pre-
pare an agenda for the conference of Arab League heads
of state beginning October 26.
Although. few Arab leaders still dispute the value
of efforts to solve the Arab-Israeli conflict by nego-
tiation, they have fallen again into discord over how
best to proceed toward that objective. Inter-Arab dif-
ferences have emerged over where to go next in peace
talks and, more particularly, over how to handle the
Palestinian question.
This issue and its several ramifications--the roles
in negotiations of the Palestine Liberation Organization
and of Jordan, the related but broader question of the
future of the Israeli-occupied West Bank, and the prece-
dence to be given the various stages of the peace talks
as they involve individual Arab parties--will .constitute
the chief topic for debate at the summit.
Other issues arising out of last year's war will
also be considered at Rabat. These center primarily
on the Arabs' international economic role and include
political aspects of the oil price issue, the use of
oil and money as political weapons, and Arab economic
cooperation with Africa and the European Economic Com-
munity,.
Two additional inter-Arab problems, of secondary
importance, may also surface. The role of Iran in Oman
may be raised. outside plenary sessions, particularly by
radical states such as South Yemen and Iraq. Oman prob-
ably would like to avoid discussion of Iranian involve-
ment, but if pressed might point to the possibility of
a pan-Arab force being sent to Oman, as has been pro-
posed by Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
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National lnte!lige~ce Bu!!~e#i~n
October 22, 1974
The dispute over Spanish Sahara, the principal con-
cern of the host Moroccan government, may come up in bi-
lateral corridor discussions. If the Sahara question is
raised before the full summit and a res?lution passed,
it will probably be vaguely worded to avaid taking sides
between the rival claims of Morocco and Mauritania.
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I'~la#i~nal lntelli~g+ence Bulle#in Crctober 22, 194
JAPAN
A major rally in Tokyo yesterday protesting the
alleged presence of US nuclear weapons in Japan and Pres-
ident Ford's visit next month fell short of opposition
goals. Organizers claimed an attendance of 70,QQa, after
forecasting a turnout of lUQ,000, but police estimated
that only 25,Q00 participated The rally, sponsored in
part by the Communist. and Socialist parties, adopted
resolutions and a statement to President Ford demanding
that he .call off his trip Street demonstrations after
the rally were generally peaceful
The public controversy in Japan stemming from alle-
gations of a US nuclear presence has provided the polit-
ical left with an improved atmosphere in which to revive
its sputtering campaign against the US-Japan Security
Treaty and against the President's visit Yesterday's
rally--on "International Anti-War Day"--was a major test
of the opposition's ability to generate public support
for its cause. in view of the relatively modest turnout,
opposition leaders now face the hard choice of pressing
an all-out campaign against the visit with uncertain
baekin or limitin fforts to token protests.,
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