NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP79T00975A028300010034-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 28, 2006
• Sequence Number: 34
• Publication Date: November 20, 1975
• Content Type: REPORT

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National Intelligence
Bulletin
State Dept. review completed
DIA review(s) completed.
Top Secret
Top Secret
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 Approved For Release
National Intelligence Bulletin
November 20, 1975
CONTENTS
PORTUGAL: Government suspends operations . . . . . . . . . . 2
GUATEMALA-BELIZE: Military
action unlikely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
ISRAEL: Additional sales of surplus
aircraft to Latin America . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
SINGAPORE: Soviet merchant ships
may gain access to repair yard . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
BANGLADESH: No new incidents
of army unrest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
MALAYSIA: Power play by Prime
Minister against his chief rival . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1
CHILE: Pressure for full
payment of international debts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
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National Intelligence Bulletin
November 20, 1975
1 -he Portuguese government suspended its -unctions e~riy this morning, say rig
that a split in the military made it impossible to govern.
the dramatic announcemen,, following a six-hour emergency meeting of the
Cabinet, said the government would remain suspended unt i President Costa Gomes
guarantees conditions vital for the exercise of it7 functions ~rnd authority.
The action by Prime Minister Azevedo's two-month-oic1 government apparently
;s riot tantamount to a resignation, but is an effort to pressure Costa Gomes to
msoive a split in the military. hhis split, between the anti-Communist ruling fact on
led by Foreign Minister Melo An-tunes and the -action supported by the far left and
the Communists, has caused a breakdown in discipline, crippling government efforts
to maintain public order and get on with the business of go%ierning the country.
There were authoritative reaorts yesterda a that left easing General Otelo de
Carvalho was to be removed from the sensiti\;f post of C.,mmander of the Lisbon
Military Region, and that leftist commanders of both the military police and an
important artillery regiment outside of Lisbon mould be replaced. The government
was also said to be planning to reduce leftist ir?luence in tre media by nationalizing
the radio and television. Word of these changes apparently leaked out and
. ommunists and the far-left opposition rallied forces in support of Carvalho and in
defiance of the government.
Calling on Costa Gomes to solve the dilen ma is a Seri: us sign of weakness-and
perhaps of resignation-by Portugal's present pro-Western, leaders. The Preside it's
penchant for damaging compromise does not augur we i for either a prompt or
satisfactory solution.
Firm action by the Revolutionary Council today is necessary if the government:
s to be saved and a serious crisis averted. Failing this, the political forces at wore: in
the country-including, and perhaps most significantly. those of the political
right-could plunge Portugal into its darkest hours since its revolutionary experiment
;vegan 19 months ago.
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National Intelligence Bulletin
November 20, 1975
Guatemala is not likely to resort to military action against Belize for the
present.
Guatemalan leaders will simply ignore the British- and Caribbean-sponsored UN
resolution that calls for Belizean independence, self-determination, and territorial
integrity. Their argument is that the UN is not legally competent to judge the
matter. Guatemala had earlier threatened to use military force if such a resolution
passed in the UN. President Laugerud recently told the US ambassador, however,
that he would not order an attack as long as there is the slightest possibility of a
negotiated solution.
The British intend to announce soon after the resolution's expected approval
that they are ready to resume talks. They will send a Foreign Office official to
Guatemala next week to underscore their willingness to negotiate.
Mexican President Echeverria's bluntly stated reactivation of Mexico's dormant
claim to the northern portion of Belize has given the Guatemalans reason to be
cautious. Further, the British reinforcement of Belize early this month has probably
strengthened the hand of those who argue that military action would be foolhardy.
While the Guatemalans probably will decide against military force for now,
they are not likely to begin immediate talks with the British. Negotiations would be
difficult for them so soon after their expected stinging defeat in the UN. Guatemala
will probably insist that the British reinforcements be withdrawn from Belize before
it will resume talks.
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November 20, 1975
Israel has apparently sold more surplus fierter aircraft abroad.
The US defense attache in Tel Aviv reported recently that the Israelis have
begun readying 16 Super Mystere aircraft for shipment possibly to Venezuela.
Earlier this week, the Venezuelan military x:cache visited the company that is
)reparing the planes for shipment.
The Super Mysteres, which have been i_ the Israel inventory since the late
P950s, were retired from active service early i