NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP79T00975A028300010018-8
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
14
Document Creation Date:
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date:
May 10, 2005
Sequence Number:
18
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 11, 1975
Content Type:
REPORT
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CIA-RDP79T00975A028300010018-8.pdf | 344.31 KB |
Body:
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Top Secret
National Intelligence
Bulletin
DIA review(s) completed.
Top Secret
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National Intelligence Bulletin
November 11, 1975
CONTENTS
ANGOLA: Territory drifts leaderless
into independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
BANGLADESH: Situation report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
SPANISH SAHARA: Negotiations scheduled
in Madrid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
EGYPT: Nuclear-power reactors will
provide boost to industrial development . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
LEBANON: Karami striving for political
solution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
FOR THE RECORD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
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National Intelligence Bulletin
November 11, 1975
Angola drifted leaderless into independence yesterday as the Portuguese left
the territory without passing sovereignty to any of the three warring liberation
groups. The Portuguese high commissioner left Luanda and merely announced that
the territory was being turned over to the "Angolan people."
The Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola, which controls Luanda
and some other areas of the country, proclaimed a unilateral declaration of
independence and went ahead with planned activities to celebrate. Meanwhile, the
National Front for the Liberation of Angola, in conjunction with Angola's third
liberation group, the National Union for the Total Independence of Angola,
announced a rival government. According to an announcement out of Kinshasa,
where the National Front and National Union had been conferring, the
administrative seat of their new government will be Nova Lisboa, which they have
renamed Huambo.
The rival government will be comprised of a president, a prime minister, and a
24-member Council of Revolution. The government leaders were not announced.
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In a separate news announcement, the National Union called for a cease-fire, a
neutralization of Luanda, and the establishment of a government of national unity
made up of the three liberation groups.
At the same time, fighting was continuing. According to the latest press
announcements, a combined National Front - National Union force took Novo
Redondo and Porto Amboim yesterday, leaving the Popular Movement with only
Luanda as a major point of resupply.
A number of African governments who have had close ties with the Popular
Movement-Congo, Guinea, Mozambique, and Guinea-Bissau-are expected to
recognize the Popular Movement government. However, a variety of reports
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yesterday indicated that a number of African and European countries intend to
withhold recognition from either rival claimant. Ugandan President Amin, speaking
as head of the Organization of African Unity, called on OAU members to be neutral
toward the Angolan situation.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
November 11, 1975
There have been no new eruptions within the Bengalee military since a revolt
among enlisted men flared briefly in Dacca over the weekend, but the situation
remains fragile.
Further trouble could be instigated by a far-left political group that has
emerged as a force among the troops. India will be watching closely to see if the
Dacca government can reimpose its authority on the enlisted men.
Most of the rebellious troops reportedly have surrendered their arms and
rejoined their units. Officers had been unnerved by the mutiny and the killing of
some of their colleagues and dependents, but they now seem to be returning to their
posts.
The enlisted men, apparently motivated in part by long-standing grievances,
took advantage of the confusion of the past few days to register their dissatisfaction.
They reportedly were incited to mutiny by members of the National Socialist Party,
a political opposition group with a vague leftist ideology and a reputation for being
anti-India. Although the party has never developed broad civilian support, it seems
to have gained some influence among the mutinous troops.
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The new strongman, General Zia, still appears to hold the support of the army,
but he needs the active participation of the officer corps if the enlisted men are to
be brought under control. The officers may have difficulty re-establishing trust
between themselves and the troops. Some have reportedly long ignored the concerns
of the men.
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In the past few days, India's censored press has reverted to treating events in
Bangladesh in factual, relatively unemotional terms. This is a departure from
dramatized accounts published late last week. In both cases, the press has probably
been reflecting Indian government guidance.
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November 11, 1975
A Moroccan delegation will return to Madrid this week for further negotiations
with Spain over the disposition of Spanish Sahara. The two sides will try to work
out a firm agreement from the loose understanding King Hassan reached with a
senior Spanish official last Saturday.
In an attempt to maintain pressure on Madrid, Moroccan Minister of State for
Information Benhima announced that the marchers returning from the Sahara will
remain at Tarfaya until negotiations end.
Meanwhile, Algerian President Boumediene flew to western Algeria yesterday
to meet with Mauritanian President Ould Daddah. Boumediene, who still insists on a
referendum for the Saharans under UN auspices, will once again attempt to convert
the Mauritanian leader to his view and seek to elicit from Ould Daddah details of
Morocco's understanding with Spain.
Mauritania supports a partition of the Sahara with Morocco but is willing to go
along with a limited UN role to resolve the dispute. Mauritanian officials would
accept a referendum that does not include independence as an option.
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November 11, 1975
The acquisition of two US nuclear-power reactors will boost Egypt's industrial
development in the mid-1980s.
The two reactors, which have a combined planned capacity of 1.2 million
kilowatts, will be located near Alexandria to serve the Cairo area. Seawater
desalinization equipment capable of processing 5 million gallons per day will be
included.
Egypt's electric power base, now underutilized by about 50 percent, will be
hard pressed to meet the country's requirements until nuclear power plants are
completed. Completion of the plants is planned for 1983. The Soviet-built Aswan
hydroelectric station accounts for almost half of Egypt's national capacity of about
4.5 million kilowatts, even though it is operating at only about half its potential.
Aswan may never operate at more than this because of the competition from
irrigation for available water.
The present electric power surplus is expected to be readily consumed as
industrialization progresses. The nuclear installations will provide the necessary
electricity requirements to sustain industrial growth as well as provide fresh water
for agricultural development. The location of the two reactors in the industrial
heartland will alleviate the currently excessive dependence on transmission from
Aswan, which is susceptible to interruption.
Nuclear power will assure a more stable output of electricity than hydroelectric
production. Possession of nuclear power would also serve Egypt's desire for
enhanced prestige and technological competence.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
November 11, 1975
With the latest cease-fire now ten days old and generally respected, Prime
Minister Karami is making a renewed effort to find a political solution to Lebanon's
problems.
Karami has called on the country's warring factions to allow the Lebanese army
and internal security force to play a more forceful role in restoring civil order. Once
calm has returned, he pledged the government will work to implement
comprehensive political, social, and economic reforms.
Karami's assertion that security and reform are inseparable represents an
attempt to be even-handed and to elicit concessions from both sides. His statement
that order must be restored before reforms can be implemented, however,
constitutes a concession to right-wing Christians.
Phalanges Party leader Jumayyil has approved Karami's initiative, claiming that
the Prime Minister has finally conceded the Phalangists' basic point: that the
government must assert its authority. Like Karami, however, Jumayyil spoke only in
general terms and avoided promising anything specific.
Lebanese leftists have not reacted; they may withhold comment until Karami
elaborates his ideas. The Prime Minister is expected to spell out his program at a
cabinet meeting tomorrow.
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November 11, 1975
UNITED NATIONS: A resolution equating Zionism with racism was passed in
the General Assembly last night with a vote 72 for, 35 against, and 32 abstentions.
An earlier motion-proposed by Belgium-to defer the vote until next year was
defeated in a closed assembly vote. Although the majority of African states-whose
own program against racial discrimination is now jeopardized by the Zionism
linkage-voted to consider the issue now, in the actual vote on the resolution 17 of
these states either voted against the resolution or abstained. The EC Nine voted
against the resolution, and most Latin Americans either voted against or abstained.
Passage of the resolution under the same rubric as the traditional UN campaign
against racism and racial discrimination may lead some developed countries to
suspend their financial support of the entire UN anti-discrimination aroaram.
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