CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A027400010014-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 24, 2008
• Sequence Number: 14
• Publication Date: January 31, 1975
• Content Type: REPORT

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Top Secret
UNIUMM
El"11511W "a
National Intelligence
Bulletin
DIA review(s)
completed.
State Dept. review
completed
Top Secret
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National Intelligence Bulletin
January 31, 1975
CONTENTS
TURKEY-CYPRUS: Ankara appears to be moderating its line
on Cyprus as the deadline for the cutoff of US assistance
approaches. (Page 1)
PORTUGAL: Cancellation of political rallies termed Com-
munist success; moderates somewhat strengthened. (Page 3)
AUSTRALIA: Leftists plan to challenge several government
policies at Labor Party conference next week. (Page 8)
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National Intelligence Bulletin
January 31, 1975
The Turkish government appears to be moderating its
policy on Cyprus, as the February 5 deadline for a cut-
off of US military assistance approaches.
Prime Minister Irmak, following meetings with his
National Security Council and political party leaders,
announced on Wednesday that Nicosia airport may soon be
opened under joint management and that the port of Fama-
gusta will open to international shipping.
Turkish Cypriot leader Denktash has told the Brit-
ish that he will propose the following at his meeting
today with Greek Cypriot negotiator Clerides:
--The opening of the Turkish-controlled port of
Famagusta to Greek and Greek Cypriot shipping and
establishment of a transport corridor through to
Nicosia in exchange for facilities for Turkish
shipping through Limassol.
--The return of about 5,000 Greek Cypriot refugees
to their homes.
--A guarantee by the Turkish military that Greek
Cypriots would not be harassed.
There would not, however, be any early withdrawal of
the Turkish front line, said Denktash.
Despite Denktash's gestures, the positions of the
negotiators of the two communities have been so far
apart on the airport and the ports issues that resolu-
tion of them before February 5 will be difficult.
On another issue, Irmak said that, "in principle,"
Turkey favors taking the Zegean dispute to the Interna-
tional Court of Justice, as the Greek prime minister
proposed earlier this week. Irmak noted, however, that
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National Intelligence Bulletin January 31, 1975
Turkey still intends to begin seismic exploration in the
Aegean next month. Irmak's words on the Aegean dispute
may be premature. A Turkish Foreign Ministry official
has told the US embassy that no decision has yet been
made on the Greek proposal.
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National Intelligence Bulletin January 31, 1975
PORTUGAL
The cancellation of the political rallies scheduled
for today in Lisbon is being termed a success for the
Communists, although the moderates in the armed forces
appear to have emerged somewhat strengthened and more
cohesive from the maneuvering on the issue.
The Portuguese Socialist Party has reluctantly
agreed to abide by a government ban and cancel its rally
in Lisbon today, rescheduling it for February 7. The
Communists were quick to agree to the ban, giving added
strength to reports that they had scheduled their rally
at the same time as the Socialists merely to force a
cancellation.
According to Minister Without Portfolio Vitor Alves,
however, the announcement of a third demonstration by
leftist extremists brought about the cancellation order.
The security forces feared that they would be unable to
control any violence stemming from an additional demon-
stration. In fact, the violence-prone leftist extremists
may still challenge the government order and hold their
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National Intelligence Bulletin
January 31, 1975
The Labor Party's biennial policy conference next
week will deal with a number of contentious issues. With
a strong possibility of elections later this year, party
leaders will be trying to keep the lid on bickering, but
leftists have served notice that they plan to challenge
several government policies.
Canberra's neutral stance toward the Middle East
will probably be the most controversial issue. The gulf
between the moderates, led by Prime Minister Whitlam, and
the leftists widened this week when the government denied
visas to a Palestine Liberation Organization delegation
invited by party leftists.
The leadership should be able to control the leftists
on several issues of special interest to the US. An ex-
pected leftist bid for recognition of the Viet Cong's
Provisional Revolutionary Government in South Vietnam can
probably be defeated. Whitlam and his dominant moderate
faction will also be able to vote down several leftist
resolutions calling for the closing of US defense and
scientific installations in Australia.
To avoid another contentious issue, the leadership
will recommend that a US request for an Omega navigational
aid station in Australia be given further study by the par-
liamentary committee that has kept it bottled up. Govern-
ment leaders have privately expressed understanding of the
US requirement for the facility, but their failure to press
for a decision reflects in part a reluctance to add to the
number of US installations in Australia.
It does not appear that there will be any serious
challenge to Whitlam's position, despite widespread dis-
satisfaction with his leadership. Deputy Prime Minister
Cairns, although associated with the left wing, appears
content to work in tandem with Whitlam, and there is no
other party official in a position to make a bid for the
leadership. Also, the party is probably reluctant to get
into a dama
in
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g
g
n
ernal row in what may turn out to be
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